JMHO Loc: Utah

It's now a three man race--Ted Cruz, Donald Trump, and Marco Rubio. Ted Cruz won in Iowa, but the key result was Marco Rubio in third place. It was expected that Rubio, the main establishment candidate in Iowa, would run a distant third, giving Jeb, Kasich, or Christie a chance to surge in New Hampshire.

But Marco Rubio's very strong showing (he almost beat Donald Trump for second place) means that he is now the default establishment candidate. Any hopes Jeb, Kasich, or Christie have of surging in New Hampshire are lost as establishment v**ers will flock to Rubio's banners in an effort to defeat Donald Trump in New Hampshire. Right now Rubio, Cruz, Bush, and Kasich are basically tied for second place at around 10% with Donald way ahead in the 30's; but expect Trumps terrible almost-third place showing in Iowa to cause him to take a big hit while Rubio surges.

Expect Ted Cruz to be more of an observer as Trump and Rubio go head to head in New Hampshire; Trump knows Rubio is his main competition there and Trump will direct all his fire on Rubio.

Mike Huckabee has already suspended his campaign. Ben Carson is unexpectedly flying home to Florida to "pick up some spare clothing". Rick Santorum, Carly Fiorina, and Jim Gilmore have been discredited. After New Hampshire you will see Rand Paul, John Kasich, and Chris Christie drop out, and probably Jeb Bush as well.

Although Ted Cruz won in New Hampshire, he knows it isn't friendly terrority for him. The interesting thing to see is whether Rubio can beat Donald Trump in New Hampshire. Now that we know that polls overestimate support for Trump, if the establishment v**e joins with Rubio, Rubio might possibly beat Trump there, and if Trump loses a second time, he's in big trouble.

As for Ted Cruz, he will have to make an effort to fight in New Hampshire but it will really be an effort to get a strong second or third place finish. His main effort is and should be on South Carolina, where he needs another win. In a three way race it will no longer be enough for a candidate to get 30% of the v**e, as Trump has been polling.

Remember when people said that polling didn't count Trump's total base of support? Well, now we know that polling overstates it. The race is wide open.

http://newsmachete.com/?news=1432

valkyrierider Loc: "Land of Trump"

Creme your jeans while you can. It was reported that your man the Cruz used some underhanded maneuvers to get ahead by stealing Ben Carsons v**es. It is reported that his volunteers told the crowds that Ben was not going to continue to run for President and lower the support that he would have gotten. Cruz is up to BUSINESS as usual. He cannot win without telling lies. He is part of the establishment and will not keep his promises. From past races in the states and congress and from presidental candidates that promises thing on the campaign trail, they turn out to be liars. At least Trump has not stood in your face and said I promise you the world. He justs states facts. I will make us great again. Just my personal opinion from what I have seen for the past 68 years.

JMHO Loc: Utah

Wah...wah...wah...here comes the excuses! Sore loser! Full of it too.

Sounds like you wet your pants. :wink:

valkyrierider Loc: "Land of Trump"

Nope Never have that problem with wet pants. I didn't have to jump on here and start crowing because i got my nuts off. You have to tell everybody when you get yours. LOL's Like I said you are a closet Democrat and you dropped your soap too many times in the shower while you were in the Navy. If you keep telling yourself that Cruz is the man, then you will believe it. You the man JMHO. Long live JMHO. Hope you get some new honest opinions.

JMHO Loc: Utah

Amazing...the insults coming from fellow conservatives. Now, I'm a closet Democrat and a homosexual...all because I dare to support a different candidate than you. How we conservatives eat our own. You have a nice day. :wink:

Ricko Loc: Florida

JMHO-I hope you are correct and that those people do drop out. Some have big egos that may override their common sense so do not be surprised if two of three of them hang in there a while longer. Question to any and all posters: Does anyone believe that any of the three front runners can beat Biden ? Why ? Good Luck America !!!

JMHO Loc: Utah

I think several will stay in until South Carolina, and if it is still a three man race coming out of South Carolina many will drop out then. Yep, Biden will be tough to beat, if he gets in the race, no doubt about it. He is my biggest fear, Hillary and Sanders are not my fear, they're beatable. The only saving grace with Biden is that he is an i***t and walking gaffe machine, but the Dems will v**e for him, and some poor loser RINOs will too, especially if Trump or Cruz wins the nomination.