Navigator wrote:
It is you who really needs to do more extensive research on reliable sites. As for the 0.2% overall death rate, that was Dr. Deborah Brix; heard of her? Here is a source:
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2020/06/05/fact-check-cdc-estimates-covid-19-death-rate-0-26/5269331002/ Here is from your post, concerning US healthcare preparedness: "...but the country is still not prepared on the some of the critical others." Name me a few. Hospitals in the country are overwhelmingly less populated now than prior to the beginning of Covid-19, many laying off doctors and nurses due to lack of patients. Now that elective procedures are being allowed in most of the country it is getting better but even here in NY we have an average 35% excess capacity (good thing since El Douche Cuomo insisted there be 30% excess capacity before we could even BEGIN to re-open). Another item from your post concerning the "alarming increase" in Covid-19 in the hinterlands of the US: "Lets see how that works in the coming weeks." Here why IMHO it will be perfectly fine. The only place Covid-19 has been a serious enough problem in the US to warrant a shutdown was right here, the NY-NJ metropolitan area. No place else in the US is there the population density and intensive use of mass transit and closely packed walking and standing like there is here and no where else was there the incredible influx of Covid infected people from China and Italy (before Italy realized it had a big problem) so this "spike" in relatively small numbers in relatively non-dense population centers will never result in a serious problem. Enough about your fear-mongering, lets address your BS. From your post: "Trumpy wasted two months before he even recognized there was a true problem, and since that time he has basically stuck his head in the sand." The President stopped non-US resident travel from China January 31; at the time every single one of the less than a dozen cases of Covid-19 in the US was in a person who had been to the wild animal markets in Wuhan; the FIRST case of Covid-19 in a patient who caught the virus from another person was Feb. 24, more than 3 weeks after the President stopped travel from China. I think you are fooling yourself if you believe any President in US history would have taken much more drastic steps with ONE person infected with any disease, no matter how deadly. As a matter of fact, the scientific consensus is that the US response was superior to most other major developed countries.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/17/belgium-had-the-worst-response-to-coronavirus-crisis-among-oecd-eiu.html For your reference, tiny countries whose populations are less than Long Island, NY (New Zealand, Singapore, Denmark, Norway, etc.) are not considered major developed nations. In addition, the response of the US would have been rated even better but was downgraded as a result of its high population of elderly and fat people, neither of which is the President's fault (except, of course, for himself).
It is you who really needs to do more extensive re... (
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We shall see my friend and I hope you are correct, but reality just does not seem to be following along. As far as Bix, she may very well be right in her Opinion, although its not supported by any facts or we would have seen a huge display of this during her press briefings - over and over and over again.
As far as Trump, great thing he did shutting down China travel, but it was too little, and since then he has been missing in action. I could provide so much to support this statement, hell there have already been books and thousands of articles written about it. We have 10 states hitting record case loads just today, but we have not seen a press briefing on Covid now in 51 days. Does that seem responsible to you?
I spent my life working in Emergency Management, and this pandemic effort has been putrid, and its not getting better any time soon. So I'll just ask you this one simple little question:
If Trump has done such a wonderful job on the pandemic, just why does the US have by FAR the worst statistics in any category that really counts (# infections, # deaths, #hospitalizations) than any other country on earth? Just how DO you justify those facts with your statements? How can a country with good leadership and 4.5% of the worlds population, which also happens to be about the wealthiest and most resource rich country on the planet, end up with nearly 27% of both the total number of cases in the world, and the total number of deaths.
I'm sorry, but the facts show the truth that the lack of leadership in this administration in dealing with the pandemic has made our situation much worse than it could and should be.
Yes I believe mortality rates may be much less than 3-5% as well, we know there are a lot of people that get it and never even know or never get tested, so they are never included in the stats.
But its really all relative because the same thing can be said for the common flu and any other viral disease as well. According to the CDC between 5 and 20% of America gets the flu each year. But within the numbers of confirmed cases there is about a 0.1% mortality. Millions of American's get the flu vaccine every year, and the virus has been around mutating yearly basically forever, so it is not new to us humans.
So how many people each year actually get the flu but never go to the doc's, never get tested, and thus are never counted in the statistics? I would say a hell of a lot more than not. I have had the flu I am sure dozens of times in my life, as have my wife and children. Not a one of us has ever gone to the docs to be tested for flue, until my 19 year old daughter was this year when we feared she had Covid.
The actual mortality rate of the flu is likely much much less than 0.1%. Perhaps more like 0.01% or even a lot less. And still at that mortality rate the flu has killed between 12,000 and 61,000 annually since 2010.
Covid is new. I have seen scientific papers that say it is likely that between 70 and 80% of the country will get the virus unless a vaccine is developed sooner rather than later (it apparently takes between 70 and 80% of a population to get the virus, survive and be immune to create "herd immunity"). So the flu kills between 12 and 61,000 per year, we have 120,000 dead in four months with covid.
We never shut down during flu season, never wear masks, never social distance, and all that stuff. We have a vaccine for the flu. The flu is not nearly as contagious as Covid. And yet the CDC says the mortality rate is 0.1%. And we already have 120,000 deaths from Covid in the last four months!
So if Bix is absolutely correct and the true mortality rate is 0.2%, and 70% of the country get it, here is what the math looks like:
0.002 x 330,000,000 x 0.7 = 462,000 deaths from Covid
If Bix is wrong and its 0.5% mortality, then the math looks like this: .005 x 330000000 x .7 = 1,155,000 dead
And that's looking on the bright side because if the mortality rate is 3%, then the math looks like this: .03 x 330,000,000 x 0.7 = 6,930,000 dead
Anyway, I hope that science can come up with effective treatments, a vaccine or a cure ASAP. I'm not enjoying all this craziness any more than any of you.
If we had widespread easily accessible and accurate testing, we could perhaps determine who has had the virus, has antibodies, and can return to work and normal social activity immediately. That would sure be a way to get the economy open safely in short order.