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After the Carrier "deal", how much will trump have to give Rexnord?
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Dec 4, 2016 19:06:39   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
permafrost wrote:
MW,

If I accept you numbers, it was still a very good policy for the nation. Look down to the ending of this post. Compare the loss of 11.2 billion, not such a huge amount by corporations and government standards. You will see that Obama action was indeed a life saver for the nation.. Millions of jobs saved..

Even the tax figures are more then 3 time the total of you losses.. Savings for our nation..

Six years after the fact, it’s easy to forget the dire plight that Chrysler and General Motors faced at the time. Decades of poor decision-making by management and labor had saddled the firms with manufacturing capacity they couldn’t use, wage and benefit obligations they couldn’t meet, and, yes, cars they couldn’t sell. Unlike Ford, which had confronted and addressed similar problems while it still had time to save itself, Chrysler and GM had postponed their reckoning until late 2008 — the very same time that the collapse of the financial and housing markets had thrown the economy into a deep recession.

They came to Washington for help and the Bush administration obliged with an emergency, short-term loan eventually worth about $23 billion — enough to last until the spring, when the newly elected Obama could make up his own mind about what to do. (Before Obama took office, his advisers had quietly urged Bush to keep the companies going, according to a memoir subsequently written by former White House adviser David Axelrod.)

With full control over the situation, and following intense debate among his aides, Obama decided to offer the car companies a deal. The government would infuse Chrysler and GM with federal dollars, but it would also take control of them — steering the firms into bankruptcy and then managing a massive restructuring of operations so that they could become profitable once again.

To justify such extraordinary measures, Obama cited the extraordinary circumstances: At a time of economic crisis, the president explained, the collapse of Chrysler and GM would likely have severe repercussions, wrecking not just two iconic American companies but also the myriad businesses — from parts suppliers to mom-and-pop restaurants near factories — that depended on the two companies. The damage could even drag down Ford, Obama warned, despite that company’s relative health.

LOSSES
The most tangible loss is money. Between Obama and Bush, the U.S. spent about $80 billion to rescue GM, Chrysler, and their auto-part suppliers. With all the government-held shares sold, Uncle Sam booked a $10.5 billion loss on its GM investment. The U.S. lost another $1.2 billion on Chrysler.

More intangibly, the U.S. lost what would have emerged from the ashes of GM, Chrysler, and perhaps Ford, which didn't take any bailout money but benefited from the stemming of market panic and closure of suppliers.

GAINS
Lew insists that "inaction could have cost the broader economy more than one million jobs, billions in lost personal savings, and significantly reduced economic production." And at least one recent study backs him up.

On Monday, the Ann Arbor, Mich., think tank the Center for Automotive Research (CAR) put out these numbers:

1.88 million: Job losses in 2009-2010 if only GM had gone under.
4.15 million: Job losses in 2009-2010 if the whole U.S. auto industry had shut down.
$39.4 billion: The hit to federal and state governments, from lost tax revenue and jobless benefit payments, if just GM went under.
$105.3 billion: The hit to federal and state governments if the whole auto industry had collapsed.

The federal government had to step in "because the entire industry was in a depression, and it could have dragged the whole country into one," says former CAR chairman David E. Cole.
MW, br br If I accept you numbers, it was still a... (show quote)




The numbers in your post "benifit of return by GM not closing " are somewhat elevated. But your position is correct. Had GM gone bankrupt, the hundreds of vendors that also supply Ford, Dodge/Chrysler and other manufacturers, their auto parts supplies would have closed down, effectively stopping every assembly line in America, as well as many world wide. Trucking would have been crushed along with thousands of supportive businesses. You would have been correct had you painted a darker picture in your reply for America had the auto industry stopped.
Approximately 2500 car dealers went out of business during the heat of the recession and that number would have trippled, costing millions more sales, administration, parts, and service jobs, and again supporting businesses in markets losing dealerships. Banks, restaurants, ect, ect

Reply
Dec 4, 2016 19:19:41   #
Homestead
 
Nickolai wrote:
In the mid-1970s, eager to make his mark in Manhattan, the 30-year-old Mr. Trump focused his attention on the failing Commodore Hotel on East 42nd Street, next to Grand Central Terminal. The owner, the bankrupt Penn Central Railroad, was keen to sell.
It did not seem like an auspicious plan. The city was in the midst of both its own fiscal crisis and a broader economic one; the neighborhood near the terminal had gotten seedy; and Mr. Trump did not have the capital for the project. He needed his father, Fred C. Trump, to guarantee a portion of the construction loan. Hyatt, which was going to run the hotel, took a 50 percent stake in exchange for guaranteeing the rest of the project.
But Mr. Trump insisted that the project was not viable without a tax break from the city.
In pressing for government approval, Mr. Trump proved to be the quintessential insider, at least through his father: The elder Mr. Trump was a major contributor to and friend of Mayor Abraham D. Beame and Gov. Hugh L. Carey, both Democrats.

“Fred was a big macher in Brooklyn,” said Martin J. McLaughlin, a lobbyist who worked for Donald Trump in the 1990s. “He had an extremely close relationship with Beame and Carey.”
Mr. Trump visited a young city official, Michael Bailkin, who devised a plan centered on a 40-year tax abatement, still the longest ever granted by the city, under which the state would own the land beneath the hotel and lease it to the partnership for $1 a year.

All together Trump has received $885 million in tax breaks on buildings he has built in New York others have had to pay for government services that he has not. Remember his biggest talent is lobbying for tax breaks
In the mid-1970s, eager to make his mark in Manhat... (show quote)


Which just goes to show that if the city would quit overtaxing people more success could be had in New York for everyone.

Reply
Dec 4, 2016 19:24:13   #
permafrost Loc: Minnesota
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
The numbers in your post "benifit of return by GM not closing " are somewhat elevated. But your position is correct. Had GM gone bankrupt, the hundreds of vendors that also supply Ford, Dodge/Chrysler and other manufacturers, their auto parts supplies would have closed down, effectively stopping every assembly line in America, as well as many world wide. Trucking would have been crushed along with thousands of supportive businesses. You would have been correct had you painted a darker picture in your reply for America had the auto industry stopped.
Approximately 2500 car dealers went out of business during the heat of the recession and that number would have trippled, costing millions more sales, administration, parts, and service jobs, and again supporting businesses in markets losing dealerships. Banks, restaurants, ect, ect
The numbers in your post "benifit of return b... (show quote)




I had forgotten about the car dealers. One of those was a good local man who had sold me 2 cars.. Good for him, he was able to retire and that had been his plan. Only sped it up for him a little..

Reply
 
 
Dec 4, 2016 20:29:33   #
Randy131 Loc: Florida
 
I'm with you! Those live news broadcasts were cable news (FOX News, CNN, MSNBC, & NCBS, and maybe some others, but no mainstream media live coverage from Indianapolis, Indiana, where they made the announcements at the Carrier plant after Donald Trump and Mike Pence took a tour of the plant and met all the employees, who stayed working while they went into another part of the plant that was set up for news coverage and made the announcements with the United Technologies' CEO, who Donald Trump introduced.



permafrost wrote:
Randy,

I will be very honest and say that I hope your news is correct and my news is wrong..

I do not have cable so I only see network news none of the cable programs.. ALso, some news was on that I got called away and did not see.. So perhaps that was what you reference..

I want to be clear that I am very much for jobs staying and Trump turning out much better then I think he will... I will hope for that..

Reply
Dec 4, 2016 20:44:18   #
BigMike Loc: yerington nv
 
snowbear37 wrote:
Look for "sour grapes" among the liberals that can't stand the fact that Trump won.


Lot's of sniveling, crying and hysterical accusations...just like the one's that lost them the election.

Reply
Dec 5, 2016 00:19:04   #
Docadhoc Loc: Elsewhere
 
Nickolai wrote:
Trump will step into the oval office just in time to preside over another recession some time in the next 12 to 18 months. If the current recovery continues for another 12 months it will equal the longest in the nations history. how can a new record be set when our manufacturing base is so rotted out. Trump is a bag of wind he is not going to fix it It's too far gone


Thank Obama. And if Trump csn.pull us out, you can change.your tune.

At least you admit how Obama has ruined our economy.

Unless you blame Bush, in which case you are admitting Obama is ineffective and all talk. Pick one.

Either way, the crystal ball gazing regarding Trump is 0 for 1 so far. You're working on 0 for several.

Reply
Dec 5, 2016 00:23:20   #
Docadhoc Loc: Elsewhere
 
permafrost wrote:
MW,

If I accept you numbers, it was still a very good policy for the nation. Look down to the ending of this post. Compare the loss of 11.2 billion, not such a huge amount by corporations and government standards. You will see that Obama action was indeed a life saver for the nation.. Millions of jobs saved..

Even the tax figures are more then 3 time the total of you losses.. Savings for our nation..

Six years after the fact, it’s easy to forget the dire plight that Chrysler and General Motors faced at the time. Decades of poor decision-making by management and labor had saddled the firms with manufacturing capacity they couldn’t use, wage and benefit obligations they couldn’t meet, and, yes, cars they couldn’t sell. Unlike Ford, which had confronted and addressed similar problems while it still had time to save itself, Chrysler and GM had postponed their reckoning until late 2008 — the very same time that the collapse of the financial and housing markets had thrown the economy into a deep recession.

They came to Washington for help and the Bush administration obliged with an emergency, short-term loan eventually worth about $23 billion — enough to last until the spring, when the newly elected Obama could make up his own mind about what to do. (Before Obama took office, his advisers had quietly urged Bush to keep the companies going, according to a memoir subsequently written by former White House adviser David Axelrod.)

With full control over the situation, and following intense debate among his aides, Obama decided to offer the car companies a deal. The government would infuse Chrysler and GM with federal dollars, but it would also take control of them — steering the firms into bankruptcy and then managing a massive restructuring of operations so that they could become profitable once again.

To justify such extraordinary measures, Obama cited the extraordinary circumstances: At a time of economic crisis, the president explained, the collapse of Chrysler and GM would likely have severe repercussions, wrecking not just two iconic American companies but also the myriad businesses — from parts suppliers to mom-and-pop restaurants near factories — that depended on the two companies. The damage could even drag down Ford, Obama warned, despite that company’s relative health.

LOSSES
The most tangible loss is money. Between Obama and Bush, the U.S. spent about $80 billion to rescue GM, Chrysler, and their auto-part suppliers. With all the government-held shares sold, Uncle Sam booked a $10.5 billion loss on its GM investment. The U.S. lost another $1.2 billion on Chrysler.

More intangibly, the U.S. lost what would have emerged from the ashes of GM, Chrysler, and perhaps Ford, which didn't take any bailout money but benefited from the stemming of market panic and closure of suppliers.

GAINS
Lew insists that "inaction could have cost the broader economy more than one million jobs, billions in lost personal savings, and significantly reduced economic production." And at least one recent study backs him up.

On Monday, the Ann Arbor, Mich., think tank the Center for Automotive Research (CAR) put out these numbers:

1.88 million: Job losses in 2009-2010 if only GM had gone under.
4.15 million: Job losses in 2009-2010 if the whole U.S. auto industry had shut down.
$39.4 billion: The hit to federal and state governments, from lost tax revenue and jobless benefit payments, if just GM went under.
$105.3 billion: The hit to federal and state governments if the whole auto industry had collapsed.

The federal government had to step in "because the entire industry was in a depression, and it could have dragged the whole country into one," says former CAR chairman David E. Cole.
MW, br br If I accept you numbers, it was still a... (show quote)


And then he over regulated to the point of driving those jobs out of the country, losing all that tax, and putting many of them on food stamps, unemployment...for as long as that lasted, and other low income based aid...so how much did all that cost us?

Reply
 
 
Dec 5, 2016 03:34:38   #
Docadhoc Loc: Elsewhere
 
DJRich wrote:
Thought all of you dumb ass cons never wanted the government to interfere in the management of private companies.

Where is all of your outrage about "big government"?

And yes, trump is not yet sworn in, so imagine what kind of crap he will be pulling on idiots like you, investors and management. And workers will get the ultimate screwing.

And you assholes are in denial about what chump is going to do.


I love it. You're freaking out almost as badly as TD.

Reply
Dec 5, 2016 05:48:01   #
PeterS
 
permafrost wrote:
Randy,

The jobs are 700 to 800 remaining in Indiana... 1300 will go to Mexico... Expansion will take place in Mexico.... United will get more DOD contracts... There are not job incentives to the tax cuts.

Trump had nothing much to do with it... Only Pence could give those cuts to carrier... Trump only cares about Trump....


Yeah, but Trump is the one who gets credit. Pence if VP remember, so even if he put out the cash credit goes to the top of the ticket. That's just the way it works...

Reply
Dec 5, 2016 05:51:06   #
PeterS
 
Docadhoc wrote:
And then he over regulated to the point of driving those jobs out of the country, losing all that tax, and putting many of them on food stamps, unemployment...for as long as that lasted, and other low income based aid...so how much did all that cost us?

Let's see, what do they make in Mexico...two to three dollars an hour and what do they make at Carrier...twenty five plus benefits! Yeah, keep telling yourself that regulations are why businesses are leaving. Good thinking...I can see how you got to be a doc...

Reply
Dec 5, 2016 07:02:05   #
mwdegutis Loc: Illinois
 
PeterS wrote:
Let's see, what do they make in Mexico...two to three dollars an hour and what do they make at Carrier...twenty five plus benefits! Yeah, keep telling yourself that regulations are why businesses are leaving. Good thinking...I can see how you got to be a doc...

And I can see how you got to be such a dick...embellishing facts.

Reply
 
 
Dec 5, 2016 22:50:04   #
Docadhoc Loc: Elsewhere
 
PeterS wrote:
Let's see, what do they make in Mexico...two to three dollars an hour and what do they make at Carrier...twenty five plus benefits! Yeah, keep telling yourself that regulations are why businesses are leaving. Good thinking...I can see how you got to be a doc...


You can't see past your nose bright boy.

Tens of thousands of jobs driven out of America by Obama's idiot regulations and if you don't admit it you are just another denier. No matter how many Carrier jobs go to Mexico, there are a lot that won't now and it is due to Trump whether you like it or not. Pence said his talks with Carrier were going no where. Try reading before you shoot off your mouth. Pence himself said Trump made the deal he couldn't.

Lipping off about the jobs going to Mexico and ignoring the ones that were saved is exactly the smooth brained thinking that just lost you the farm and apparently you are too dense to learn the difference between wishful thinking and reality.

I'll tell you the difference bright boy.

YOU LOST. That's the difference and instead of showing how dumb you are, you better be looking to start a new.political party because yours is just about dead thanks to your pathetic attempts to pretend to be in charge.

You aren't. Own it.

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