JFlorio wrote:
Enjoy your knowledge but hope you know I was being sarcastic.
Yes I know and have much respect for your post and replys.
Mt Rainier, St Helen's, Hood, Shasta are all having Maga from under the plates or earth's crust under pressure and pushing up. Earthquakes are present at these locations but nothing that is cause for concern. Same with Yellowstone...
Pre eruption we would see swarms but also have to see harmonic tremors and thus far the USGS is not reporting any (let's hope they wouldn't be silent).
Virginia is on the outside edge of the Craton and with the a******l swarm of Deep earthquakes we may begin to see combined energy develope and push into the States (what I'm watching for now) that would bring enough energy to bring an earthquake into Virginia. Any volcanic fields, deformations in the earth's crust or oil and gas drill points will be exactly where an earthquake would strike.
I look within 40 miles of anything volcanic and 10 - 14 miles of oil and gas or Geo Thermo drilling points.
Your right Virginia is not prone to earthquakes so my geography isn't as strong as more frequent strike points.
Mike, one does not need any technical knowledge or higher education to understand and forecast earthquakes. I'm not a gate keeper of the knowledge to understand or learn how to forecast earthquakes. I refuse to use technical terminology unless it is the only way to be descriptive.
My point is, it is very simple for anyone to forecast earthquakes.
If you have a friend in Oklahoma as an example, that experienced a recent earthquake. You could tell them it traces back to Indonesia. They could look for deep earthquakes in Indonesia. I use a few earthquake app notifications plus usgs to my email. One can look up back page where multiple agencies report (which is how I catch usgs hiding earthquakes and padding the numbers, reducing the magnitude)
Look for deep earthquakes to strike in the Indonesia region and then watch earthquakes in Alaska and California ( watch the path or flow that earthquakes follow that strike the states) observing magnitudes to know or calculate how large the earthquake will be when the energy reaches Oklahoma.
Someone with no knowledge or understanding of earthquakes can follow this simple formula and know if an earthquake is coming into Oklahoma, the magnitude and approx time it will strike. As the energy gets closer to the states from Indonesia, one can begin refining their forecast.
There are many nuances and other factors but this is the basics. As one learns the nuances their accuracy increases.
I'm hoping people do read the watches, forecast and updates so if they themselves or someone they know can better prepare and not end up at a Walmart government run shelter or even prevent a personal injury.
Take care my friend,
Jack