jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

UPDATE/Forecast 

The entire Alaskan plate is being moved on a mid 3 magnitude with equally spaced earthquakes.
The energy from Indonesia /Japan is arriving. 

6.3 reported by the USGS 6.4 EMSC off the Southern coast of Oregon within half a magnitude of what i said to watch for and larger on the way.

The Clear Lake Volcanoe/Geysers California is beginning to swarm with large swarms and clusters in the Ridgecrest region and is going to increase with a magnitude 5.8-6.2 (could be conservative, so please don't fault me. Also unusual larger swarms on the San Jacinto and Elsinore faults so expect these areas to pick up with larger magnitudes in the 4.7-5.3 range.

As the energy moves east. Wyoming moving down to Colorado and New Mexico there will be 4.0 and expect to see 5 magnitude at the oil and gas drill points. TEXAS or i should say Western Texas at oil and gas drill points and Christmas Volcanic field will have a 4.0 range magnitude upwards to low five depending on how much energy goes east, southeast from the Ridgecrest region. Look to oil and gas drill points in Kansas, ohio, Tennessee and Iowa to all be hit with 3's and low 4 but Kansas low 5.0 with energy moving up North to New York with high 2 to low 3's and a straggler 4 ish if multiole 2.0 strike increasing the combined energy.
Looking at an earthquake map you will see equally spaced earthquakes all around the edge of the Craton beginning with Montana/Wyoming and down around, up to NewYork. Multiple 2 and 3's dropping the 4 and 5's at the locations I mentioned. 
Back to California Nevada you will see larger swarms developing over the next few days at Mammoth Mountain, Coso Junction, Hells kitchen with 30-40 earthquakes per day , multiple 1 and 2's increasing combined energy increasing 3 and 4 magnitude earthquakes and likely a 5 to mid 5.
Moving down to the volcano at Sultan sea and the Geo Thermo drilling with increased 2,3, and an upper 4.0 magnitude. 
San Francisco, Santa Cruz and off coast Santa cruz I'm putting a watch for an upper 5- 6.3 magnitude. 
As i previously said a volcanoe erupted on the Aleutian islands and expect more continued activity 

South America on west coast 4-5 Volcanic eruptions over the next ten days with multiple 5's and 6.0- 6.4 and on the east coast of South America look for 6.0 Santa Cruz Venzes, Venezuela will have 4.4-5.0 deep earthquakes and 6.0+ spawning along the coast, out to islands and ending in the Atlantic. 

Im still having a watch for an 7.0 and larger off the coast of Oregon. 

Be safe my friends 
And please be prepared, 
If your in California or states around the edge of the Craton , are you prepared to look for your car keys, wallet, clothing and shoes in the dark among rubble from an earthquake? If gas stations cannot pump gas, no electricity, no water. Do you have a plan on where to go? 
A small prep bag with cash, extra debt or credit card, your meds, Id, snack bars, water, extra clothing, small first aid kit. Then when others are being gathered to the nearest High school gym by government, you will be heading out to an area not hit for a few days.

Jack

peg w

There was a large swarm of quakes around Mamouth lakes in the 90's, and nothing happened. So be be prepared, but remember, earthquake prediction is a dark science at best

jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

Really,
Would you consider over 80+% accuracy "Dark Science "?.

Hello I'm Jack and have been studying earthquakes for nearly 40 years. I have been forecasting earthquakes for several years (not predictions)
I have a dozen plus post i would be happy to cut and paste the links explaining how earthquakes strike and a good part of my methodology.
Sadly the universities of higher learnings that place scientist in fields such as the USGS are still teaching the same falae teachings.
Observations that can consistently be repeated is proven science, unfortunately this threatens the many falae statements, the foundation of the agency and funding.....politics

The swarm we are seeing at Mammoth lakes/Mountain is nothing new your right. However it provides a lot of information to what is going down line southbound and east across the edge of the craton marking forecasting and several days warning to orepare possible.

In my other post i forecasted dozens of earthquakes in locations and magnitudes not seen in a decade plus, within specific location and magnitude...No longer dark science my friend. You can verify forecast and earthquakes by timestamps on this forum.
.Jack

debeda

Thank you, Jack! Have missed your reports

EN Submarine Qualified Loc: Wisconsin East coast

To Jack.

You sure nailed the one off Oregon's coast. No tsunami that I could find to read about. Hang on folks.

EN Submarine Qualified Loc: Wisconsin East coast

Found a little thing discussing cratons. Have to admit it is a new word for me and only after Jack's postings on quakes. Go here:
Science101.com/quadrillion-tons-diamonds-underground/14/

jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

I'm watching for a 6.0 magnitude southwest California from San Francisco to San Diego. I like to be within 250ish miles of location. Swarms south "Glen Avon" and North Clear lake Volcanoe (Geysers) so alot of energy in entering California which some will t***sfer east dropping 4.0 in states all along the Craton Montana, Colorado, Kansas, ect.

Also the Ridgecrest region is on my strong watch for an upper 5 to mid 6.0 depending on how much energy (combined) t***sfers.

Be safe,
Jack

jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

Craton, the thicker more stable portion of the plate. The edge of the Craton is thinner more unstable where mother nature seeks out weak points and maga punches up through creating volcanoes, Volcanic fields, Volcanic deformations, the same places earthquake energy seeks out and earthquakes strike. Places man has drilled for oil and gas or Geo Thermal energy causing perforations or weak places in the earth's crust.

jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

I missed doing updates, watches and Forecast. Glad to be back.
Thank you,

Jack

jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

I am adding a close watch over the next days from San Francisco to San Diego for a 6.0 earthquake.
I like to be within 250 miles of a specific location to call it a hit with larger magnitudes like the 6.5 and 7.0 i forecast for Ridgecrest several weeks back.
There are two distinct line a quakes that are striking North to South down California and at the bottom of the Ridgecrest cluster the energy is t***sferring west towards the San Andreas Fault instead of east.
So from San Francisco combined energy is moving in and the same is true just East of L.A. to San Diego.
An earthquake in the 6.0 San Francisco region would reduce energy into L.A. San Diego and in the absence of a 6.0 in the San Francisco region the energy moving South will combine striking East of L.A-San Diego on the basis of a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake.

EN Submarine Qualified Loc: Wisconsin East coast

Thanks, Jack.

jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

Here is another site that gives alerts

http://pss.swpc.noaa.gov/LoginWebForm.aspx?ReturnUrl=%2fProductSubscriptionService%2f

Its the subscription site for CME from the sun directed towards earth.

Today there is a minor alert but even minor CME's can increase earthquakes.

How is this possible you may ask?

In my previous post i discussed how the earths core is not a solid, rather our core is Plasma. The most powerful energy known . Now think of the Earth as a battery with North pole/South pole being a Positive/Negative. When CME's strike the earth (CME=Energy) they are a charging mechanism for the earths core.
Now think of the earth as an engine having explosions that are directed to 9 points on the earth. (The specific point's that deep earthquakes originate). When a CME super charges larger explosions occur causing larger Deep earthquake's.

Today's minor G2 CME alert will not cause a mega quake, but if Emery hits the earth directly it will likely increase Deep earthquake's by up to half magnitude. So a 4.8 magnitude at 300 Km will produce a 5.7-6.4 shallow earthquake and with a CME it would increase to 5.3 Deep with 6.2-6.9 shallow. While this is a tremendous increase in energy it would'nt be "mega. An indirect hit may increase by one-two tenths at best.
From the time a CME hit earth and the energy reaches the States would be 12-16 days.
What I'm looking for with this alert is G-3 and above that enables me to forecast larger coming Deep Earthquake's with the greatest threat being New Zealand, Japan, Fuji (The entire Indonesia region). Second would be South America then Alaska and the states. Third Russia, China, Iran and flowing up and into Europe

Using CME'S in Forecasting has +/-70% accuracy with Deep earthquake's.

Be safe,
Be prepared,
Jack

EN Submarine Qualified Loc: Wisconsin East coast

Great interesting info. Thanks

jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

Here is a cut and paste from USGS of a 6.7 DEEP EARTHQUAKE 
AT 375 MILES IN DEPTH 


M 6.7 - 34km NNE of Ndoi Island, Fiji

2019-09-01 15:54:21 (UTC)20.360°S 178.593°W604.1 km depth



AT THIS DEPTH I'M FORECASTING 7.8-8.3 MAGNITUDE SHALLOW EARTHQUAKES to spawn off and flow northbound towards Japan, Alaska and then into the lower 48

At this depth the energy is hammering up from underneath the crust and its not often we see this large of a magnitude at this depth.
Also look for "Antipode" earthquake Within half a magnitude up or down within 200 miles of the antipode.

My last update was posted two days ago for the U.S. and we will soon begin seeing 4.0's around the craton. 6.0 west coast Southetn Oregon a 6.0 in the ridgecrest region and a larger than 7.0 will strike off coast Southern Oregon/Northern California now within a 14 day watch for the larger than 7.0

We have some larger energy entering the states within the next 14 dsys not just off coast

Be safe 
Be prepared 

Jack

EN Submarine Qualified Loc: Wisconsin East coast

I'm watching. Enjoy your holiday