So which is worse?
Mar 29, 2020 09:28:32 #
nwtk2007
Loc: Texas
Canuckus Deploracus wrote:
Not really...
We have the common flu numbers...
We can extrapolate from those..
We have the common flu numbers...
We can extrapolate from those..
That's what the Imperial College of London tried to do.
Mar 29, 2020 09:50:25 #
nwtk2007 wrote:
The mortality rate is not accurate. We don't have completed data. CFR changes as more testing is done. My comment is based upon known numbers and reported numbers on covid. Is have to do an Imperial College model to do what you're asking. And they can't even make sense of their "model."
Of course the mortality rate is not accurate... It won't be until this is over...
But we can still make estimates based on current numbers...
As data changes the estinates will become more accurate...
Mar 29, 2020 10:19:06 #
Canuckus Deploracus wrote:
Not really...
We have the common flu numbers...
.
We can extrapolate from those..
We have the common flu numbers...
.
We can extrapolate from those..
So here is the monkey in those numbers. First thing to be aware of is the fact that there are a lot of people that don't run to there doctor every time the get a sniffle so there are a lot off flu's that don't get reported.mainly do to the fact that the cost of going to see a doctor cost more than they can afford to go see one.Just saying and there are more thing that cause people to not go to the see there doctor's. Trusting there doctor's is a big one to say the least .
Mar 29, 2020 11:12:17 #
nwtk2007
Loc: Texas
Allbent wrote:
So here is the monkey in those numbers. First thing to be aware of is the fact that there are a lot of people that don't run to there doctor every time the get a sniffle so there are a lot off flu's that don't get reported.mainly do to the fact that the cost of going to see a doctor cost more than they can afford to go see one.Just saying and there are more thing that cause people to not go to the see there doctor's. Trusting there doctor's is a big one to say the least .
Add to that is the fact that many, if not most, dr's offices have closed, thus for everything, their patient's have no choice but the ER.
Mar 29, 2020 20:30:55 #
Allbent wrote:
So here is the monkey in those numbers. First thing to be aware of is the fact that there are a lot of people that don't run to there doctor every time the get a sniffle so there are a lot off flu's that don't get reported.mainly do to the fact that the cost of going to see a doctor cost more than they can afford to go see one.Just saying and there are more thing that cause people to not go to the see there doctor's. Trusting there doctor's is a big one to say the least .
Your method puts the common flu numbers even higher... Making the mortality rate even lower... That's frightening when we apply it to this virus....
Mar 29, 2020 20:44:36 #
Canuckus Deploracus wrote:
Your method puts the common flu numbers even higher... Making the mortality rate even lower... That's frightening when we apply it to this virus....
The same can be said for the virus. There’s no way of knowing everyone who had it.
Mar 29, 2020 21:14:51 #
Rose42 wrote:
The same can be said for the virus. There’s no way of knowing everyone who had it.
No... But we do know the number which require hospitalization... Which is far higher than the common flu... And the mortality rate among those.... Also far higher...
Mar 29, 2020 21:26:46 #
Canuckus Deploracus wrote:
No... But we do know the number which require hospitalization... Which is far higher than the common flu... And the mortality rate among those.... Also far higher...
We know the number that end up in the hospital. There’s no doubt many cases have been missed
Mar 29, 2020 21:30:03 #
Rose42 wrote:
We know the number that end up in the hospital. There’s no doubt many cases have been missed
Explain how that matters?
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