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‘What if’ scenarios for GOP
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Mar 26, 2016 23:32:06   #
Progressive One
 
Here are three ways the Republican p**********l race could shake out
BY MARK Z. BARABAK
After 39 contests and more than 20 million v**es cast, the Republican p**********l race has narrowed to three candidates and three possible scenarios.
The first, and most likely, is that Donald Trump wins the delegates he needs to mathematically clinch the GOP nomination ahead of the party’s national convention this summer.
The second, testing Trump’s much-vaunted deal-making sk**ls, has the businessman and reality TV star coming up just shy but bargaining his way to the 1,237 delegates he needs to take the nomination.
The third scenario, and the hope of rivals Ted Cruz and John Kasich and other forces arrayed against Trump, is forcing an open convention that picks the nominee on the floor of the convention in downtown Cleveland.
If Trump continues winning primaries at just about his current pace, he could have all the delegates he needs before the opening gavel falls on July 18, or will at least come close.
After Tuesday’s victory in winner-take-all Arizona, Trump has 739 delegates, far more than either of his two remaining GOP rivals, Ted Cruz and John Kasich, and more than half the number needed to lock down the nomination, at least on paper.
Still, his opponents and others fighting Trump are hardly giving up. They hope to deny him a victory in the first round of b****ting, forcing an open convention and the first to require multiple b****ts since the Democratic convention in 1952. (The last Republican convention to go multiple rounds was in 1948.)
Much will depend on the outcome of primaries in several big states that have yet to v**e, including Wisconsin , New York, Pennsylvania and, on June 7, the biggest of all, California.
Trump has won 48% of the delegates awarded so far and needs to win just over half, 54%, of those remaining to reach 1,237, according to tracking by the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
Texas Sen. Cruz needs to win 86% of remaining delegates to clinch the nomination, which is mathematically possible but not realistic. Ohio Gov. Kasich has no chance of getting the nomination short of emerging the choice of a contested convention.
“Going forward, it’s going to take something we haven’t seen to date to derail Trump,” said David Wasserman, who manages the delegate count for the Cook report.
While the math is straightforward, myriad permutations could determine who Republicans send forth against the Democratic nominee in November, especially if Trump were to fall short on the convention’s first b****t.
Of the 2,472 delegates arriving in Cleveland, most will probably support their candidate wholeheartedly and do everything they can to ensure they win the nomination. Scores, however, will be “unbound,” leaving them free to back whomever they choose, regardless of how people back home v**ed.
Still others will be required to support a candidate on the first round of b****ting, and are then free to switch. The rules governing delegates differ from state to state.
Each of the three remaining candidates have set up operations designed to ensure the loyalty of their delegates, court those who are free to choose and poach still others who are either wavering in their commitment or willing to switch after the first b****t.
Much of the effort is taking place far from the upcoming caucus and primary states, in places that have already v**ed, as party members gather at the state and local levels to select the individuals they will send as delegates to the national convention.
The campaigns are also working behind the scenes to place sympathetic members on the convention rules committee, which consists of 112 party members — two from each state and six U.S. territories — who will meet ahead of the gathering to decide how the four-day session will run.
While seemingly arcane, the decisions made by the panel could be crucial, determining, for instance, which candidates can have their names placed into nomination. (The rules are subject to approval by the full convention.)
For Trump, the calculation is straightforward.
He recently said on CNN he expected to win enough delegates to clinch the nomination ahead of the convention, but if he fell short “and we’re at 1,100 and somebody else is at 500 or 400… I don’t think you can say that we don’t get it automatically.”
“I think you’d have r**ts,” he added. “…I wouldn’t lead it, but I think bad things would happen.”
Many rank-and-file Republicans seem to agree — not necessarily with Trump’s threat of violence but with his underlying argument.
A recent nationwide Bloomberg Politics survey found 63% of those who v**ed in this year’s GOP primaries or caucuses believe the person with the most delegates deserves the party’s nomination, even if he arrives in Cleveland short of a majority. mark.barabak  @latimes.com  

Reply
Mar 26, 2016 23:59:54   #
Hemiman Loc: Communist California
 
A Democrat In 2016 wrote:
Here are three ways the Republican p**********l race could shake out
BY MARK Z. BARABAK
After 39 contests and more than 20 million v**es cast, the Republican p**********l race has narrowed to three candidates and three possible scenarios.
The first, and most likely, is that Donald Trump wins the delegates he needs to mathematically clinch the GOP nomination ahead of the party’s national convention this summer.
The second, testing Trump’s much-vaunted deal-making sk**ls, has the businessman and reality TV star coming up just shy but bargaining his way to the 1,237 delegates he needs to take the nomination.
The third scenario, and the hope of rivals Ted Cruz and John Kasich and other forces arrayed against Trump, is forcing an open convention that picks the nominee on the floor of the convention in downtown Cleveland.
If Trump continues winning primaries at just about his current pace, he could have all the delegates he needs before the opening gavel falls on July 18, or will at least come close.
After Tuesday’s victory in winner-take-all Arizona, Trump has 739 delegates, far more than either of his two remaining GOP rivals, Ted Cruz and John Kasich, and more than half the number needed to lock down the nomination, at least on paper.
Still, his opponents and others fighting Trump are hardly giving up. They hope to deny him a victory in the first round of b****ting, forcing an open convention and the first to require multiple b****ts since the Democratic convention in 1952. (The last Republican convention to go multiple rounds was in 1948.)
Much will depend on the outcome of primaries in several big states that have yet to v**e, including Wisconsin , New York, Pennsylvania and, on June 7, the biggest of all, California.
Trump has won 48% of the delegates awarded so far and needs to win just over half, 54%, of those remaining to reach 1,237, according to tracking by the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
Texas Sen. Cruz needs to win 86% of remaining delegates to clinch the nomination, which is mathematically possible but not realistic. Ohio Gov. Kasich has no chance of getting the nomination short of emerging the choice of a contested convention.
“Going forward, it’s going to take something we haven’t seen to date to derail Trump,” said David Wasserman, who manages the delegate count for the Cook report.
While the math is straightforward, myriad permutations could determine who Republicans send forth against the Democratic nominee in November, especially if Trump were to fall short on the convention’s first b****t.
Of the 2,472 delegates arriving in Cleveland, most will probably support their candidate wholeheartedly and do everything they can to ensure they win the nomination. Scores, however, will be “unbound,” leaving them free to back whomever they choose, regardless of how people back home v**ed.
Still others will be required to support a candidate on the first round of b****ting, and are then free to switch. The rules governing delegates differ from state to state.
Each of the three remaining candidates have set up operations designed to ensure the loyalty of their delegates, court those who are free to choose and poach still others who are either wavering in their commitment or willing to switch after the first b****t.
Much of the effort is taking place far from the upcoming caucus and primary states, in places that have already v**ed, as party members gather at the state and local levels to select the individuals they will send as delegates to the national convention.
The campaigns are also working behind the scenes to place sympathetic members on the convention rules committee, which consists of 112 party members — two from each state and six U.S. territories — who will meet ahead of the gathering to decide how the four-day session will run.
While seemingly arcane, the decisions made by the panel could be crucial, determining, for instance, which candidates can have their names placed into nomination. (The rules are subject to approval by the full convention.)
For Trump, the calculation is straightforward.
He recently said on CNN he expected to win enough delegates to clinch the nomination ahead of the convention, but if he fell short “and we’re at 1,100 and somebody else is at 500 or 400… I don’t think you can say that we don’t get it automatically.”
“I think you’d have r**ts,” he added. “…I wouldn’t lead it, but I think bad things would happen.”
Many rank-and-file Republicans seem to agree — not necessarily with Trump’s threat of violence but with his underlying argument.
A recent nationwide Bloomberg Politics survey found 63% of those who v**ed in this year’s GOP primaries or caucuses believe the person with the most delegates deserves the party’s nomination, even if he arrives in Cleveland short of a majority. mark.barabak  @latimes.com  
Here are three ways the Republican p**********l ra... (show quote)


We really need you leftwingnuts assessing republican business,the party that gave us Obama should shut up.

Reply
Mar 27, 2016 00:04:02   #
Wolf counselor Loc: Heart of Texas
 
A Kool-Aid Swillin' Spook In 2016 wrote:
Here are three ways the Republican p**********l race could shake out
 


Yo Kuntus,

We don't really care who becomes the next POTUS.

We're just happy that Obammy and his house full of spooks will soon be vacating the premises.

You spooks have been thoroughly suckered by the Clintons.

And like the typical spook wuss, you're scared of the big bad old rich white Donald the Duck Trump.

You spooks wouldn't know a good president if he slapped you with a pot full of collard greens.

And remember Kuntus, no matter who wins...............you lose...............SPOOK !!!

Reply
Mar 27, 2016 02:04:46   #
Progressive One
 
Wolf counselor wrote:
Yo Kuntus,

We don't really care who becomes the next POTUS.

We're just happy that Obammy and his house full of spooks will soon be vacating the premises.

You spooks have been thoroughly suckered by the Clintons.

And like the typical spook wuss, you're scared of the big bad old rich white Donald the Duck Trump.

You spooks wouldn't know a good president if he slapped you with a pot full of collard greens.

And remember Kuntus, no matter who wins...............you lose...............SPOOK !!!
Yo Kuntus, br br We don't really care who becomes... (show quote)


Stop letting black guys hump you in the mouth and then dumping you. you won't be so h**eful.

Reply
Mar 27, 2016 02:14:37   #
fiatlux
 
A Democrat In 2016 wrote:
Here are three ways the Republican p**********l race could shake out
BY MARK Z. BARABAK
After 39 contests and more than 20 million v**es cast, the Republican p**********l race has narrowed to three candidates and three possible scenarios.
The first, and most likely, is that Donald Trump wins the delegates he needs to mathematically clinch the GOP nomination ahead of the party’s national convention this summer.
The second, testing Trump’s much-vaunted deal-making sk**ls, has the businessman and reality TV star coming up just shy but bargaining his way to the 1,237 delegates he needs to take the nomination.
The third scenario, and the hope of rivals Ted Cruz and John Kasich and other forces arrayed against Trump, is forcing an open convention that picks the nominee on the floor of the convention in downtown Cleveland.
If Trump continues winning primaries at just about his current pace, he could have all the delegates he needs before the opening gavel falls on July 18, or will at least come close.
After Tuesday’s victory in winner-take-all Arizona, Trump has 739 delegates, far more than either of his two remaining GOP rivals, Ted Cruz and John Kasich, and more than half the number needed to lock down the nomination, at least on paper.
Still, his opponents and others fighting Trump are hardly giving up. They hope to deny him a victory in the first round of b****ting, forcing an open convention and the first to require multiple b****ts since the Democratic convention in 1952. (The last Republican convention to go multiple rounds was in 1948.)
Much will depend on the outcome of primaries in several big states that have yet to v**e, including Wisconsin , New York, Pennsylvania and, on June 7, the biggest of all, California.
Trump has won 48% of the delegates awarded so far and needs to win just over half, 54%, of those remaining to reach 1,237, according to tracking by the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
Texas Sen. Cruz needs to win 86% of remaining delegates to clinch the nomination, which is mathematically possible but not realistic. Ohio Gov. Kasich has no chance of getting the nomination short of emerging the choice of a contested convention.
“Going forward, it’s going to take something we haven’t seen to date to derail Trump,” said David Wasserman, who manages the delegate count for the Cook report.
While the math is straightforward, myriad permutations could determine who Republicans send forth against the Democratic nominee in November, especially if Trump were to fall short on the convention’s first b****t.
Of the 2,472 delegates arriving in Cleveland, most will probably support their candidate wholeheartedly and do everything they can to ensure they win the nomination. Scores, however, will be “unbound,” leaving them free to back whomever they choose, regardless of how people back home v**ed.
Still others will be required to support a candidate on the first round of b****ting, and are then free to switch. The rules governing delegates differ from state to state.
Each of the three remaining candidates have set up operations designed to ensure the loyalty of their delegates, court those who are free to choose and poach still others who are either wavering in their commitment or willing to switch after the first b****t.
Much of the effort is taking place far from the upcoming caucus and primary states, in places that have already v**ed, as party members gather at the state and local levels to select the individuals they will send as delegates to the national convention.
The campaigns are also working behind the scenes to place sympathetic members on the convention rules committee, which consists of 112 party members — two from each state and six U.S. territories — who will meet ahead of the gathering to decide how the four-day session will run.
While seemingly arcane, the decisions made by the panel could be crucial, determining, for instance, which candidates can have their names placed into nomination. (The rules are subject to approval by the full convention.)
For Trump, the calculation is straightforward.
He recently said on CNN he expected to win enough delegates to clinch the nomination ahead of the convention, but if he fell short “and we’re at 1,100 and somebody else is at 500 or 400… I don’t think you can say that we don’t get it automatically.”
“I think you’d have r**ts,” he added. “…I wouldn’t lead it, but I think bad things would happen.”
Many rank-and-file Republicans seem to agree — not necessarily with Trump’s threat of violence but with his underlying argument.
A recent nationwide Bloomberg Politics survey found 63% of those who v**ed in this year’s GOP primaries or caucuses believe the person with the most delegates deserves the party’s nomination, even if he arrives in Cleveland short of a majority. mark.barabak  @latimes.com  
Here are three ways the Republican p**********l ra... (show quote)


I have this feeling Trump will not accept the nomination for president. He has made a one million dollar bet with Putin that no matter how sick and d********g his campaign, not unlike Russian politics, he will be the nominee. It is just a bad joke. He will make a reality TV show to laugh at the American e*****rate. "The Fool's Club" would be a good title. "You're fired!" reason. "You're fired!" decency. "You're fired!" tolerance. Great laugh, and it really is.

Reply
Mar 27, 2016 02:15:41   #
Progressive One
 
fiatlux wrote:
I have this feeling Trump will not accept the nomination for president. He has made a one million dollar bet with Putin that no matter how sick and d********g his campaign, not unlike Russian politics, he will be the nominee. It is just a bad joke. He will make a reality TV show to laugh at the American e*****rate. "The Fool's Club" would be a good title. "You're fired!" reason. "You're fired!" decency. "You're fired!" tolerance. Great laugh, and it really is.
I have this feeling Trump will not accept the nomi... (show quote)


:thumbup: :thumbup: :thumbup: :thumbup: :thumbup:

Reply
Mar 27, 2016 02:25:23   #
Hemiman Loc: Communist California
 
fiatlux wrote:
I have this feeling Trump will not accept the nomination for president. He has made a one million dollar bet with Putin that no matter how sick and d********g his campaign, not unlike Russian politics, he will be the nominee. It is just a bad joke. He will make a reality TV show to laugh at the American e*****rate. "The Fool's Club" would be a good title. "You're fired!" reason. "You're fired!" decency. "You're fired!" tolerance. Great laugh, and it really is.
I have this feeling Trump will not accept the nomi... (show quote)


How about you and A Democrate in never land staring in a reality love story,we could call it,let's see,how about The Ass Kissing the Hole,a true ratings winner.

Reply
 
 
Mar 27, 2016 02:47:07   #
fiatlux
 
Hemiman wrote:
How about you and A Democrate in never land staring in a reality love story,we could call it,let's see,how about The Ass Kissing the Hole,a true ratings winner.


How much do I get? Haha...

Time after time no intelligent arguments about what is posted, just juvenile insults and patent ad hominems. Nothing of substance. The Right has become the party of Nananahna, or Tongue-pointers, without t***h, evidence, or reason on their side. Just playground bully-bluff. Do you have an opinion? Share it and stop looking like a horse's pettut.

Reply
Mar 27, 2016 02:55:49   #
Hemiman Loc: Communist California
 
fiatlux wrote:
How much do I get? Haha...

Time after time no intelligent arguments about what is posted, just juvenile insults and patent ad hominems. Nothing of substance. The Right has become the party of Nananahna, or Tongue-pointers, without t***h, evidence, or reason on their side. Just playground bully-bluff. Do you have an opinion? Share it and stop looking like a horse's pettut.


You never post anything intelligent to discuss all you post is insane liberal dribble.As for looking like a horses ass,lady you have your picture as an Avatar and you have a face only a mother could love.

Reply
Mar 27, 2016 03:03:21   #
fiatlux
 
Hemiman wrote:
You never post anything intelligent to discuss all you post is insane liberal dribble.As for looking like a horses ass,lady you have your picture as an Avatar and you have a face only a mother could love.


Good answer. Trump may marry you. And if you had your thoughts assembled into a book for posterity on our times, would anyone have a clue to what was going on? No. They would see a little man without substance howling at the moon. Leave something for posterity. Share one thought at least, not just a typical drool of insult.

Reply
Mar 27, 2016 17:31:27   #
Wolf counselor Loc: Heart of Texas
 
A Foul Mouthed Spook In 2016 wrote:
Stop letting black guys hump you in the mouth and then dumping you. you won't be so h**eful.


Yo Twat Mouth In 2016

That's your typical response when you've been verbally mastered.

If you weren't such a poor dumb spook, you wouldn't have to resort to such inane profanity.

You can't teach a dumb spook a new vocabulary.........................KUNTA !!!

Reply
Mar 27, 2016 17:35:11   #
Progressive One
 
Wolf counselor wrote:
Yo Twat Mouth In 2016

That's your typical response when you've been verbally mastered.

If you weren't such a poor dumb spook, you wouldn't have to resort to such inane profanity.

You can't teach a dumb spook a new vocabulary.........................KUNTA !!!


yeah, you can't teach a dirt poor white trailer trash c*****r other words besides spook either.

Reply
Mar 27, 2016 17:39:13   #
Hemiman Loc: Communist California
 
A Democrat In 2016 wrote:
yeah, you can't teach a dirt poor white trailer trash c*****r other words besides spook either.


Or a poor pathetic black new vocabulary.

Reply
Mar 27, 2016 17:40:34   #
Progressive One
 
Hemiman wrote:
Or a poor pathetic black new vocabulary.


I made my point. I encountered the bottom of the white race in OPP. I know what I'm working with.

Reply
Mar 27, 2016 17:43:31   #
Hemiman Loc: Communist California
 
A Democrat In 2016 wrote:
I made my point. I encountered the bottom of the white race in OPP. I know what I'm working with.


We have done the the same with you b****s.

Reply
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