Wolf counselor wrote:
There won't 'be' another Democrat president in this century.
Pro-Trump Pollsters Keep Bringing The President Bad News
Andrew Solender
TOPLINE While President Trump took to Twitter on Saturday to complain about “f**e suppression polls” and laud “real polls,” it seems even pro-Trump pollsters are finding him locked in a difficult race with former Vice President Joe Biden, largely in line with what more mainstream pollsters have found.
But that’s not what Rasmussen Reports, a pollster that Trump has cited at least 16 times due to its tendency to give him friendlier numbers than other pollsters, seemed to indicate in a poll released Friday.
The poll of 1,500 likely v**ers showed Biden leading by 10 points, with 50% support to Trump’s 40%, while Trump’s approval rating was also 10 points underwater, down from 52% in February.
Politics
Trump’s drop in polls has confident Democrats sensing ‘a tsunami coming’ in November
By
Philip Rucker,
Rachael Bade and
Seung Min Kim
July 12, 2020 at 3:00 a.m. MST
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President Trump’s management of this summer’s crises has triggered what Democrats detect as a tectonic shift in the political landscape, with party leaders suddenly bullish about not only taking back the White House but also wresting control of the Senate, as well as expanding their House majority.
Trump’s incumbent advantages have steadily eroded since the spring, with the president now trailing presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden in virtually every public poll nationally and in battleground states, as well as lagging behind the former vice president in fundraising for May and June.
Trump and his advisers insist that their campaign’s internal data show the race as more competitive — “In the real polls, we are doing very well,” the president claimed Friday — and that he can gain momentum in the weeks ahead with a disciplined message and a brutal, sustained assault on Biden’s character, ideology and mental acuity.
Yet Trump has never shown much discipline, and time and again this year he has stymied his campaign’s best efforts with bouts of seeming self-sabotage. On Friday night, Trump provoked critics anew with his decision to commute the prison sentence of longtime confidant Roger Stone, an act Sen. Mitt Romney (R-Utah) called “unprecedented, historic corruption.”
JUL. 9, 2020, AT 5:59 AM
Biden’s Polling Lead Is Big — And Steady
By Geoffrey Skelley
POLLING-UPDATE-0709-4×3
ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT
The race between President Trump and Joe Biden is verging on a landslide. That’s not a word we use lightly.
Over the past month, Biden’s lead over Trump has been both incredibly stable and unusually large. Amidst Trump’s unpopular handling of the protests that followed the police k*****g of G****e F***d, Biden’s lead has hovered within a tight band of 8.9 to 9.6 percentage points since mid-June, according to FiveThirtyEight’s national polling average.
This is a sizable enough lead that Trump’s ree******n chances are in a precarious position. Take what CNN analyst and FiveThirtyEight alum Harry Enten found earlier this month when he looked back at p**********l e******ns where an incumbent was running since 1940. He calculated, on average, a 7-point difference between the final national popular v**e margin and the polls conducted four months out. That might sound like a lot of movement — and it is — but the problem for Trump is even if the polls swung toward him by 7 points, he would still trail Biden by about 2 to 3 points nationally. The median difference Enten found, 4.5 points, would leave Trump in even worse shape.