Q1: For taxpayers, is our national debt really a burden that must be repaid?
A1: No. For taxpayers, it is not a real debt. Its a Debt In Name Only, a DINO-*
THE DINO IS NOT NOW AND NEVER WILL BE A BURDEN FOR TAXPAYERS. It is rather the buyers of newly-issued bonds who, in a virtual rollover, pay for redemption of mature bonds. In every auction, more bonds are demanded than are available. Auction winners get the safest, most liquid US dollar instruments; the losers are stuck with bank risk. If it were ever necessary, the Fed, with cost-free keystrokes, could increase the demand for bonds by buying a large slice of the DINO in the open market.
THE DINO WILL NEVER BE REPAID AND SHOULD NEVER BE REPAID. Only a budget surplus can reduce the DINO. Since Truman, every President has left office with an increased DINO and no annual budget surplus is now in sight. To supply enough risk-free securities used for trade collateral, insurance, pensions, bank reserves, etc., the DINO MUST GROW with the economy! Our world needs the DINO!
Every federal dollar spent and not retrieved by the IRS is saved by the private sector. Yes, Deficits = Savings! The Treasury has a National debt and the private sector has a National asset. The bad Debt Clock is also the good Asset Clock. Since, with our trade deficit, we export money, deficit spending is our economys SOLE source of savings! In fact, if large budget deficits dont replace our vanishing cash, deflation will freeze our economy solid. Who would spend a dollar today if it would buy more tomorrow?
Our economy is suffering from acute anemia. Our (DINO + total bank deposits) / GDP ratio is less than half of Chinas figure. Our M2 (money supply) / GDP ratio is half of Switzerlands ratio and one fourth of Hong Kongs ratio. To become and stay prosperous, we need to DOUBLE the DINO / GDP ratio to return it to the World War II level that was followed by 35 years of prosperity without harmful inflation.
Inequality worsens the anemia. Most of our paltry money supply circulates among the rich who bribe Congress for estate laws to endow wealth to bribe Congress for laws that enrich the rich. Wealth is power and inherited wealth is inherited power: aristocracy, always the enemy of meritocracy!
Q2: Wont the annual debt interest expense explode the budget?
A2: Some of the savers income returns as taxes. New bond issues finance the rest. As no physical resources are consumed and the money supply does not change, there is NO INFLATIONARY EFFECT. Much of the interest is added to the DINO, which needs it. For those reasons, CBO budget economists deal only with the primary budget, which excludes the unimportant annual debt interest expense.
Q3: Could savers make a run on US Treasury bonds?
A3: Yes, when savers can get risk-free returns from the Wall Street casino or from GM bonds, Illinois bonds, or Detroit bonds. Safety is not everything. Safety is the ONLY thing! Thats why the whole world relies on US bonds.
Q4. Could savers prefer another nations bonds?
A4. Yes, indeed! SAVERS WILL ALWAYS WANT THE SAFEST BONDS. And if another nations infrastructure and productivity become better than ours, its bonds could become safer than ours and we could then lose our bond-buyers. And that could happen if US voters let their DINO concerns stop the renewal of falling bridges, failing schools, creaking railroads, etc. Money can be printed, but infrastructure has to be built with real resources and time, which have no substitutes. We have 60,000 bridges in critical need of repair. There are over 50,000 dams that have to be removed. The entire power grid has to be put safely underground and brought up to date. Most of our schools are in need of repair and renovation. We are slipping into second world status. Worry about that!
Q5: Could foreign creditors refuse to buy US bonds?
A5: If exporters want to sell us their goods, they will have to accept our dollars. And if they stop selling us goods, twenty- five million Americans will get full-time jobs and start looking for cars and homes. But exporters will never stop selling us their goods! And, to earn some interest, they would be wise to trade their US dollars for US bonds.
Q6: Wont we need higher income tax rates to pay for infrastructure?
A6: Congress NEVER asks the Treasury if can pass a spending bill. In effect, Congress writes a check that Treasury NEVER bounces. To finance a deficit, the Treasury auctions new bonds created out of thin air with keystrokes.
The only rational reason to restrict deficit spending is the onset of harmful inflation. Until then, Congress can
finance both the DINOs annual interest payment and our much-needed infrastructure. Every day, you fill your sink with water AND you prevent it from overflowing. Why cant Congress fill our economy with money by building infrastructure AND prevent harmful inflation? China builds 24/7 without harmful inflation. Why cant we do that?
While a bank holding too many bad loans can certainly hold too many maturing CDs, our non-lending Treasury cannot hold too many maturing bonds unless its deficit spending causes harmful inflation. And that happens ONLY in a war or emergency requiring rationing. It NEVER happens during a recession. During prosperity, banks are ALWAYS the main cause of inflation, creating over $6 of credit for every $1 of deficit spending. To curb inflation, regulate the banks before stopping work on infrastructure projects!
Q7: How much should Congress tax and spend?
A7: Ideally, Congress should tax just enough to prevent harmful inflation and should spend almost enough to cause full employment (and therefore harmful inflation). Result: prosperity with low inflation.
Instead, bribed by Wall Street, Congress taxes as little as possible, enriching the rich, and spends as little as possible, impoverishing the rest of us by restricting deficits / savings. Just as quacks killed George Washington by bleeding his bad blood, Congress is destroying our younger generations by reducing (possibly to zero!) our annual budget deficits / private sector savings increase / consumer demand. And, by bribing Congress to pass austerity budgets, the Wall Street charlatans are deliberately nursing a huge army of unemployed labor to suppress the wages and working conditions of the shrinking middle class.
Q8: How should one vote?
A8: Vote only for someone who NEVER EVER worries about the DINO and who ALWAYS worries about people looking for work and drawing benefits instead of building infrastructure for their grandchildren.
Q9: I have to balance my budget. Why doesnt Congress balance its budget?
A9: If you could legally print money in your attic, why would you balance your budget? You would only need to balance your desires against your familys well-being. Congress only needs to balance full employment against harmful inflation. Why is something so simple so hard to see?
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The Q & A dialogue above is based on works by: (books cost about $10 at Amazon)
*Frank N. Newman, former Deputy Secretary of the US Treasury, recipient of the Treasurys annual Alexander Hamilton award, author of Freedom from National Debt (Two Harbors Press);
*Francis X. Cavanaugh, US Treasury economist for over 30 years, author of: The Truth about the National Debt: Five Myths and One Reality (Harvard Business School Press);
*Warren Mosler, economist, author of Seven Deadly Frauds of Economic Policy (Oxford U. Press);
*Dr. Stephanie Kelton, Chair of the UMKC Economics Department, at NewEconomicPerspectives.org.
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© 2014 Marvin Sussman All Rights Reserved. Permission granted only to copy entirely.
Q1: For taxpayers, is our national debt really a... (
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