LogicallyRight wrote:
***I sort of agree that the west is provoking a wider war. Have to support that military/industrial complex and test new weapons. Now they are doing it with the lives of innocent Ukrainians forced into the war.
Personally I believe that, Russia wants out, but it can't withdraw or quit and allow Ukraine to join NATO and roll over the Donbas and the ethnic Russian citizens there. Ukraine signing and guaranteeing neutrality, and giving the Donbas area self determination whether that means within Ukraine or independent nations in their own right. Putin never started out to absorb then into Russia. That moves Russia eastward and makes them look like aggressors. They would rather see then as part of the buffer between Russia and NATO. And guarantees from NATO, via treaty, to never absorb Ukraine. They should also never absorb Finland and Sweden. There are no issues there that would make that necessary or desirable.
In the past, Russia has suggested joining NATO as a huge alliance for peace and was turned down. They also tried to join the European Union and were turned down. For 20+ years, the west has done wh**ever it could to paint Putin as an evil monster. If you yell it often enough and refuse to let him in peacefully, you tend to create what wasn't in the first place, and make an enemy when you could have made a friend.
Cheers
Logically Right
***I sort of agree that the west is provoking a wi... (
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I am going to admit something here and you can call me a freaking war mongering nut, but my mind is of the WW2 generation. Nobody wants to provoke WW3, but if you totally take WW3 off of the table, you will lose the war anyway.
Look back at why Adolf Hitler was so successful in the beginning of WW2 and you will see a parallel to today. The British and the French were still shell shocked by WW1. They had lost a whole generation of young men in a meat grinder, and even though they had won that war their leaders would do anything to avoid a replay.
The Fuhrer understood the men he was dealing with and played them and allowed them to appease him until he was strong enough to defeat them. In the end they caused a much more destructive war than if they had taken on Germany earlier while they were the stronger alliance.
There are a lot of similarities between Vladimir Putin and Adolf Hitler. Hitler came out of WW1 furious at the humiliation of Germany and was determined to rectify it. Putin was just as furious at the humiliation of Russia after the fall of the Soviet Union in the early 1990s, and is determined to put the Soviet Union back together again, no matter how long or what it takes.
Putin like Hitler has no respect for the fools he is dealing with, Biden and the Leaders of Germany. He knows they fear a nuclear war like the leaders of the West in the 1930s feared an all out war. While it is true the West is helping Ukraine, he knows he can bluff them into not giving enough aid for Ukraine to win.
I was going to say that NATO should attack Russia, but I erased that. I will say that NATO must realize it cannot allow Russia to win. That means the Germans in particular need to stop screwing around and send all aid short of war to Ukraine. Even covertly send in their own troops who could use the experience.
The alternative is to allow Russia to defeat and absorb Ukraine. In a few short years Russia will have rebuilt it's armed forces and be ready, willing, and able to start reconquering Poland, and the rest of the old Warsaw Pact nations.
I don't think Russia wants wants out. I think Russia is there to win. Putin has dealt with weak American and European Leaders for decades. He knows that if he wins in Ukraine, the West will forgive and forget, like they did when he took Crimea. Putin is a lot of things, but stupid is not one of them. He knows the West always thinks short term, while his eye is on the far off future.
Russia like China will soon be in a bad demographic problem. Not enough young and too many old. Putin hopes to reconstitute the Soviet Empire before that becomes acute.