Parky60 Loc: People's Republic of Illinois

A new study of mail-in ballot fraud challenges the official results of the 2020 presidential election.


Empty envelopes of opened vote-by-mail ballots for the presidential primary are stacked on a table at King County Elections in Renton, Wash., on March 10, 2020. (Jason Redmond/AFP via Getty Images)

A new study examining the likely impact that fraudulent mail-in ballots had in the 2020 election concludes that the outcome would “almost certainly” have been different without the massive expansion of voting by mail.

The Heartland Institute study tried to gauge the probable impact that fraudulent mail-in ballots cast for both then-candidate Joe Biden and his opponent, President Donald Trump, would have had on the overall 2020 election results.

The study was based on data obtained from a Heartland/Rasmussen survey in December that revealed that roughly one in five mail-in voters admitted to potentially fraudulent actions in the presidential election.

After the researchers carried out additional analyses of the data, they concluded that mail-in ballot fraud “significantly” impacted the 2020 presidential election.

They also found that, absent the huge expansion of mail-in ballots during the pandemic, which was often done without legislative approval, President Trump would most likely have won.

“Had the 2020 election been conducted like every national election has been over the past two centuries, wherein the vast majority of voters cast ballots in-person rather than by mail, Donald Trump would have almost certainly been re-elected,” the report’s authors wrote.

Over 43 percent of 2020 votes were cast by mail, the highest percentage in U.S. history.

The new study examined raw data from the December survey carried out jointly between Heartland Institute and Rasmussen Reports, which tried to assess the level of fraudulent voting that took place in 2020.

The December survey, which President Trump called “the biggest story of the year,” suggested that roughly 20 percent of mail-in voters engaged in at least one potentially fraudulent action in the 2020 election, such as voting in a state where they’re no longer permanent residents.

In the new study, Heartland analysts say that, after reviewing the raw survey data, subjecting it to additional statistical treatment and more thorough analysis, they now believe they can conclude that 28.2 percent of respondents who voted by mail committed at least one type of behavior that is “under most circumstances, illegal” and so potentially amounts to voter fraud.

“This means that more than one-in-four ballots cast by mail in 2020 were likely cast fraudulently, and thus should not have been counted,” the researchers wrote.

A Heartland Institute research editor and research fellow who was involved in the study explained that there are narrow exceptions where a surveyed behavior may be legal, like filling out a mail-in ballot on behalf of another voter if that person is blind, illiterate, or disabled, and requests assistance.

However, the research fellow, Jack McPherrin, said such cases were within the margin of error and not statistically significant.

In addition to reassessing the likely overall degree of fraudulent mail-in ballots in the 2020 election, Heartland analysts calculated the potential impact that fraudulent mail-in ballots might have produced in the six key swing states that President Trump officially lost.

This, then, was used to determine the impact of potentially fraudulent mail-in ballots on the overall 2020 election result.

First, the researchers analyzed the electoral results for the six swing states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—under the 28.2 percent fraudulent mail-in ballot scenario that they estimated based on the raw survey data.

Then they calculated the electoral results in the six states under the different scenarios, each with a lower assumed percentage of fraudulent ballots, ranging from 28.2 percent all the way down to 1 percent.

For each of the 29 scenarios that they assessed, the researchers calculated the estimated number of fraudulent ballots, which were then subtracted from overall 2020 vote totals to generate a new estimate for vote totals.

Overall, of the 29 different scenarios presented in the study, the researchers concluded that President Trump would have won the 2020 election in all but three.

Specifically, they calculated that the only scenarios that would affirm the official 2020 election result, namely that candidate Biden won, were mail-in ballot fraud levels between 1 and 3 percent of ballots cast.

Mail-in ballot fraud rates higher than 3 percent would, according to the study, mean more fraudulent Biden votes that should be subtracted from the total, putting President Trump ahead.

For example, the adjustment to the vote tallies under fraud percentage rates between 13 and 6 percent would mean President Trump would have won Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, though he would have still lost in Michigan and Nevada.

Under such a scenario, President Trump would have won 289 Electoral College votes compared to candidate Biden’s 249.

In scenarios of 5–4 percent fraud, each candidate would have received 269 Electoral College votes, but President Trump would likely still have won because Republicans controlled more state delegations and, under a tie scenario, Congress would have voted based on the number of delegates.

However, the researchers expressed confidence in their overall assessment that the level of mail-in ballot fraud was over 25 percent, indicative of an actual Trump win.

“We have no reason to believe that our survey overstated voter fraud by more than 25 percentage points, and thus, we must conclude that the best available evidence suggests that mail-in ballot fraud significantly impacted the 2020 presidential election, in favor of Joe Biden,” the paper’s authors wrote.

Meanwhile, the authors of the Heartland study call for state legislatures to do all in their power to ensure the 2024 presidential election is as secure as possible, mostly by severely limiting mail-in voting and adopting other commonsense policies to prevent mail-in voter fraud.

RascalRiley Loc: Somewhere south of Detroit

The fraudulent election will be viewed merely as a small speed bump 50 years from now in Trump’s quest.

A four year delay in the trumpism is minor compared to what comes next. And is happening.

The land of opportunity for adherents.

Doctor Dave Loc: Madisonville, Tx.

The election in 2020 was ofcourse fraudulent and therefore stolen. Then comes the question “who do we show the evidence to”?

David L Loc: Central Wisconsin

The fake news continues to say that there is no evidence of fraud.

Parky60 Loc: People's Republic of Illinois

I thought that you didn't reply to me anymore. I haven't missed your insipid comments attacking Trump but always given the evil Joe Biden a pass.

LogicallyRight Loc: Chicago

An interesting analysis and their conclusions are of course correct. And we all knew that 3 years ago.

DAV

Obiden probably won't do any campaigning (he'll expose his incompetency) and this time instead of 81 million votes, the Dominion 'voting machines' will probably say he got 91 million or 100 million 'votes' ! And the mainstream media will say how great Obiden is, while the dumb ass Lie-berals will go along with the bs. If there's any consolation to this, we know the Lie-berals will be affected also by Demonocrat policies. They will suffer too with all the high prices of everything, AND THEY WILL LOSE JOBS TOO ! But, they are told to believe that all negative things are Trump's fault, and they'll say, OK ! SUFFER, YOU LIE-BERAL DEMONOCRATS ! SUFFER- YOU VOTED FOR THIS MISERY !!! I wonder if all the homeless people living on the sidewalks are separated by having Demonocrats live on one side of the street and Conservatives live on the other side of the street ?...NO, THEY SUFFER EQUALLY and it's all because of Demonocrat/complicit RINO policies. The Demonocrats cause ghost towns and homeless people. Quit being used by Demons. Don't be so stupid !

ed4short Loc: New Hampshire

Only in America.....Land of opportunity

Radiance3

====================
We had seen several events people delivering bags and boxes of paper ballots and dumped them at the collection sites. Some before the counting was finished, and some were after the counting. One of them a black woman confessed that she was paid to do it

Trump won 2947 Counties. Therefore, more delegates. Biden won 477 Counties, fewer delegates. Even when Biden got California and NY. But Trump won Florida and Texas.

Radiance3

====================
Commentary:
I believe with these massive evidences coming out, the Marxist-Democrats stole the victory from Trump, and the voting rights of the American people. In addition, not only stealing Trump's victory, but the Democrats also charged and prosecuted him for speaking that the 2020 election was rigged. His is denied of his Constitutional rights, the first Amendment.

In addition, they extorted so much money from him by assigning several black DA's and prosecutors to penalize him for saying that the election was rigged, using magnifying glass to charge him on various hoaxes. E.g. NYC DA, and DA Willis in Atlanta, GA, along with Smith and Chutkan, at the DC.

There were 6 violations that the Democrats stole from Trump and the American people. Let us simplify them. Here we go.

With all the massive evidences coming out of the 2020 fraudulent election

1. I truly think that Trump's victory on the 2020 presidential election was stolen from him.
2. Trump was charged, accused, and prosecuted of complaining and saying that the 2020 election was rigged.

3. Trump and his Team were penalized millions of dollars, and some locked up.

4. Trump has been consistently harassed due to his complaints about the rigged 2020 election. The J6th was complete fabrications to finally stop him.

5. Trump supporters were denied and disenfranchised of their votes because they were stolen, depriving them of the 14th Amendment.

6. Trump has been consistently harassed, accused, mentally and physically abused, and humiliated, the fact that Trump, and his supporters have been the victims as well.

Now how did it end making Biden the winner in the election? We the people are all suffering, our national world security in peril, and our world reputation down to the ground. Our economy is down to the ground, and now we are engulfed with the highest national debts:

The national debt — which measures what the U.S. owes its creditors jumped to $34,172,829,341,468.41 trillion as of Jan 31, 2024.

Our Public-School children could not read and write, and could not do simple math, the fact that they are the highest funded among world countries yet tailing in all academic performances.

The handout supporters of Biden wanted him because of the wealth redistributions to buy their votes. National Debts when Trump left was $26.5 trillion. Now for 3 years of Biden we have $34.17. Biden over expended $$7.57 trillion for just 3 years.

These debts incurred $650 billion interest expense as of 12/31/2023. This cost is incurred annually. And as debts grow the interest gets higher. These interests are credited to the lenders, the highest is Japan, second is China, and 3rd is in Europe. The 4th are the local bankers and private investors who bought the Federal securities.

If the election of Trump was not stolen, we won't be in these miserable conditions, along with no wars, and we are all proud.

America, please think! Prepare to rescue our country, because right now, we are losing our constitution, our country, our freedom, and most importantly our God.

pegw

I didn't waste my time on another propaganda piece about how Trump won the election. Al Gore never went the big lie route, because he was a gracious looser. Not a sore looser like America's favorite criminal.

LogicallyRight Loc: Chicago

Yeah, it turned out that Gore was a looser.

Radiance3

[quote=Parky60]A new study of mail-in ballot fraud challenges the official results of the 2020 presidential election.


Empty envelopes of opened vote-by-mail ballots for the presidential primary are stacked on a table at King County Elections in Renton, Wash., on March 10, 2020. (Jason Redmond/AFP via Getty Images)

A new study examining the likely impact that fraudulent mail-in ballots had in the 2020 election concludes that the outcome would “almost certainly” have been different without the massive expansion of voting by mail.

The Heartland Institute study tried to gauge the probable impact that fraudulent mail-in ballots cast for both then-candidate Joe Biden and his opponent, President Donald Trump, would have had on the overall 2020 election results.

The study was based on data obtained from a Heartland/Rasmussen survey in December that revealed that roughly one in five mail-in voters admitted to potentially fraudulent actions in the presidential election.

After the researchers carried out additional analyses of the data, they concluded that mail-in ballot fraud “significantly” impacted the 2020 presidential election.

They also found that, absent the huge expansion of mail-in ballots during the pandemic, which was often done without legislative approval, President Trump would most likely have won.

“Had the 2020 election been conducted like every national election has been over the past two centuries, wherein the vast majority of voters cast ballots in-person rather than by mail, Donald Trump would have almost certainly been re-elected,” the report’s authors wrote.

Over 43 percent of 2020 votes were cast by mail, the highest percentage in U.S. history.

The new study examined raw data from the December survey carried out jointly between Heartland Institute and Rasmussen Reports, which tried to assess the level of fraudulent voting that took place in 2020.

The December survey, which President Trump called “the biggest story of the year,” suggested that roughly 20 percent of mail-in voters engaged in at least one potentially fraudulent action in the 2020 election, such as voting in a state where they’re no longer permanent residents.

In the new study, Heartland analysts say that, after reviewing the raw survey data, subjecting it to additional statistical treatment and more thorough analysis, they now believe they can conclude that 28.2 percent of respondents who voted by mail committed at least one type of behavior that is “under most circumstances, illegal” and so potentially amounts to voter fraud.

“This means that more than one-in-four ballots cast by mail in 2020 were likely cast fraudulently, and thus should not have been counted,” the researchers wrote.

A Heartland Institute research editor and research fellow who was involved in the study explained that there are narrow exceptions where a surveyed behavior may be legal, like filling out a mail-in ballot on behalf of another voter if that person is blind, illiterate, or disabled, and requests assistance.

However, the research fellow, Jack McPherrin, said such cases were within the margin of error and not statistically significant.

In addition to reassessing the likely overall degree of fraudulent mail-in ballots in the 2020 election, Heartland analysts calculated the potential impact that fraudulent mail-in ballots might have produced in the six key swing states that President Trump officially lost.

This, then, was used to determine the impact of potentially fraudulent mail-in ballots on the overall 2020 election result.

First, the researchers analyzed the electoral results for the six swing states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—under the 28.2 percent fraudulent mail-in ballot scenario that they estimated based on the raw survey data.

Then they calculated the electoral results in the six states under the different scenarios, each with a lower assumed percentage of fraudulent ballots, ranging from 28.2 percent all the way down to 1 percent.

For each of the 29 scenarios that they assessed, the researchers calculated the estimated number of fraudulent ballots, which were then subtracted from overall 2020 vote totals to generate a new estimate for vote totals.

Overall, of the 29 different scenarios presented in the study, the researchers concluded that President Trump would have won the 2020 election in all but three.

Specifically, they calculated that the only scenarios that would affirm the official 2020 election result, namely that candidate Biden won, were mail-in ballot fraud levels between 1 and 3 percent of ballots cast.

Mail-in ballot fraud rates higher than 3 percent would, according to the study, mean more fraudulent Biden votes that should be subtracted from the total, putting President Trump ahead.

For example, the adjustment to the vote tallies under fraud percentage rates between 13 and 6 percent would mean President Trump would have won Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, though he would have still lost in Michigan and Nevada.

Under such a scenario, President Trump would have won 289 Electoral College votes compared to candidate Biden’s 249.

In scenarios of 5–4 percent fraud, each candidate would have received 269 Electoral College votes, but President Trump would likely still have won because Republicans controlled more state delegations and, under a tie scenario, Congress would have voted based on the number of delegates.

However, the researchers expressed confidence in their overall assessment that the level of mail-in ballot fraud was over 25 percent, indicative of an actual Trump win.

“We have no reason to believe that our survey overstated voter fraud by more than 25 percentage points, and thus, we must conclude that the best available evidence suggests that mail-in ballot fraud significantly impacted the 2020 presidential election, in favor of Joe Biden,” the paper’s authors wrote.

Meanwhile, the authors of the Heartland study call for state legislatures to do all in their power to ensure the 2024 presidential election is as secure as possible, mostly by severely limiting mail-in voting and adopting other commonsense policies to prevent mail-in voter fraud.[/quote

================
[I] Here are the various ballot frauds committed.
Mail-in with no signature ballots.
The Dominion machines.
Boxes of ballots were dumped in the collection sites at the middle of the night. The person caught said, she was paid to do it.
Ballot harvesting.
Boxes filled with unsigned ballots pulled out under the table at the middle of the night and counted.
Illegal aliens voted for Biden. Many were caught. The were paid to do it.
Dead people voted.
Duplicate voting.
County ballots that were known GOP majority were tossed out by the Postal Service driver.
GOP watchers during the count were not allowed to get close.
Late ballots were counted.[/i]