son of witless wrote:
I say that your whole premise is flawed. I have a really hard time with the numbers of your two lists, because humans being what they are, I tend to think that randomly Democrats and Republicans should over a long time come out roughly even just by the law of averages. The fact that your list has Republicans coming out way way way higher on convictions leads me to several possible conclusions.
First, that your list is grossly inaccurate. Since I cannot prove that and I am not in the mood to try, I will pass for now. Second, that you are right and Republicans are by nature more dishonest than Democrats. I seriously doubt it. Third, that Democrats being far more devious than Republicans are just better at avoiding detection and conviction. Hmm, could be.
Fourth, and this is the one I am going with. Your premise is flawed as far as Republican verses Democratic voters because you simply do not account for the voters reactions after convictions. That is the real test.
Well there is actually a fifth. Nationally Republicans outnumber Democrats by so many that the greater numbers simply mathematically produce more criminals even when the %s are equal. I do not believe that one for a second because nationally there are many stupid voters.
I say that your whole premise is flawed. I have a ... (
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LOL - I'll start by agreeing with your final point... (indeed, there are many stupid voters... on all sides).
I also agree with your point about the law of averages. I too think that with humans being what they are, we should see more even numbers in the aggregate and this is why I pointed out the difference between the elected politicians and the appointed politicians, because when it comes to the elected politicians, the numbers ARE more even... well, 8 Democrats to 13 Republicans, but parity is lost on the appointed politicians 1 Democrat to 12 Republicans. So as I said, my conclusion there is that the Republican leaders are less excusable that the Republican voters.
I have some theories about the lesser difference between voters based on the idea that political differences often tie into cultural differences. For example, there is a certain "compliance" that is bred into people who come from a congregational culture. These people are effectively trained to believe what they are told by the pastor whom they are told to trust. There is no flexibility in this model. This culture is far more rooted on the right than it is on the left and I think it's effects carries into politics.
That being said. I'll go through your enumerations...
#1 - list is grossly inaccurate: I got the initial list from Wikipedia for reasons I stated earlier and I verified at least six of the names and found no error. I won't say inaccuracy is impossible but I think it's unlikely.
#2 - Republicans are by nature more dishonest than Democrats: This is where I have to ask if you're referring to private citizens or the politicians themselves. I don't think this statement applies to the average voter, but I suspect it does apply to the politicians (with exceptions on both sides of course).
#3 - Democrats being far more devious than Republicans: This time, I'll just assume we're talking about the politicians and yes, the thought HAS crossed my mind. It
could be that the Democrats are just better at not getting caught. Of course there's no way to prove that either way.
#4 - voters reactions after convictions not accounted for: Hmm, I'm not really sure how reactions after convictions make any difference as to whether or not a politician is elected then convicted. Are you saying that if Republican voters are disappointed with a convicted politician they can take back their vote so we can take that name off the list?
#5 - Nationally Republicans outnumber Democrats leading to a higher number of disgraced politicians: The basic problem here is that nationally, Democrats outnumber Republicans. There are of course variations among the polls but the average result from all of them indicates Democrats are ahead by a significant margin. This is not a new trend either and it explains why the only presidents in my lifetime that won the EC but lost the popular vote were Republicans. It also explains why almost all of the recent gerrymandering is being done by Republicans. It makes sense... they are fighting the odds BECAUSE there are far more Democrats. Finally, I don't see ANY Republicans pushing to reform or eliminate the EC. That fight is all on the Democratic side which wouldn't make any sense unless they had the numbers.
I don't know about you but a lot of conservatives seem to get confused when they look at an election map and think because most of the surface area is red, it means there are more Republicans. But unless you're counting the cows and the trees as Republicans, this is assessment is erroneous. There are far more American citizens in those little blue blotches than there are in the large swaths of red. So if that's what you're going by, I suggest you find the maps that account for population not just acreage. Look up "cartograms".
Otherwise, I'm not sure why you would think there are more Republicans than Democrats.
I'll go with your #2 - with emphasis on politicians rather than voters and maybe #3 as an unprovable possibility.