ldsuttonjr wrote:
The Vanishing White Democrat
Posted By Daniel Greenfield On November 19, 2014 @ 12:55
It wasnt all that long ago that the Democrats were predicting the end of the Republican Party.
With the rise of Obama, James Carville began peddling a new book 40 More Years promising that the Dems would rule for generations.
Just this year Carville predicted that the Republican Party would become extinct if it lost to Hillary Clinton. But it was the Democratic Party that was going extinct in Carvilles own backyard.
Republicans began winning Senate seats in Louisiana for the first time in a century in just the last ten years. If Landrieu loses, then both of the Louisianas Senate seats will be unprecedentedly held by Republicans.
And Louisiana isnt an outlier. Bill Clinton couldnt stop Arkansas from going full Republican with two Republican senators and a full suite of Republican representatives for the first time in history. Thats all the more amazing in a state that only had two Republican senators before that for over a century.
The Democratic Party is going extinct in places like Louisiana, Arkansas and West Virginia. Its vanishing because the working class White Democrat is becoming extinct.
Even Carville hedged his bets while predicting the end of the Republican Party by joining FOX News.
A generation ago, white Democrats outnumbered white Republicans. Today its the other way around. Under Obama, barely a quarter of white people still identify as Democrats.
Republicans didnt just win a few e******ns. They swept across entire legislatures in western and southern states. They took state senates and governorships in places like New York and Illinois. Its not that Republicans had a particularly compelling message, some did and some didnt, but that Democrats had assumed that enough white v**ers would continue showing up to prop up their rainbow coalition.
They were wrong.
The latest Pew poll shows that 74 percent of Democrats support ObamaCare, but only 29 percent of white respondents do. The Democratic Party is becoming a party without white people. Under Obama, the Democratic disadvantage among white v**ers doubled without any corresponding gains among minority v**ers.
Meanwhile Republicans increased their share of white v**ers. And thats only telling part of the story.
The nations largest party is none of the above. Independents began to decisively outnumber both parties under Obama. Hispanic v**ers are increasingly identifying as independents. So are white men.
And though the independents come from both parties, they increasingly swing Republican in key races.
The Democratic model depended on the combination of an overwhelming minority v**e combined with a second place showing in the white v**e. That model may no longer be feasible, especially in states with a shortage of unemployed white hipsters with PhDs and protest signs who know all the latest social warrior mumbo jumbo but cant change a flat tire.
The Democrats had to bet on turnout and changing demographics to salvage the situation. They played up racial tensions to increase turnout and championed open borders to shift demographics and those tactics only deepened their problems with white v**ers.
Tribalism helped Obama win a second term, but it didnt fix the underlying flaw in the Democratic model. And it actually worsened the situation. The more the Democrats sounded racially d******e notes, the more they alienated white v**ers, not just by abusing them, but by ignoring their concerns.
ObamaCare became emblematic of a party that tuned out what used to be its base. And so its base left forcing the Democrats to discover that they couldnt actually win without white v**ers.
Republican congressional candidates won 64 percent of white working class v**ers. Landrieu won just 18 percent of the white v**e; 22 percent among white women and 15 percent among white men. Thats less than the amount taken by a second Republican candidate in the race, Rob Maness.
Those numbers alone indicate why the Democrats wont put any real money behind her. If Landrieu cant even compete for the white v**e, then theres no reason to waste good money on her.
Mark Pryor won only 31 percent of white v**ers. Nunn won 23 percent of white v**ers. The Dems didnt do this badly everywhere, but where they lost it was usually because the white v**e sharply tilted away from them enough to offset their overwhelming minority percentages.
The Democrats have a white v**er problem. The party is betting that it wont outlast Obama because it confused its own propaganda with reality and decided that white v**ers h**e Obama because hes black.
It was never Obamas race that was the problem. It was the Democratic Partys embrace of l*****t radicalism at the national level while waging identity politics wars along the lines of race and g****r.
Republicans dont have a problem with black people. Democrats do have a problem with white people.
The party is now under the sway of an elitist class of white l*****ts for whom white people is an insult, not a group of v**ers. And by white people they mean the sort of v**ers who conclusively tossed them out in West Virginia, Nevada and Arkansas.
The elitists of the new Democratic Party envision themselves as the white protectors and organizers of a minority country whose property and rights they will redistribute as they see fit in a new Socialist order. There is absolutely nothing in this creepy little vision that appeals to anyone except the grubby Grubers frustrated at having to work so hard to dupe the insufficiently stupid American v**ers who wont just let them play with their health care toys without insisting on tediously v****g against higher taxes.
Its this elite that steadily began alienating white v**ers with its policies. The situation became critical under Obama not because of his race, but because he fully endorsed their insane power grab.
Now the Democrats are hoping that Hillary Clinton can save their party, but first she has to decide who she is. Hillary has tried to play up racial appeals to white v**ers before overcorrecting and going the other way. At times she sounds like she wants to appeal to working class v**ers and at other times she returns to her native element pushing the policy toys of the technocracy.
Instead of the Democratic Partys Great White Hope, Hillary more closely resembles Mary Landrieu veering between accusations of r****m and support for the Keystone pipeline. The lefts attacks on Landrieu for supporting the pipeline only highlight the impossible dilemma of any Democrat trying to run to the right of Obama and Nancy Pelosi. They have to either abandon their v**ers or their party.
Unlike European parties, American politicians were supposed to put loyalty to their constituents ahead of loyalty to their party. The Democratic Party put its own politicians in the impossible position of being defined by a centralized party seeking to eliminate anything reeking of conservatism while expecting them to win in conservative parts of the country. The Dems didnt lose. They committed suicide.
The Democratic Party has moved so far to the left that it has alienated all white v**ers who arent on the left and its botched programs like ObamaCare are even beginning to alienate minority v**ers. Minority support for ObamaCare has hit a new low. Finding white support for ObamaCare requires a microscope.
But the Democratic Party cant change. It has become dependent on a small donor class of men like Bloomberg, Soros and Steyer whose ad buys and think tanks dictate their agenda. To win, Hillary, Biden and any other candidate must first win over billionaires whose priorities of gun control, no pipeline and lots of big government are exactly the things that have pushed the Democratic Party to the edge.
James Carville was half-right about the 2016 e******n. If Hillary doesnt win it, one of the big two parties may go extinct. But it wont be the Republicans.
Let the games begin!
The Vanishing White Democrat br br Posted By Dani... (
show quote)
What a bunch of crap. Virtually every white person I know is a Democrat. Many states that are overwhelmingly white are staunchly democratic---and progressive to boot. Oregon, Washington St., Vermont, Connecticut, Massachusetts, and Rhode Island come instantly to mind.
BFD.... so the Republicans captured e*******lly poor W. Virginia, Arkansas, Nevada, and Louisiana. Meanwhile, in 2012, the Democratic party ate the GOPs p**********l lunch in 2 e*******l v**e -rich states, Virginia, and Florida. The Rethuglicans thought these states were their's for the taking. They guessed wrong---as they usually do in p**********l e******n years.
The Democratic leadership has hardly written off white v**ers---especially the educated liberal boomers born after WWII. They are very much a part of the p**********l coalition and valued in the upcoming p**********l e******n battles of 2016.