Most people look at the $18 trillion National Debt and believe that is the entire debt owed by the US government. But it is nowhere close to stating our full debt.
That $18 trillion number is the National Debt and does not include unfunded or underfunded government programs such as Social Security, Medicare, and Federal Government Pensions. Those 3 programs alone are underfunded to the tune of more than $80 trillion. When you consider the fact there are hundreds of other Federal, State, County, and local government programs that are underfunded, the US has more than $200 trillion in unfunded liabilities.
Lawrence Kotlikoff is an economist and Professor at Boston University. He has become the leading voice to force the US government to show America its true financial obligations. Ill post a short clip of an interview he did with Jim Puplava, a journalist from the Financial Sense organization.
Jim Puplava: Professor, officially were in debt over $17 trillion but underneath it theres a bigger problem. I wonder if you might explain to our listeners what that bigger problem is?
Professor Kotlikoff: The liabilities the government owes are mostly off the books. We have a true debt picture which is about $205 trillion. This is recording all the future obligations the government has, whether they are official obligations or not, such as paying for your social security benefits, mine, or your mothers Medicare benefits, defense spending, etc. All of these things are really obligations that arent recorded on the books as debt, whereas paying off future principal and interest payments on Treasury bills and bonds are recorded. So, anyway, if you take the value of all of those commitments and subtract all the taxes coming to pay those commitments, the difference is whats called the fiscal gap; and that fiscal gap in the U.S. is now $205 trillion. So, the true debt is $205 trillion; the official debt is only $17 trillion. So, most of the problems were facing, most of the debt we have, the vast majority of it is off the books and Congress has done bookkeeping to make sure the public doesnt see it. So, when we have these big fights over the debt ceiling, its really laughable because at the same time we may not be expanding our official debt at a very rapid rate, we are expanding our unofficial debt or off-the-book debt, unrecorded debt, at a very high rate.
Jim Puplava: Professor, when the CBO publishes its projections they use something called the extended baseline forecast. They also have something called the alternative fiscal scenario, which is basically more realistic. This year they reported only the extended baseline forecast. Why did they do that?
Professor Kotlikoff: I dont know. They claim it wasnt for political reasons and I believe them. There are very good economists at the CBO. The director is a very good economist, but you have to wonder why is it that for the last 6 or 7 years they put out the extended baseline as well as the alternative fiscal scenario at the same time so everybody could see what they really project versus what really amounts to a lie about the fiscal future of the country.
I sent him [head of the CBO] an email and asked whether he was under some sort of political pressure to withhold this information and he said that was a big insult, and he was very upset with me for suggesting that. But then he said that the reason he hadnt released it was because they didnt think anyone was interested. I said, well obviously were interestedits the only thing worth looking at.
Everybody should be calling the CBO and asking why theyre doing this. This is a pattern, you know. The Clinton administrationwe put out the fiscal gap studies for a couple of years on the Presidents budget. The Clinton administration then censored it. The guys whos now head of the National Economic Council, the Chief Economic Advisor to President Obama, was the one who did the censorship back in 1994. President Bushs Treasury Secretary ONeil wanted us to do a fiscal gap accounting for the Presidents budget in 2003 and he was fired in December 7, 2002, and that study was censored two days after he was fired. So, this is not accidental. This is more or less a conspiracy to hide the t***h to keep ourselves and our kids in the dark about what the politicians are really doing, which is trying to garner the v**es of older people and then get reelected and leave a bigger mess for our kids to handle.
http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/laurence-kotlikoff/government-conspiracy-hide-us-debt-burden thats a link to the interview and heres another good article with some Kotlikoff comments.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-09-11/lawrence-kotlikoff-us-fiscal-gap-200-trillion-our-country-brokeOur government wont even address the $18 trillion in debt they admit to. There is no reason to believe for one moment they will begin address the $200 trillion number and that can only lead to one possible outcome; total and devastating collapse of the US.
Americans watch their televisions with news of civil strife and violence from other parts of the world and say, Im glad that cant happen here. They watched as citizens of Cyprus had their savings confiscated from their bank accounts and said Im glad that cant happen here. It will happen here.
Were beginning to see the cracks in our society with cities and counties declaring bankruptcy, states declaring their pensions are on track to consume 100% of state budgets, and the government raising taxes on anything that moves. The government is beyond broke. What do you think will happen?