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Earthquakes!!!! World Events are happening. Are you in a high risk location?
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Jul 19, 2019 02:30:02   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
grace scott wrote:
Jack,

Just because I don't reply to your posts, does not mean I don't read them. When I open OPP, your posts are the first thing I look for.




I appreciate that. Thank you đź‘Ť

With the increases in earthquakes and Volcanoes since I first became interested, has steadily increased with what I would call "Biblical increases" the last decade and now an explosive increase the last 5 weeks, we have an opportunity to better prepare folks in advance.

Take care,

Jack

Reply
Jul 19, 2019 02:42:09   #
dtucker300 Loc: Vista, CA
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
I'm struggling to keep up with the extreme earthquake activity with life's many present time constraints. I prefer time and detail in my updates.

But, here it goes in rough cut


UPDATE.........

+/- since my last post there have been another 7 Deep Earthquakes.

Look for increased magnitude push into Alaska.

I'm calling for more earthquakes of Vancouver Island /Straights of Juan D Fuca in the 5.6-6.3 magnitude.

Also look for off shore Oregon /Far Northern California 5.-6 magnitude.

Geysers will be increasing again and as my forecast for 4 and 5 magnitude earthquakes off the edge of the Craton, per my last forecast these areas where hit and look for more of the same. Western Montana,, Southern Idaho, Central /South Colorado, Nevada, Utah, Oklahoma, Kansas, Tennessee and swarms in Western Texas and the Christmas Volcanic Fields in Texas again with larger 4-5 magnitude. Philadelphia /New York /Maine will be in this push.

Alaska is our first to watch swarms in the islands with more 5's coming in than last forecast and 6 to mid 6 magnitude with a watch for 7 magnitude same locations.

California : I think the log jam in the Ridgecrest region I have been reporting is a result of energy coming down the creeping section of the San Andreas fault and t***sferring over to the Ridgecrest region, then log jamming with trickles of energy moving east along the Craton instead of it flowing east with energy leaving as fast as it moves in. I believe this is happening as a result of higher than normal energy from adnormaly high frequency of Deep earthquakes in Indonesia and the record Volcanoe) strength) eruptions, two in a 24 hour period.
Now I'm more clear on two scenarios. One, if the energy moves east as normal then look for dozens of 4/5 and a few 6 magnitude earthquakes to strike states on the edge of the Craton. If the log jam remains then I'm forecasting a 7-7,6 magnitude to Strike within 200 miles of the Ridgecrest region.

I'm still forecasting there to be 7 - 8 magnitude in the Indonesia region.

Be safe,
Be prepared,
Jack
I'm struggling to keep up with the extreme earthqu... (show quote)


Wow! On the one hand, I hope you are wrong. On the other hand, I wouldn't be willing to place a wager on that.

Reply
Jul 19, 2019 02:58:21   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
dtucker300 wrote:
This news from CA today. Keep in mind that Ridgecrest is east of Bakersfield.

Good morning, and welcome to the Essential California newsletter from the L.A. Times. It’s Wednesday, July 17, and I’m writing from Los Angeles. - Julia Wick

California as a paragon of environmentalism is a loud narrative — one that has shaped headlines and stereotypes and even attitudes, especially in the big cities. The state has been a pioneer on vehicle emissions standards, air pollution legislation and efficiency standards, to name just a few areas of national leadership.

But oil has also played an integral role in the California narrative for nearly a century and a half, since the state’s first real oil well struck “black gold” in 1876. That black gold shaped early 20th-century Southern California, powering the growth of Los Angeles and making fortunes for many of the families whose names still adorn streets and buildings around the state. And that importance is far from confined to history books.

State oil production has been steadily arcing downward since the mid-1980s, but California remains one of the nation’s top petroleum-producing — and gasoline-consuming — states. Until recently, we still produced more oil than any other state but Texas and North Dakota (the Golden State has since slipped to sixth place). Oil and gas companies are also potent political forces that wield major influence in the state Capitol.

[See also: The Center for Investigative Reporting’s 2017 look at “Big Oil’s grip on California”]

The duality of the “two Californias” is a shopworn cliché, but, like many clichés, it prevails for a reason. There is the California of electric cars, kitchen compost bins and vocal opposition to President Trump’s climate policies. Then there is the California of Kern County, where oil and gas production remain a pillar of the local economy and more than 70% of California’s oil and natural gas is produced. The reach of that latter California extends far beyond the southern tip of the San Joaquin Valley — in the first quarter of 2019, the top two spenders on lobbying at the statehouse were Chevron and the broader trade group that represents oil companies.

The constant push-and-pull between California environmentalism and its oil fields came to a public head late last week. On Thursday, Gov. Gavin Newsom fired the state’s top oil regulator after learning that fracking permits had doubled without his knowledge since he became governor, and some of the supervisors tasked with regulating the industry owned shares in major oil companies.

On Friday, news broke that a Chevron oil well in Kern County had leaked nearly 800,000 gallons of crude petroleum and water into a dry creek bed about 35 miles west of Bakersfield over the past two months. The mixture was about one-third oil and two-thirds water, and the flow has since ceased, according to the state Department of Conservation. The seep occurred in an oil field where Chevron uses a process called steam injection to extract underground crude oil.

Ted Goldberg, an editor at KQED News who often reports on Bay Area refineries, uncovered the spill while searching a government database for updates on an entirely separate incident at Chevron’s Richmond refinery in Northern California. “In May, Chevron officials began noticing that oil and water started coming up from the ground when it shouldn’t,” Goldberg explained. “It lasted for a little while and then it stopped. And then on two other occasions since then, it started [again]. The agency that’s responsible for regulating this stuff has been criticized, basically, for doing not an aggressive job in general.”

[Read “Chevron Well at Center of Major Oil Spill in Kern County Oil Field” by Ted Goldberg in KQED]

“Chevron and the state agency that regulates oil and gas and the state water regulators have all emphasized that there’s no drinking water supplies in the area, that there’s no harm to wildlife,” Goldberg said. “And as you can probably expect, environmentalists disagree with that.”

Hollin Kretzmann, a senior attorney at the Center for Biological Diversity, a nonprofit environmental group, said the damage potentially caused by the spill “still remains to be seen.” Kretzmann characterized the spill as a larger failure of government regulation, calling it “the end result of regulations that are completely inadequate to prevent these accidents from happening and protect the public and the environment.”

“We can’t be a leader in c*****e c****e and protecting the environment if we’re one of the biggest oil and gas producers in the country,” Kretzmann said, touching on the two competing visions of California at play.

The long-term future of oil and gas production in the state remains to be seen. Many environmental groups have been hopeful that Newsom may move to curtail it. The state budget that the new governor signed last month did include a $1.5-million item to study ways to reduce petroleum supply and demand, which certainly seems promising to their cause. But nothing — especially in California — is ever black and white, and an environmentalist victory would also probably deliver deep economic blows to the oil towns of Kern.
This news from CA today. Keep in mind that Ridgec... (show quote)




I've provided a link

http://www.usgs.gov/centers/ca-water-ls

What a pile a cover up in the USGS conclusions to the public.

There are several thousand square miles of man drilling pads up to 11,000 thousand feet vertically and horizontally, hundreds of thousands of pads. Entire mountains shaved off and covered with pads.
The subsidence (ground sinking) area shown in the USGS map if t***hful would be close to double the size they represent as subsiding. The ground has sunk as much as 5 feet in majority of the subsidence tapering out to three feet. Lucy Jones is criminal in her hiding the t***h. For my benifit of keeping this reply short, I'll save the details for another conversation.
When big oil removed hundreds of millions of barrels of oil and hundreds of millions of square feet of natural gas from the earth, then a hundred cities including major metropolitan regions (Bakersfield) sink as a result of man drilling and Lucy Jones "Nothing to see here"??? I'm not against oil and gas drilling. I question the genius in drilling into a super volcanoe (Long Valley) or the Clear lake Volcanoe for geo thermo power or causing a large portion of California to sink because of the greed when that greed could be sastifued in none populated locations.

Glen Avon California in the 1800's thousands of drill holes looking for oil. They were not successful in finding oil but several hundred feet down found gold. Sadly they did not have the technology to recover the gold at these deep depths. The drill holes were covered with wood and then three bags of cement to plug the holes.. Lol

Big oil and gas companies have been opening the drill holes and pouring acid into them in order to recover the gold... Very hush hush. If you look at the number of monthly quakes in Gken Avon sometimes 650-1000..... "Nothing to see here.."......

Thanks for bringing up this topic,
. Jack

Reply
 
 
Jul 19, 2019 04:21:11   #
bggamers Loc: georgia
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
I'm struggling to keep up with the extreme earthquake activity with life's many present time constraints. I prefer time and detail in my updates.

But, here it goes in rough cut


UPDATE.........

+/- since my last post there have been another 7 Deep Earthquakes.

Look for increased magnitude push into Alaska.

I'm calling for more earthquakes of Vancouver Island /Straights of Juan D Fuca in the 5.6-6.3 magnitude.

Also look for off shore Oregon /Far Northern California 5.-6 magnitude.

Geysers will be increasing again and as my forecast for 4 and 5 magnitude earthquakes off the edge of the Craton, per my last forecast these areas where hit and look for more of the same. Western Montana,, Southern Idaho, Central /South Colorado, Nevada, Utah, Oklahoma, Kansas, Tennessee and swarms in Western Texas and the Christmas Volcanic Fields in Texas again with larger 4-5 magnitude. Philadelphia /New York /Maine will be in this push.

Alaska is our first to watch swarms in the islands with more 5's coming in than last forecast and 6 to mid 6 magnitude with a watch for 7 magnitude same locations.

California : I think the log jam in the Ridgecrest region I have been reporting is a result of energy coming down the creeping section of the San Andreas fault and t***sferring over to the Ridgecrest region, then log jamming with trickles of energy moving east along the Craton instead of it flowing east with energy leaving as fast as it moves in. I believe this is happening as a result of higher than normal energy from adnormaly high frequency of Deep earthquakes in Indonesia and the record Volcanoe) strength) eruptions, two in a 24 hour period.
Now I'm more clear on two scenarios. One, if the energy moves east as normal then look for dozens of 4/5 and a few 6 magnitude earthquakes to strike states on the edge of the Craton. If the log jam remains then I'm forecasting a 7-7,6 magnitude to Strike within 200 miles of the Ridgecrest region.

I'm still forecasting there to be 7 - 8 magnitude in the Indonesia region.

Be safe,
Be prepared,
Jack
I'm struggling to keep up with the extreme earthqu... (show quote)


Thanks for the heads up always appreciated your in that area as well arent you?

Reply
Jul 19, 2019 04:24:24   #
bggamers Loc: georgia
 
dtucker300 wrote:
What link, if any, do you see between g****l w*****g and earthquakes?


are you serious that was my first good laugh of the morning THANK YOU!!!!!!

Reply
Jul 19, 2019 04:43:14   #
bggamers Loc: georgia
 
dtucker300 wrote:
Wow! On the one hand, I hope you are wrong. On the other hand, I wouldn't be willing to place a wager on that.


It would seem I do owe you a very deep apology I did not take in the volcano spewing trash in the air so yes all this does affect c*****e c****e. After I read that in his report I could almost smack my head in the desk BUT at my age I need what little brain I have left

Reply
Jul 19, 2019 04:45:34   #
bggamers Loc: georgia
 
bggamers wrote:
are you serious that was my first good laugh of the morning THANK YOU!!!!!!
are you serious that was my first good laugh of th... (show quote)


Oh by the way even though I was dead wrong I'm keeping the laugh it starts my morning off

Reply
 
 
Jul 19, 2019 06:04:58   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
bggamers wrote:
That's very unusual, isn't it? I've always equated volcanic activity with ongoing earthquakes. Like a warning system telling u to wake up and pay attention if your in close range of a volcano



To have every plate on the planet at Unrest at the same time is unusual.

It's interesting that earthquakes are equally spaced. It's very common for earthquake energy to strike on either side of a Volcanoe, a few hundred miles each side and the Volcano be the fulcrum point. Within days of the earthquakes, the volcano erupts.
The earthquakes are pushing up on the plate putting the maga under pressure causing an eruption.

In other cases a large volcanic blast can cause an earthquake at the antipode.

Reply
Jul 19, 2019 06:10:22   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Sew_What wrote:
What is a Craton?




http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laurentia


Craton is a geological term for the more stable portion of the plate or the thicker crust with the outside of the Craton being more unstable, the thinner portion of the earth's crust, a plate.

I appreciate the question,

Jack

Reply
Jul 19, 2019 06:26:05   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
dtucker300 wrote:
Wow! On the one hand, I hope you are wrong. On the other hand, I wouldn't be willing to place a wager on that.



Thanks for the v**e of confidence. Hope I'm wrong too.

I have a 20% chance of being wrong and with all the unprecedented activity likely a bit higher if I'm understanding the Ridgecrest region wrong.
But then, we both will find out.... Lol

Jack

Reply
Jul 19, 2019 06:29:14   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
bggamers wrote:
Thanks for the heads up always appreciated your in that area as well arent you?


I was for about 8 months in Desert hot springs only a few hundred yards from the San Andreas fault and before that in Redding California a very unstable portion of the plate surrounded by volcanoes, volcanic fields and volcanic deformations in the earth's crust.
But now sinking some roots in Northwest Idaho Panhandle about 60 miles south of Canada. A relatively stable area with a few small faults.

Your welcome for the heads-up.

Jack

Reply
 
 
Jul 19, 2019 06:35:37   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Two more DEEP Earthquakes

Magnitude4.5Date-Time19 Jul 2019 05:42:51 UTC18 Jul 2019 17:42:51 near epicenter18 Jul 2019 21:42:51 standard time in your timezoneLocation24.644S 179.886WDepth537 kmDistances615.9 km (381.8 mi) SW of Haveluloto, Tonga617.7 km (383.0 mi) SW of Nuku�alofa, Tonga624.9 km (387.4 mi) SW of �Ohonua, Tonga740.5 km (459.1 mi) SSE of Suva, Fiji807.5 km (500.6 mi) SSE of Nadi, FijiLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 14.1 km; Vertical 10.5 kmParametersNph = 60; Dmin = 792.7 km; Rmss = 1.41 seconds; Gp = 137°
M-type = mb; Version =Event IDus 70004npv



Magnitude4.5Date-Time19 Jul 2019 05:39:53 UTC19 Jul 2019 13:39:53 near epicenter18 Jul 2019 21:39:53 standard time in your timezoneLocation5.317N 124.804EDepth373 kmDistances62.4 km (38.7 mi) S of Lumatil, Philippines71.4 km (44.3 mi) SW of Glan, Philippines76.9 km (47.7 mi) SSE of Kiamba, Philippines90.0 km (55.8 mi) SW of Malapatan, Philippines131.2 km (81.4 mi) S of Koronadal, PhilippinesLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 9.6 km; Vertical 8.6 kmParametersNph = 52; Dmin = 211.7 km; Rmss = 0.63 seconds; Gp = 100°
M-type = mb; Version =Event IDus 70004npi

Reply
Jul 19, 2019 06:37:48   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
In range of my watch for Israel

Magnitude4.4Date-Time19 Jul 2019 01:33:45 UTC19 Jul 2019 03:33:45 near epicenter18 Jul 2019 17:33:45 standard time in your timezoneLocation35.972N 31.078EDepth73 kmDistances76.8 km (47.6 mi) SE of Tekirova, Turkey80.0 km (49.6 mi) ESE of Beykonak, Turkey83.6 km (51.8 mi) SSE of Kemer, Turkey92.4 km (57.3 mi) SSW of Side, Turkey109.4 km (67.8 mi) SSE of Antalya, TurkeyLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 6.0 km; Vertical 9.7 kmParametersNph = 36; Dmin = 135.8 km; Rmss = 0.99 seconds; Gp = 124°
M-type = mb; Version =Event IDus 70004nlq

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Jul 19, 2019 06:41:08   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
And another Deep Earthquake

Date & time: Friday, 19 July 2019 01:18 UTC
Magnitude: 5.0
Depth: 198.0 km
Epicenter latitude / longitude: 20.88°S / 67.34°W  (Bolivia)
Nearest volcano: Pampa Luxsar (53 km)
Primary data source: GFZ
Estimated released energy: 2*10^12 J (554 MWh / 477 tons of TNT)

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Jul 19, 2019 09:53:41   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
If you guessed another Deep Earthquake, you would be right.

Date & time: Friday, 19 July 2019 12:48 UTC
Magnitude: 4.2
Depth: 10.0 km
Epicenter latitude / longitude: 2.65°N / 126.31°E  (Indonesia)
Nearest volcano: Karangetang (93 km)
Primary data source: BMKG 
Estimated released energy: 1.3*10^11 J (35 MWh / 30.1 tons of TNT

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