Dewey Dee wrote:
I was at work when the news broke. Such a loss to this country. And, I often wondered what this country would be like today if President Kennedy had served 8 years as our President.
There was growing disenchantment with JFK's presidency as noted in the Time magazine issue for the very day of his assassination. Much of it was on college campuses which had been a stronghold for him. As William F, Buckley later observed, Kennedy's re-e******n was hardly a certainty.
Kennedy had very narrowly defeated Nixon in 1960. Political observers had said that if just one v**er in every precinct, or perhaps every other precinct, had switched to Nixon from Kennedy, Nixon would have won! Talk about narrow victories.
Kennedy forces were busy assessing the likely scenario in 1964. One of the reasons that he went to Dallas was due to Bobby's urging because he'd very narrowly won Texas in 1960 and it was felt Lyndon Johnson's presence on the ticket had made the difference. It was widely rumored that Bobby wanted Lyndon off the ticket which was why Johnson h**ed him.
Plus, Democratic Sen. Ralph Yarborough, a liberal, was causing a huge rift in the Texas party. The Texas Democratic Party was very conservative, almost Republican. Gov. John Connelly, a conservative, and who was wounded in the parade with Kennedy, was at loggerheads with Yarborough.
The Kennedy camp thought New York Gov. Nelson Rockefeller & Michigan Gov. George Romney (Mitt's father) would have been the easiest opponents. Nixon's political ghost had been buried in tce 1962 California gubernatorial e******n which he had lost. There were rumors that Bobby had sicked the IRS on Nixon with an audit, in the middle of the campaign which was a huge distraction for him. Nixon gave his infamous farewell to the press with the 'you won't have Nixon to kick around anymore' statement.
JFK forces were most concerned with Barry Goldwater as the Republican nominee. A native Arizonan, he was bound to do very well in the mountain west and far west. He'd done very poorly in the west in 1960, an area that his campaign had assigned to Ted to co-ordinate. Every state Ted supervised, JFK lost in that e******n.
Nixon had taken California in 1960, which was reliably Republican at the time. With Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1952 & 1956 and Nixon in 1960, Republicans had started making inroads into the Democratic 'Solid South.' With the fracture in the Texas party and Lyndon Johnson off the ticket in 1964, Texas would be considered up for grabs, as would much of the South.
As it was, against Johnson as p**********l nominee in 1964 Goldwater took South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana and his own Arizona. Many western states gave Johnson very narrow Goldwater against Kennedy.
Kennedy knew he would have had a tough re-e******n campaign and he and Goldwater were very good friends from their days in the Senate. Goldwater later revealed that JFK wanted to have their campaigns across the country from Air Force One, where the two of them would come out and address the crowds with their countering proposals. Kennedy would never have allowed the dirty, lying campaign that Johnson led. It would have been interesting.