Kickaha wrote:
The Russians have been supporting an insurrection in Luhansk and Donbas oblasts. The Russians speakers I talk to there, say they do not want to be part of Russia and that the Russians are the whole problem there.
I have no idea how numerically extensive your contemporary conversations with Russian speaking occupants of the Donbas region of Ukraine may be, or how candid they may be with a US (presumably by telephone) inquirer, or even how you acquired a copy of their current Telephone book.
My own inquiries are primarily limited to online records.
In April, 2022, the Washington Post conducted a survey of the people in Ukraine’s contested eastern region - to see if they wanted to be liberated from Ukraine by Russia.
(Analysis by John O’Loughlin, Gerard Toal and Gwendolyn Sasse)
In part of what’s called “the Donbas,” Ukraine’s two easternmost regions of Luhansk and Donetsk, which border Russia, Ukraine has been fighting against these proxy states ever since 2014."
"Russian President Vladimir Putin declared in February, 2022, that Russia would recognize these entities — the Donetsk Peoples Republic (DNR) and the Luhansk Peoples Republic (LNR) — as independent states, including supporting their claim to all the territory of the Donbas."
"The Washington Post conducted a large, computer-assisted telephone public opinion survey of people living in the two regions on both sides of the military line of contact.
To enable cross-checking of the survey data, they used three companies: the U.K.-based agency R-Research and the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology calling from Ukraine, and Levada Marketing Research calling from Russia." "In total, 4,025 people were interviewed, with equal numbers on both sides of the line of contact dividing the Donbas. Data are weighted proportional to current population estimations separately in the Kyiv-controlled and separatist areas."
"The opinions of those forcibly displaced are thus absent. Estimates are that up to 3 million of the 6.5 million people who originally lived in the Donbas region in early 2014 had left by early 2022, with many more fleeing since February."
"Because of the fiercely contested nature of the Russian proxy “republics” in Ukraine, when asking people what status they preferred for the region, it proved impossible to use the same wording on both sides of the Donbas divide."
"In the areas controlled by the Ukrainian government, respondents were asked: “In your opinion, what should be the status of the regions of the Donbas temporarily uncontrolled by the Kyiv government?"
"In the separatist-held areas, the question ended, “…of the Donetsk Peoples Republic (DNR)/Luhansk Peoples Republic (LNR).”
What do the people of Donbas want?
"In the Ukrainian government-controlled areas, almost 3 in 4 respondents (72 percent) wanted the breakaway territories back within Ukraine. These residents were twice as likely to say the Donbas should not have any special status as to say it should have special autonomous status within Ukraine."
"In the separatist-held areas, forty-nine percent said they wanted to be part of the Russian Federation, with a roughly equal (49%) saying they wanted to be a special autonomous region or just an ordinary part of Russia."
"But the figure in which we averaged data from all the survey firms summary data hides some big differences."
"While the Ukrainian and Russian pollsters found similar opinions in areas controlled by the Ukrainian government, in the breakaway area, pollsters calling from Russia found higher support (70 percent) for joining Donbas with Russia than did the pollsters calling from Ukraine (16 percent)."
Note: "(Some respondents may have decided whether to answer the call or participate in the survey according to whether it originated in Kyiv or Moscow, or may have replied with answers that they thought the interviewers wanted to hear.)"
"For this sensitive question with a high degree of uncertainty about Kyiv’s and Moscow’s actions, the "don’t know" ratio is high at 18 percent."