agreed that a return to the Gold Standard would be difficult, if not impossible given what has occurred since we went off the GS.
And ending US debt as the instrument of choice by the world-wide economy would have disastrous effects upon the US Treasury.
HOw would we re-establish a benchmark price for gold now that it's price has been floated as a commodity for 45 years?
Considering the the bulk of new gold production is in Russia, Canada and Africa, it would be a boon to those regions. It would be a disaster to the US which has drawn down it's gold reserves since Nixon floated it's price in the early 1970s.
I know Libertarians seek a return to the relative safety and stability the Gold Standard was linked to n the 20th Century. It's natural to look at what we have today and have atavist thoughts about what once was.
But what of the instability of the late 19th Century when competition between currency standard, gold, silver and greenbacks, created multiple economic panics. Return to a bimetallism? Or a new metal, such as platinum?
Think we're stuck in the current Treasury Bond system. Gold is way overvalued. It goes through the same boom and bust system as the stock market, albeit in a counter-valued cycle.
Same goes for the fed. How would a nation go about dismantling it's central bank? Isn't that what we claim is wrong with the EU-no central bank?
What historical even would cause such a radical change?
The current monetarists have no eradicated the business cycle, but simply tamed it. At some point there will be a world-wide repudiation of debt.
If one were to pile up every piece of currency in the world, every dollar, dinar, euro, mark, shekel, ruble, yen and so on, it wouldn't be enough to satisfy the combined public and private debt accrued by individuals, corporations and governments. We have debt that is simply never met to be repaid, but replaced with new loans, more debt,more bonds.
Will such a repudiation ever happen? In our lifetime? As John Maynard Keynes once said when asked about debt, he said: "in the long run, we'll all be dead."
True, but not all that comforting.
UncleJesse wrote:
There's nothing bad about skepticism over this but I like to consider where the biggest, most influential investors are betting and gold is simply a commodity that rises in bad times and falls in good times while the US debt purchasing is used as the financial standard. As such, the influential worldwide banks, pension funds, mortgage lenders, etc., are using the US Treasury. For that to have a historical change, there would need to be a historical event. Even then, there is no guarantee it would swap to gold. There would be international disagreement because the holders of more gold would have an advantage and chances are higher it would swap to an IMF standard more than gold with economies of production and consumption determining the rates of exchange.
There's nothing bad about skepticism over this but... (
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