Confused wrote:
The numbers are so cute . I guess the adding of 5 trillion to the debt doesn't really count . It's the % right ? Here's another number for you ; Tax loopholes are $ 2.8 trillion a year . THAT is 40 % of the revenue .
Q1: Is our so-called national debt really a serious debt, an interest-bearing burden that we must repay?
A1: No, It lacks the two essential qualities of a serious debt. Its a Debt In Name Only, a DINO -
1. A really serious debt is a burden. Our DINO is not now and never will be a burden for taxpayers.
Our DINO is the total value of all issued and still maturing treasuries. Who pays for the redemption of mature treasuries? Not the taxpayers! The buyers of newly-issued treasuries pay for the redemption of mature treasuries. In every auction, more bonds are demanded than are available from new issues. Auction winners get the safest, most liquid US dollar instruments; the losers are stuck with bank risk. If necessary, the Fed could even create a demand for bonds by buying large quantities in the open market with a few cost-free keystrokes. Wheres the taxpayers burden?
Our Treasury does not borrow money like a home-buyer undertaking a mortgage. It is a custodian of funds, like a bank accepting money offered for certificates of deposit. While a bank with too many bad loans can certainly have too many maturing CDs, our non-lending, fiat Treasury cannot have too many maturing bonds unless its deficit spending is causing harmful inflation. And that happens ONLY in a war or emergency requiring rationing. It NEVER happens during a recession. During prosperity, banks are ALWAYS the SOLE cause of inflation, creating over $6 of credit for every $1 of deficit spending. To curb inflation, dont restrict infrastructure spending for the future! Regulate the banks!
By calling our DINO unsustainable, a h**x meant to privatize Social Security and Medicare, Wall Street con artists seeking a fortune in commissions have panicked the ignorant public, journalists, and politicians in Congress and in the White House. And, by bribing Congress into austerity, the Wall Street charlatans are nursing a huge army of unemployed labor to suppress the wages and working conditions of the middle class. As our rotting infrastructure renders our industry incompetent, it is that growing army of unemployed labor that will become unsustainable.
2. A really serious debt must be repaid. Our DINO will never be repaid and should never be repaid.
Only a budget surplus can reduce our DINO. Since dropping the gold standard in1971, we have rarely had even a modest budget surplus. None is now in sight. To supply enough treasuries, the ONLY risk-free instruments used for trade collateral, insurance, pensions, bank reserves, etc., our Dino must continue to grow along with our economy. In fact, deflation and then depression will hit us hard unless big budget deficits replace the cash now flowing into China.
Q2: Could savers make a run on Treasury bonds?
A2: Yes, when savers can get risk-free returns from the Wall Street casino or from GM bonds, Illinois bonds, or Detroit bonds. Safety is not everything. Safety is the ONLY thing! Thats why the whole world relies on US bonds.
Q3. Could savers stop buying Treasury bonds?
A3. Sure, when nobody needs risk-free interest for trade collateral, insurance, pensions, bank reserves, etc., etc.
Q4: Could savers prefer foreign sovereign bonds?
A4: Yes, indeed! So far, almost two thirds of the worlds reserve currencies are in US dollars and half of all US Treasury bonds are held by foreigners. But if Chinas infrastructure and productivity become better than ours, its sovereign bonds could become safer than ours. But that could happen only if US v**ers worry more about our DINO than they worry about our falling bridges, failing schools, leaking sewers, aging power grids, etc., etc.