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A Roe Blue Wave In Texas As Democrats Have A 10 Point New Voter Registration Advantage
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Sep 12, 2022 16:23:50   #
336Robin Loc: North Carolina
 
microphor wrote:
That's what made him my president!!!


Democrats have a 10- point lead on new registration in Texas.

I would imagine the same in other states. You all in for a surprise from young people and women.

Reply
Sep 12, 2022 16:31:20   #
Bad Bob Loc: Virginia
 
TexaCan wrote:
Remember the Alamo! πŸ˜‰


They got their ass kicked too.



Reply
Sep 12, 2022 16:39:38   #
TexaCan Loc: Homeward Bound!
 
Bad Bob wrote:
Like trump(the lying POS) winning the 2020 election?


Talk about a lying POS! Biden has perfected it over the last 4 decades! LOL! Poor old man has had a problem with keeping his stories straight over the years! LOL!



β€œOh, you know the thing!” β€œAnyway………!” β€œI’m not kidding!” β€œNo joke, I’m not joking folks!” πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚

https://youtu.be/t1pVk6TaYxc This one is my favorite! It proves just how low a scumbag Biden really is!

https://youtu.be/fRw0fA6YHUw

https://youtu.be/JvOjlfRpXHQ

https://youtu.be/lWjk6s5H9jc

https://youtu.be/KjhA4VRDfIE

Reply
 
 
Sep 12, 2022 16:41:46   #
TexaCan Loc: Homeward Bound!
 
Bad Bob wrote:
They got their ass kicked too.


What happened after that? πŸ˜‰ I thought you were a teacher? LOL!

Remember the Alamo! πŸŒŸβ˜„οΈπŸ’₯⚑️

Reply
Sep 12, 2022 16:49:37   #
Bad Bob Loc: Virginia
 
TexaCan wrote:
Talk about a lying POS! Biden has perfected it over the last 4 decades! LOL! Poor old man has had a problem with keeping his stories straight over the years! LOL!



β€œOh, you know the thing!” β€œAnyway………!” β€œI’m not kidding!” β€œNo joke, I’m not joking folks!” πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚

https://youtu.be/t1pVk6TaYxc This one is my favorite! It proves just how low a scumbag Biden really is!

https://youtu.be/fRw0fA6YHUw

https://youtu.be/JvOjlfRpXHQ

https://youtu.be/lWjk6s5H9jc

https://youtu.be/KjhA4VRDfIE
Talk about a lying POS! Biden has perfected it ov... (show quote)


F*** YouTube

Reply
Sep 12, 2022 17:05:15   #
TexaCan Loc: Homeward Bound!
 
336Robin wrote:
Democrats have a 10- point lead on new registration in Texas.

I would imagine the same in other states. You all in for a surprise from young people and women.



This reminds me of some old quote by some old dead guy! LOL!………actually it is attributed to a story in the Bible

THE WRITING IS ON THE WALL…………



https://townhall.com/tipsheet/spencerbrown/2022/09/12/why-democrat-are-worried-theyre-leading-in-these-midterm-polls-n2612937?utm_campaign=inarticle

This Tuesday marks the official end of the 2022 midterm primary season with races across the country set for November's general election. But, even as Democrats spent a week or more spinning a "there's no red wave coming" message to try and tout their strength and popularity among voters, the party of President Biden is quietly fretting that their candidates are...in the lead?

Those worries are, evidently, based on polls showing Democrat midterm candidates up over GOP opponents in place where polls showed Hillary Clinton leading against Trump in 2016 β€” and we all know how that turned out β€” as well as in places surveys incorrectly showed Biden running up leads in places he wasn't actually winning.

In something of an attempt to tamp down hopes among Democrats from The New York Times, Chief Political Analyst Nate Cohn admonishes that "the polling warning signs are flashing again." Cohn explains how he found "a consistent link between Democratic strength today and polling error two years ago."

Wisconsin is a good example. On paper, the Republican senator Ron Johnson ought to be favored to win re-election. The FiveThirtyEight fundamentals index, for instance, makes him a two-point favorite. Instead, the polls have exceeded the wildest expectations of Democrats. The state’s gold-standard Marquette Law School survey even showed the Democrat Mandela Barnes leading Mr. Johnson by seven percentage points.

But in this case, good for Wisconsin Democrats might be too good to be true. The state was ground zero for survey error in 2020, when pre-election polls proved to be too good to be true for Mr. Biden. In the end, the polls overestimated Mr. Biden by about eight percentage points. Eerily enough, Mr. Barnes is faring better than expected by a similar margin.

The Wisconsin data is just one example of a broader pattern across the battlegrounds: The more the polls overestimated Mr. Biden last time, the better Democrats seem to be doing relative to expectations. And conversely, Democrats are posting less impressive numbers in some of the states where the polls were fairly accurate two years ago, like Georgia.

So Democrats are doing well in states where polling has proven woefully inaccurate in years past, and not doing well in states where polling has been more accurate β€” hence the handwringing from Dems thinking they might be looking down the barrel of more overconfidence leading to supposedly "stunning" defeats on election night.

"If the polls are wrong yet again, it will not be hard to explain," Cohn continues. That's because "[m]ost pollsters haven’t made significant methodological changes since the last election."

So, if Midterm 2022 polls are as off-base as they were in 2020, what do Senate battlegrounds really look like? According to Cohn, when accounting for the errors in the last presidential election cycle, "apparent Democratic edge in Senate races in Wisconsin, North Carolina and Ohio would evaporate." That means the GOP would only need to win two of the seats up for grabs in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, or Nevada in order to retake control of the Senate.

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Sep 12, 2022 17:07:22   #
TexaCan Loc: Homeward Bound!
 
Bad Bob wrote:
F*** YouTube


Did that get your panties all in a wad there, Bobby! πŸ˜‰

Reply
 
 
Sep 12, 2022 17:50:21   #
Drue-Marie
 
I. Just. Can't. With. Some. People.



Reply
Sep 12, 2022 17:54:10   #
BIRDMAN
 
bluefish wrote:
I. Just. Can't. With. Some. People.
h





Reply
Sep 12, 2022 18:03:06   #
woodguru
 
microphor wrote:
If Dems have a lead in "of all places" TX, they best be checking ID's at the polls


Why would that be a problem if they have a legitimate registered voter lead? The bigger the lead is the more likely republicans are going to lose races.

Reply
Sep 12, 2022 19:20:42   #
Bad Bob Loc: Virginia
 
TexaCan wrote:
Did that get your panties all in a wad there, Bobby! πŸ˜‰


Not at all and Youtube is not a reliable source.

Reply
 
 
Sep 12, 2022 19:50:18   #
BIRDMAN
 
Bad Bob wrote:
Not at all and Youtube is not a reliable source.


Neither is CNN

Reply
Sep 12, 2022 19:59:07   #
TexaCan Loc: Homeward Bound!
 
Bad Bob wrote:
Not at all and Youtube is not a reliable source.


They were Biden’s own words…….every single lie was proven, you poor man! πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚

Definition of denialist
: a person who denies the existence, truth, or validity of something despite proof or strong evidence that it is real, true, or valid : someone who practices denialism

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Sep 12, 2022 20:12:42   #
microphor Loc: Home is TN
 
336Robin wrote:
Democrats have a 10- point lead on new registration in Texas.

I would imagine the same in other states. You all in for a surprise from young people and women.


I wouldn't get too excited:

Do I have to register or affiliate with a party before I vote in the primary? (In Texas)

No. A registered voter is not required to pre-register or take any steps towards affiliating themselves with a party before voting in a party’s primary election. (Β§162.003). Additionally, when a person registers to vote in Texas, they do not register with any kind of party affiliation.

Reply
Sep 12, 2022 20:14:11   #
microphor Loc: Home is TN
 
Bad Bob wrote:
F*** YouTube


But you post from youtube all the time, you and your cronies!

Reply
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