Barracuda2020 wrote:
Jack, I've thanked you for your last reports, if you hear anything coming close please PM me, I have my loving family living on the coast in Vancouver, would greatly appreciate it, Thanks
Sorry to get back to your reply so late.
I'm watching just off the Coast of Vancouver now and a lot of energy is moving towards Alaska in the days to come. The path for the states goes from Indonesia, up to Japan, Alaska then down often on a path that just misses Vancouver but as we've seen over the last few months if enough combined energy is at play then Vancover gets earthquakes and usually just off the coast.
The good news is "Off coast" and usually larger quakes are in the fives and six magnitude range.
A watch means ... when I see deeper, larger earthquakes in Indonesia I know energy will travel along plate boundries or flows like a river ending in the States ( for United states forecasting) .
When several deep earthquake's strike I'm watching to see if the energy combines or not..... I'm watching...
An "Update" is still sometimes general but includes conclusions and general expectations.
A " Forecast" is more specific. I have determined the expected energy, the path the energy is taking and which locations will receive a specific magnitude +/- half a magnitude and have over an 80% accuracy in forecasting. Which means I make errors almost 20% of the time. I'll considering that a win.😀
Because of the historic eruption and recent Deep earthquake's I'm putting a watch on Japan, Alaska, off coast Vancouver Island, off coast from the Northernmost tip of the Juan d Fuca fault to the most Southern tip ( the fault runs South of Vancouver to Northern California) also including all the states that run along the edge of the Craton for larger earthquakes.
Its possible to see a 7.0-7.2 magnitude earthquake off their coast of Vancouver. The energy on land would be about a full magnitude less.
I'll post updates and a forecast in the days ahead.
Jack