Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump race
Feb 28, 2016 12:09:02 #
In a Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump race which, the Beltway keening aside, seems the probable outcome of the primaries what are the odds the GOP can take the White House, Congress, and the Supreme Court?
http://www.lewrockwell.com/author/patrick-j-buchanan/
If Republicans can unite, not bad, not bad at all.
Undeniably, Democrats open with a strong hand.
There is that famed blue wall, those 18 states and D.C. with a combined 242 e*******l v**es, just 28 shy of victory, that have gone Democratic in every p**********l e******n since 1988.
The wall contains all of New England save New Hampshire; the Acela corridor (New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware and Maryland); plus Michigan, Minnesota, Illinois and Wisconsin in the Middle West; and the Pacific coast of California, Oregon, Washington and Hawaii.
Changing demography, too, favors the Democrats.
Barack Obama carried over 90 percent of the black v**e twice and in 2012 carried over 70 percent of the Hispanic and Asian v**es. These last two v****g blocs are the fastest growing in the USA.
A third Democratic advantage is a simple self-interest.
Half the nation now receives U.S. government benefits in Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, food stamps, welfare, student loans, rent subsidies, school lunches and Earned Income Tax Credits, etc.
Folks who rely on government benefits are unlikely to rally to a party that promises to cut government. And as half the nation pays no income tax, these folks are unlikely to be thrilled about tax cuts.
Bernie Sanders, who promises free college tuition and making Wall Street and the 1 percent pay for it, knows his party.
While these realities of national politics would seem to point to inexorable Democratic dominance in coming decades, there are worms in the apple.
First, there is the strangely shrunken and still shrinking Democratic leadership base. As the Daily Caller reports, under Obama, Democrats have lost a net of more than 900 state legislature seats, 12 governors, 69 U.S. House and 13 Senate seats. Such numbers suggest a sick party.
Republican strength on Capitol Hill is again as great as it was in the last years of the Roaring 20s.
Second, due to Trump, viewership of the Republican debates has been astronomical 24 million for one, 23 million for another.
The turnout at Trump rallies has been unlike anything seen in p**********l primaries; and whats more, the GOP v**er turnout in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada set new records for the party.
Yet v**er turnout for the Clinton-Sanders race has fallen, in every contest, below what it was in the Clinton-Obama race in 2008.
Bernies millennials aside, the energy and excitement have been in the Republican contest, often a sign of party ascendancy.
Not only would Trump at the top of the GOP ticket assure a huge turnout (pro and con); he is the quintessence of the anti-Washington, anti-establishment candidate in a year when Americans appear to want a wholesale house-cleaning in the capital.
As a builder and job creator, Trump would surely have greater cross-party appeal to working-class Democrats than any traditional Republican politician. Moreover, when Bernie Sanders goes down to defeat, how much enthusiasm will his supporters, who thrilled to the savaging of Wall Street, bring to the Clinton campaign?
This is the year of the outsider, and Hillary is the prom queen of Goldman Sachs. She represents continuity. Trump represents change.
Moreover, on the top Trump issues of immigration and trade, the elites have always been the furthest out of touch with the country.
In the 1990s, when Bill Clinton fought the NAFTA battle, the nation rebelled against the deal, but the establishment backed it. When Republicans on Capitol Hill v**ed for most-favored-nation status for China, year in and year out, did Republican grass roots demand this, or was it the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and Business Roundtable?
On immigration, where are the polls that show Middle Americans enthusiastic about increasing the numbers coming? Where is the majority demanding amnesty or open borders?
The elites of Europe are as out of touch as Americas....
America is crossing into a new era. Trump seems to have caught the wave while Clinton seems to belong to yesterday.
A note of caution: This establishment is not going quietly.
The Best of Patrick J. Buchanan http://www.lewrockwell.com/author/patrick-j-buchanan/
http://www.lewrockwell.com/author/patrick-j-buchanan/
If Republicans can unite, not bad, not bad at all.
Undeniably, Democrats open with a strong hand.
There is that famed blue wall, those 18 states and D.C. with a combined 242 e*******l v**es, just 28 shy of victory, that have gone Democratic in every p**********l e******n since 1988.
The wall contains all of New England save New Hampshire; the Acela corridor (New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware and Maryland); plus Michigan, Minnesota, Illinois and Wisconsin in the Middle West; and the Pacific coast of California, Oregon, Washington and Hawaii.
Changing demography, too, favors the Democrats.
Barack Obama carried over 90 percent of the black v**e twice and in 2012 carried over 70 percent of the Hispanic and Asian v**es. These last two v****g blocs are the fastest growing in the USA.
A third Democratic advantage is a simple self-interest.
Half the nation now receives U.S. government benefits in Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, food stamps, welfare, student loans, rent subsidies, school lunches and Earned Income Tax Credits, etc.
Folks who rely on government benefits are unlikely to rally to a party that promises to cut government. And as half the nation pays no income tax, these folks are unlikely to be thrilled about tax cuts.
Bernie Sanders, who promises free college tuition and making Wall Street and the 1 percent pay for it, knows his party.
While these realities of national politics would seem to point to inexorable Democratic dominance in coming decades, there are worms in the apple.
First, there is the strangely shrunken and still shrinking Democratic leadership base. As the Daily Caller reports, under Obama, Democrats have lost a net of more than 900 state legislature seats, 12 governors, 69 U.S. House and 13 Senate seats. Such numbers suggest a sick party.
Republican strength on Capitol Hill is again as great as it was in the last years of the Roaring 20s.
Second, due to Trump, viewership of the Republican debates has been astronomical 24 million for one, 23 million for another.
The turnout at Trump rallies has been unlike anything seen in p**********l primaries; and whats more, the GOP v**er turnout in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada set new records for the party.
Yet v**er turnout for the Clinton-Sanders race has fallen, in every contest, below what it was in the Clinton-Obama race in 2008.
Bernies millennials aside, the energy and excitement have been in the Republican contest, often a sign of party ascendancy.
Not only would Trump at the top of the GOP ticket assure a huge turnout (pro and con); he is the quintessence of the anti-Washington, anti-establishment candidate in a year when Americans appear to want a wholesale house-cleaning in the capital.
As a builder and job creator, Trump would surely have greater cross-party appeal to working-class Democrats than any traditional Republican politician. Moreover, when Bernie Sanders goes down to defeat, how much enthusiasm will his supporters, who thrilled to the savaging of Wall Street, bring to the Clinton campaign?
This is the year of the outsider, and Hillary is the prom queen of Goldman Sachs. She represents continuity. Trump represents change.
Moreover, on the top Trump issues of immigration and trade, the elites have always been the furthest out of touch with the country.
In the 1990s, when Bill Clinton fought the NAFTA battle, the nation rebelled against the deal, but the establishment backed it. When Republicans on Capitol Hill v**ed for most-favored-nation status for China, year in and year out, did Republican grass roots demand this, or was it the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and Business Roundtable?
On immigration, where are the polls that show Middle Americans enthusiastic about increasing the numbers coming? Where is the majority demanding amnesty or open borders?
The elites of Europe are as out of touch as Americas....
America is crossing into a new era. Trump seems to have caught the wave while Clinton seems to belong to yesterday.
A note of caution: This establishment is not going quietly.
The Best of Patrick J. Buchanan http://www.lewrockwell.com/author/patrick-j-buchanan/
Feb 29, 2016 10:05:23 #
Feb 29, 2016 10:24:34 #
jer48
Loc: perris ca
eagleye13 wrote:
In a Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump race which... (show quote)
I think your all wet for calling something you pay into all your life such as social securtity government benefits
Feb 29, 2016 14:08:49 #
eagleye13 wrote:
In a Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump race which... (show quote)
Social Security is not and never was a government benefit. It came from me and my employer. The only thing government had anything to do with it was to collect it and then squander it. Get your facts straight.
Feb 29, 2016 14:17:42 #
Yep. The politicians put SS in the general fund; and walla' it went bye-bye.
:thumbup: :thumbup: :thumbup: :shock: :oops: :oops: :oops: :oops:
popparod wrote:
Social Security is not and never was a government benefit. It came from me and my employer. The only thing government had anything to do with it was to collect it and then squander it. Get your facts straight.
:thumbup: :thumbup: :thumbup: :shock: :oops: :oops: :oops: :oops:
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