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Earthquake WARNING
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Jun 30, 2019 11:24:29   #
archie bunker Loc: Texas
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
Hello to my fellow OPP liberal and conservative.
Earthquakes are not political when you are in one, unfortunately the USGS does play games that could cause injuries or death.
I'm surprised having been giving warnings and forecast, there hasn't been more interest or questions. Only three have asked the risk in the area they or someone they know lives in or near.

Warning : I'm forecasting a 7.7 very near Fukushima nuke area within the next 10 days.

Warning : there have been more deep earthquakes over the last week and a half than any time since recording began. Indonesia has historically the highest number of "Deep" Earthquakes responsible for generating shallow earthquakes around the world.
But now Russia, Argentina, Japan, Fiji, Tonga, Indonesia all have been having multiple deep earthquakes and unusual Iran and Afghanistan have joined the deep earthquake status.

Warning : on higher level deep earthquakes we see the energy moving the plates in the west (Indonesia area) and then compensating North and South American continents with the lesser energy reaching and pushing on the North and greater energy South America.
TODAY EVERY PLATE IS UNDER PRESSURE AND MOVING!!!!!!!!!!!!

Argentina is another area I'm forecasting a larger 6.9-7.1

Northeast States 5.5-6.0
I'm watching the extreme energy in South America and forecasting it to go against its normal path as a result of the high energy and push what normally would be 2.0 magnitude energy, but I see it merging with the energy coming down from western states Washington, Montana and as it flows down to New Mexico around Colorado, Oklahoma, the energy from the South with join with the energy from the north causing Northeast strong earthquakes.

WARNING : what's different now than historical.
We had a major Volcanic eruption to 63,000 feet and right after and same area another volcano erupted to 48,000 feet.

The 8.0 earthquake about two months ago was compensation from a hugh Volcanic eruption to 40,000 feet in Indonesia. You may remember the 8.0 that hit Chili

Here in the states we have shallow earthquakes which is energy traveling either along the plate boundary or through the plate releasing at weak or thin points in the earth's crust.

Two types of deep earthquakes. One that is deep in the earth's crust, and the other from energy hammering from deep inside the earth up on the underside of the earth's crust.

We have had dozens of from under the earth's crust and now combined with not one but two massive volcanoes, one a record breaker.

WARNING!!!!!! Two unprecedented simultaneously massive Volcanic eruptions plus dozens of Deep Earthquakes over a very short period of just days (June 24th).


WARNING : There are only a few of us that forecast earthquakes with over an 80% accuracy.
Forecast includes location, within 10 days (often within 1-5days), magnitude. Generally errors are never location, days. What does occur is a forecast of a 5.0 earthquake actually strike as a 4.0 or 6.0 which I would still consider a hit. The magnitude warning that majority of news agencies have set as an alert is 5.0 magnitude and the USGS is proven to reclassify or originally report it as a 4.9, they even consistently will reduce a 5.5 to a 4.9 and a 5.8 they reduce to a 5.1. The USGS has not reported earthquakes anywhere on Oregon state onshore and only reports earthquakes off shore and near the border of Northern California. I have proven this and can prove it. The recent deep earthquakes around the world the USGS has only reported about half of them. Anyone wanting a phone app that notifies them of earthquakes it must include EMSC (European earthquake reporting agency), CSME, NEIC, IRIS. there are sites that will show reporting from over 50 agencies. Then equipped with multiple reporting agencies you can know the actual magnitude and real number of earthquakes.

In collaboration with other earthquake forecasters we share a common word in our exchange.... Concern, concern, concerns for what this massive energy that is able to move all the plates around the globe will t***slate into earthquake magnitude depending on how the energy could merge /combine as it moves around the plate boundaries and accross /Through the plates. Could this set off multiple 7.5 or 8.0 even 8.5's. We all agree there is a strong possibility and the other common words we each repeated several times "I hope I'm wrong"

Watch areas Indonesia, Japan, South America for the highest magnitude.

Did you know???? What is the difference between a 5.0 earthquake and a 5.1?

Answer... 10 times more powerful
And a 5.2 is ten times more powerful than a 5.1
Concern is in the event a 6.0, 6.1, 6.2 hits an American city. Depending on soil makeup, materials buildings are made of, depth of earthquake, bridges, overpasses, population density, time of day. The perfect combination could be disastrous causing massive injuries, deaths, property damage.

I'll be back and post more updates. After being up studying these events over the last two days, time for a few hours of sleep.

PLEASE, be prepared
Be safe, have a go bag with flashlight, snack bars, medicine, cash, extra set of car keys, basic first aid, water, cloths, shoes.
Imagine a disastrous event at night, the electricity goes out and debris all over trying to find a flashlight, keys, wallet..... And there's damage to the property with threat of aftershocks.

Best to be prepared


Be safe, there is accuracy in earthquake forecasting but with the current state of events there are unknowns but also the possibility of those unknowns to be a worse case scenario. I'll be staying on top of this and turn the unknowns into updates and watches.

Jack
Hello to my fellow OPP liberal and conservative. ... (show quote)


I'm curious now. I live in the Texas Panhandle, and on October 20th last year, we had one that was 4 something. I felt it here at home. Just a brief, mild kind of shaking. I know there is a fault somewhere near here, but other than that, I'm completely ignorant on this subject.
What are the chances for a big one here?

Reply
Jun 30, 2019 11:27:13   #
debeda
 
archie bunker wrote:
I'm curious now. I live in the Texas Panhandle, and on October 20th last year, we had one that was 4 something. I felt it here at home. Just a brief, mild kind of shaking. I know there is a fault somewhere near here, but other than that, I'm completely ignorant on this subject.
What are the chances for a big one here?


Good morning archie! Jack has done a series on this over the past couple of weeks. You should read it, VERY eye opening!

Reply
Jun 30, 2019 11:48:55   #
archie bunker Loc: Texas
 
debeda wrote:
Good morning archie! Jack has done a series on this over the past couple of weeks. You should read it, VERY eye opening!


Mornin Deb!

I've read some of them, and I'm truly curious. The earth is a constantly changing thing, and sometimes those changes are pretty harsh. Especially when it comes to the crust. Did you ever drive through the mountains, look at rock formations, and wonder how did that happen?

Reply
 
 
Jun 30, 2019 12:03:15   #
debeda
 
archie bunker wrote:
Mornin Deb!

I've read some of them, and I'm truly curious. The earth is a constantly changing thing, and sometimes those changes are pretty harsh. Especially when it comes to the crust. Did you ever drive through the mountains, look at rock formations, and wonder how did that happen?


Absolutely!!! I remember the first time I was in Colorado camping at rocky mountain national park. The summer I was 5. My grandpa was a big reader and very interested in pretty much everything. I asked how those big mountains got there and he gave me a 5 years olds version of tectonics and pressure, plus we had just gone to see geysers so that helped me understand. I've been interested ever since! I really miss the days when people had the time and money to take long road trips and stop off wherever .......

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Jun 30, 2019 12:16:20   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
bggamers wrote:
When I was a child we lived for a short in Oregon don't remember where but we would go to craters of the moon thats what my mom called it old volcanoes filled with water it was stunning. Question are these volcanoes that they say are dead able to become active again???



Yes they are very able to erupt. I place my forecasting about 80% earthquakes and 20% volcanoes.

It was about 7-8 months ago the USGS reclassified the Long Valley Super Volcano from dormant to Active. There is an estimated 1000 square miles of magma in the magm chamber.
Because I spend majority of my time with Indonesia and South America volcanoes I'm weak to recall the names of Volcanoes but Colli Albania outside of Rome was dormant and came to life, Sinabung in northern Sumatra, a possible eruption in the Congo and another Sumatran volcano called Seulawah Agam that are waking up. I wish I could recall the names but within the last 6 months 2 "Extinct volcanoes erupted. The difference in classifying dormant and extinct. Dormant is in nearly every case a volcano that scientists believe is sleeping a" Probably" won't erupt. Extinct is what scientists believe will never erupt and usually they classify its activity during the Mesozoic Era which I strongly disagree with.

Our halls of higher learning (University's) are teaching false information about both earthquakes and Volcanoes.

Scientist say strongly (USGS) that earthquakes do not have paths they follow, that earthquakes are random.
Using the states as an example...
Over a decade of "Observation" earthquakes follow a path beginning on the Juan D Fuca fault. There are lines that earthquakes follow (consistently following a path (s)) from the Juan D Fuca fault East to Washington state, Idaho, Montana then down to New Mexico, Colorado and accross to Oklahoma heading east across several states and then north through more states and on to Maine.
If you look at a map of the Craton, then plot the time an earthquake hits and where, you will find a distinct path..... Every time earthquake energy hits the states. But the USGS refuses to acknowledge this FACT.

If scientists (USGS) told you one thing and over a decade you observed something completely different happening 100 % of the time, it would be fair to say that they are wrong.

Scientists (USGS) state "Through extended studies" almost every single earthquake strikes at fault lines. Again I observe less than 10% strike at faults, over 90% strike at weak points in the earth's crust, thinner points or where man has drilled for oil&gas or GeoThermal power causing perforations in the crust (weak points)
I again observed by taking the coordinates of an earthquake that the USGS includes when they report an earthquake. Then I would (Still do) cut and paste the coordinates into Google Earth and look to see what's next to the earthquake. Drilling for oil and gas or Geo Thermo, they drill thousands of feet, several miles and not only vertical but Horizontal. If you took a brick and drilled holes with a tiny drill bit every quarter of an inch, the "Perforations" would cause weak points. Mother nature (Earthquake energy) seeks out weak points. What do I see when I look around the earthquake on Google Earth? Volcanoes, volcanic fields, volcanic deformations in the earth's crust like laccoliths which are bulges in the earth's crust where magna pushed up but didn't break through and they have volcanoes circling the outer edge or volcanoes within a mile or two or volcanic fields very nearby. Often I see these laccoliths that have collapsed forming a giant crator and they can be several miles across in size. When you look at a Volcano, it's where mother nature (magma) had sought out a weak point in the earth's crust and punched it's way through it hundreds or thousands of years ago.

The earth is an engine with unthinkable massive explosions deep within the earth as a result magma is under tremendous pressure that seeks out weak points in the earth's crust. An extinct volcano is evidence of a weak point in the earth's crust just waiting for an explosion and if the energy is directed towards the extinct volcano. An active volcano is even weaker than extinct Volcanoes because they don't have the hardened cap to push through, the reason a nearby extinct volcano near an active one remains silent but given a strong enough explosion from deep inside the earth will cause the extinct volcano to wake up...... If that makes sense.
Over the last decade their have been dozens of both dormant and extinct volcanoes erupt.

Long answer, but I wanted both you and the other readers to better understand in depth the how's, why's, where's also.

Good question

Jack

Reply
Jun 30, 2019 12:51:51   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
archie bunker wrote:
I'm curious now. I live in the Texas Panhandle, and on October 20th last year, we had one that was 4 something. I felt it here at home. Just a brief, mild kind of shaking. I know there is a fault somewhere near here, but other than that, I'm completely ignorant on this subject.
What are the chances for a big one here?




Hello Archie,
Been a while since I've said hello.
Hope your doing well my friend.

Very good chance of having an earthquake up to 6.0 - 6.5
Much better Chance that if a larger earthquake were to strike, it would be in the 4-5 range.
The good news is that Texas is one of the simplest states to forecast earthquakes. Typically the western area of Texas is where the majority of the earthquakes hit. The reason is Hundreds of Thousands of oil and gas drilling locations. Then not long ago an earthquake hit more to the east, no oil and gas drilling pads. Hmmm, then I found what's called the "Christmas Volcanic Field with dozens of Laccoliths.

With the increases of earthquakes in frequency and magnitude of several thousand percent over the last 40 +/- year's and considering your location, it

I quickly looked up the Pan Handle on Google Earth and guess what I found?

Here are some coordinates you can put in Google Earth. I'm sure if I spent some time I would find lots and lots of weak points in the earth's crust.

Check these out

35°32'13"N 101°25'57"W

35°35'04"N 101°27'44"W

35°33'45"N 101°29'37"W

35°35'08"N 101°28'35"W

These coordinates show hundreds and hundreds of pads with pumps and Derricks

35°47'39"N 101°30'07"W

I also noticed several volcanic deformations all over the area.

Take care my friend,

With the increases of earthquakes in frequency and magnitude of several thousand percent over the last 40 +/- year's and considering your location, it could be a good idea to have a go bag with medicine, snack bars, water and other stuff, (Full tank of gas) just in case. If (IF) you would be better to prepared than most during the first 3 to 4 days and not be forced to go to the government run shelter.

Jack

Reply
Jun 30, 2019 12:57:39   #
bahmer
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
Hello Archie,
Been a while since I've said hello.
Hope your doing well my friend.

Very good chance of having an earthquake up to 6.0 - 6.5
Much better Chance that if a larger earthquake were to strike, it would be in the 4-5 range.
The good news is that Texas is one of the simplest states to forecast earthquakes. Typically the western area of Texas is where the majority of the earthquakes hit. The reason is Hundreds of Thousands of oil and gas drilling locations. Then not long ago an earthquake hit more to the east, no oil and gas drilling pads. Hmmm, then I found what's called the "Christmas Volcanic Field with dozens of Laccoliths.

With the increases of earthquakes in frequency and magnitude of several thousand percent over the last 40 +/- year's and considering your location, it

I quickly looked up the Pan Handle on Google Earth and guess what I found?

Here are some coordinates you can put in Google Earth. I'm sure if I spent some time I would find lots and lots of weak points in the earth's crust.

Check these out

35°32'13"N 101°25'57"W

35°35'04"N 101°27'44"W

35°33'45"N 101°29'37"W

35°35'08"N 101°28'35"W

These coordinates show hundreds and hundreds of pads with pumps and Derricks

35°47'39"N 101°30'07"W

I also noticed several volcanic deformations all over the area.

Take care my friend,

With the increases of earthquakes in frequency and magnitude of several thousand percent over the last 40 +/- year's and considering your location, it could be a good idea to have a go bag with medicine, snack bars, water and other stuff, (Full tank of gas) just in case. If (IF) you would be better to prepared than most during the first 3 to 4 days and not be forced to go to the government run shelter.

Jack
Hello Archie, br Been a while since I've said he... (show quote)


What does it look like for northern Illinois Jack?

Reply
 
 
Jun 30, 2019 13:37:38   #
archie bunker Loc: Texas
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
Hello Archie,
Been a while since I've said hello.
Hope your doing well my friend.

Very good chance of having an earthquake up to 6.0 - 6.5
Much better Chance that if a larger earthquake were to strike, it would be in the 4-5 range.
The good news is that Texas is one of the simplest states to forecast earthquakes. Typically the western area of Texas is where the majority of the earthquakes hit. The reason is Hundreds of Thousands of oil and gas drilling locations. Then not long ago an earthquake hit more to the east, no oil and gas drilling pads. Hmmm, then I found what's called the "Christmas Volcanic Field with dozens of Laccoliths.

With the increases of earthquakes in frequency and magnitude of several thousand percent over the last 40 +/- year's and considering your location, it

I quickly looked up the Pan Handle on Google Earth and guess what I found?

Here are some coordinates you can put in Google Earth. I'm sure if I spent some time I would find lots and lots of weak points in the earth's crust.

Check these out

35°32'13"N 101°25'57"W

35°35'04"N 101°27'44"W

35°33'45"N 101°29'37"W

35°35'08"N 101°28'35"W

These coordinates show hundreds and hundreds of pads with pumps and Derricks

35°47'39"N 101°30'07"W

I also noticed several volcanic deformations all over the area.

Take care my friend,

With the increases of earthquakes in frequency and magnitude of several thousand percent over the last 40 +/- year's and considering your location, it could be a good idea to have a go bag with medicine, snack bars, water and other stuff, (Full tank of gas) just in case. If (IF) you would be better to prepared than most during the first 3 to 4 days and not be forced to go to the government run shelter.

Jack
Hello Archie, br Been a while since I've said he... (show quote)


Thanks Jack. I'll check them out.
As for being prepared, we are, and will be. We don't live in town, so we stay prepared for any event that will keep us from getting there. Of course, in a devastating catastrophic incident, we prolly won't want to go there.

Reply
Jun 30, 2019 13:53:21   #
debeda
 
bahmer wrote:
What does it look like for northern Illinois Jack?


I've read that we could get a big one in northern Illinois at some point. Would be disastrous close to the city because rosemount is built on top of giant limestone caves, and can you just imagine a seiche in lake michigan?? (Kidding about the seiche)

Reply
Jun 30, 2019 15:16:51   #
bggamers Loc: georgia
 
archie bunker wrote:
Thanks Jack. I'll check them out.
As for being prepared, we are, and will be. We don't live in town, so we stay prepared for any event that will keep us from getting there. Of course, in a devastating catastrophic incident, we prolly won't want to go there.


No, but you need to be prepared for the people coming out of a catastrophe if you have it they'll want it

Reply
Jun 30, 2019 16:38:35   #
archie bunker Loc: Texas
 
bggamers wrote:
No, but you need to be prepared for the people coming out of a catastrophe if you have it they'll want it


We have lots of pills. Lead, and copper coated lead pills for them. We can deliver them at 1000's of feet per second. We aim to please!

Reply
 
 
Jun 30, 2019 16:47:20   #
debeda
 
archie bunker wrote:
We have lots of pills. Lead, and copper coated lead pills for them. We can deliver them at 1000's of feet per second. We aim to please!



Reply
Jun 30, 2019 18:15:11   #
bggamers Loc: georgia
 
archie bunker wrote:
We have lots of pills. Lead, and copper coated lead pills for them. We can deliver them at 1000's of feet per second. We aim to please!


The OFFICAL pill pusher and hardcore at that my my(way to go)

Reply
Jun 30, 2019 20:52:11   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
bggamers wrote:
Thanks for the update really appreciate the information
Thanks for the update really appreciate the inform... (show quote)




I'll be posting an update later tonight


Explanation how earthquakes work..

Questions?



http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-158442-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159082-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159306-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159702-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159966-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-160104-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-160207-1.html#2884134

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-160172-1.html

Jack

Reply
Jun 30, 2019 20:55:28   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
archie bunker wrote:
I'm curious now. I live in the Texas Panhandle, and on October 20th last year, we had one that was 4 something. I felt it here at home. Just a brief, mild kind of shaking. I know there is a fault somewhere near here, but other than that, I'm completely ignorant on this subject.
What are the chances for a big one here?




Archie,

Here are links from my most recent forecast that are heavily weighted with information how earthquakes work.

Questions?



http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-158442-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159082-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159306-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159702-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159966-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-160104-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-160207-1.html#2884134

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-160172-1.html

Reply
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