Population-Growth Patterns Paint Grim Picture for Democrats
If red states continue growing this quickly and blue states keep growing slowly, Democrats’ long-term chances of winning the White House stand to be seriously imperiled.
For Democrats, the picture is grim.

Among red states, Texas would gain four electoral votes; Florida would gain three; Idaho, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Utah would gain one each.

Among blue states, California would lose four seats, New York would lose three, Illinois would lose two, and Minnesota, Oregon, and Rhode Island would lose one seat each.

Among battleground states, Arizona and Georgia (both won by Joe Biden) and North Carolina (won by Donald Trump) would gain one seat each while the Biden-backing states of Michigan and Pennsylvania would lose one seat each.

“Population shifts pose a serious potential risk to Democrats in presidential politics,” said Emory University political scientist Alan Abramowitz.

While states used to switch partisan allegiance with some regularity, those preferences have ossified in recent decades.

“Unfortunately for the Democrats, a lot has changed over the last half-century,” said Christopher Cooper, a political scientist at Western Carolina University. “Today the partisan outcome of almost every state is virtually assured before we even know the candidates.”
https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2024-01-16/population-growth-patterns-paint-grim-picture-for-democrats