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Earthquake Forecast
Sep 23, 2019 07:19:00   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
I decided to cut and paste this from my last Earthquake post and create a new post for you. In the event your in a location, didn't read my last post. You can be prepared.

Here it is from 9/22 thread

Forecast of new energy entering the States. 

I've been studying how energy moves into Mammoth Mountain/Coso Junction, then flows South down to the Ridgecrest Region. Has anyone looked this up on Google Earth? Have you noticed the Long Valley Caldera? If you said yes then did you notice what is [in] the Caldera? Again if you said Geo Thermo Turbins, where man has drilled into the Super Volcano again you would be correct.
This is the location energy transfers to accoss the plate and begins dropping the straight line of dozens to hundreds of earthquakes daily when energy enters into the states that first originates from Deep Earthquake's in the Indonesian region. 
This is the first point I'm forecasting a 4.7-5.2 strike, just North of the Ridgecrest region. 
Lots of swarms have been striking L.A to San Diego the last few months with some stored energy so I'm forecasting something larger in the 3.8-4.3 but dont fault me if it comes in a magnitude higher, magnitude 5 0-5.2 if enough energy transfers east accross the San Andreas to the valley from Ridgecrest. Keep an eye out on the several thousand square mile area that begins at San Bernadino and South that the USGS recently announced has subsided 30-40ft over the last 40+/- years from oil and gas drilling. Did you know there are hundreds and hundreds of thousands of drill pads in this exact area? Now you know and can see them on Google earth. Entire mountains shaved with pads for drilling. 
The other location that we see more active the last month or so are the San Jacinto fault with smaller earthquake energy transfering (jumping) to Salton Butte Volcanoe (Sultan sea) and what is less than a mile? Yes, just a few Geo Thermo Drilling stations so its likely something a magnitude larger than what we have been seeing will strike in the near 3.0 magnitude. 

Western Texas is again in the picture, why? The hundreds of thousands of drill pads for oil and gas and as the earthquake energy flows around the edge of the Craton, this is a weaken portion of the earth's crust. I'm forecasting in the range of a 4.0 magnitude then two directions the energy will flow if it splits is eastern Texas at the Christmas Mountains with another 4.0 and Oklahoma with low 3.0 -3.7 but if energy doesn't divide Oklahoma/Kansas watch for slightly larger in the 4.0 magnitude along with Southern Colorado. Northern Arizona expect a 3.0-3.4 What do these locations have in common? Volcano's? No, but again oil and gas drill pads. 
Looking closer at the line of earthquakes that has been striking Oklahoma and Kansas South to North. If you look at this area on Google earth, you can see the Craton or the thicker more stable portion of the plate that we don't see earthquakes strike. Except we are seeing earthquakes strike as energy flows around the edge of the Craton and in this area a straight line of earthquakes has been going from the edge of the Craton, Oklahoma continuing North Kansas with many more earthquakes than we have previous years seen in the Craton.
It's my contention that this entire area is saturated with hundreds of oil and gas drill pads and during the last 2 years under the Trump administration it has expanded with several thousand more drill pads thousands of feet deep, even miles deep that has further weaken the earth's crust or perforated the crust ans because earthquake energy seeks out the weakest points in the earth's crust to strike, this is why we are seeing more earthquakes in a line going from Oklahoma to Kansas. So lets watch for a larger magnitude than what has been striking in the 4.0 range.


When will this happen you ask? 
Will we have been seeing 5 and 5.5 magnitude earthquakes flowing around earths plate boundries from the Deep earthquake's I reported so anytime up to 3to5 days. But so you will know its it's coming in I'm forecasting a larger magnitude earthquake off the Coast near the lower portion of the Juan d Fuca fault or Southern Oregon/Northern California in the 5.4- 6.0 magnitude. 
I'm still calling for a mid 6 to 7.0 magnitudes to pop off where I reported the Deep earthquake's and then much of the Deep earthquake energy transfering accross from The Indonesian region to South America,(mid South America, Western coastal)I'm forecasting a mid 6.0 or larger but first you will see one to two strike in the mid Pacific Ocean as energy transfers accross to South America. 
Oh and Japan a 6.0 before the earthquake energy flows up to Alaska with the Aleutians seeing a 5.6-6.1 Anchorage in the 5.0-5.3 

Mark your calendars on this next forecast......Kilauea volcanoe on Hawaii, remember it's last eruption? The professionals are saying its going through its normal shudders after it's last eruption and years away from another eruption. 
My forecast is Kilauea will erupt before February 2020 . The crater has sunk more and looking at the professionals report of heat in the crater with the lake at the bottom boiling, its just a matter of time before the boiling lake if water meets magma and "BOOM" I was going to foecast it to erupt before December, but like earthquake forecast the event sometimes takes an extra day or so for the energy to travel than in my forecast but with volcanoes we're sometimes looking at a month to 3-4 months. If your a long time follower, you will remember me talking about this iver the last few months and if your newer to my forecasting earthquakes, my previous post are full of information. 


Be safe,
Be prepared, 
Jack

Reply
Sep 23, 2019 07:38:58   #
Canuckus Deploracus Loc: North of the wall
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
I decided to cut and paste this from my last Earthquake post and create a new post for you. In the event your in a location, didn't read my last post. You can be prepared.

Here it is from 9/22 thread

Forecast of new energy entering the States. 

I've been studying how energy moves into Mammoth Mountain/Coso Junction, then flows South down to the Ridgecrest Region. Has anyone looked this up on Google Earth? Have you noticed the Long Valley Caldera? If you said yes then did you notice what is [in] the Caldera? Again if you said Geo Thermo Turbins, where man has drilled into the Super Volcano again you would be correct.
This is the location energy transfers to accoss the plate and begins dropping the straight line of dozens to hundreds of earthquakes daily when energy enters into the states that first originates from Deep Earthquake's in the Indonesian region. 
This is the first point I'm forecasting a 4.7-5.2 strike, just North of the Ridgecrest region. 
Lots of swarms have been striking L.A to San Diego the last few months with some stored energy so I'm forecasting something larger in the 3.8-4.3 but dont fault me if it comes in a magnitude higher, magnitude 5 0-5.2 if enough energy transfers east accross the San Andreas to the valley from Ridgecrest. Keep an eye out on the several thousand square mile area that begins at San Bernadino and South that the USGS recently announced has subsided 30-40ft over the last 40+/- years from oil and gas drilling. Did you know there are hundreds and hundreds of thousands of drill pads in this exact area? Now you know and can see them on Google earth. Entire mountains shaved with pads for drilling. 
The other location that we see more active the last month or so are the San Jacinto fault with smaller earthquake energy transfering (jumping) to Salton Butte Volcanoe (Sultan sea) and what is less than a mile? Yes, just a few Geo Thermo Drilling stations so its likely something a magnitude larger than what we have been seeing will strike in the near 3.0 magnitude. 

Western Texas is again in the picture, why? The hundreds of thousands of drill pads for oil and gas and as the earthquake energy flows around the edge of the Craton, this is a weaken portion of the earth's crust. I'm forecasting in the range of a 4.0 magnitude then two directions the energy will flow if it splits is eastern Texas at the Christmas Mountains with another 4.0 and Oklahoma with low 3.0 -3.7 but if energy doesn't divide Oklahoma/Kansas watch for slightly larger in the 4.0 magnitude along with Southern Colorado. Northern Arizona expect a 3.0-3.4 What do these locations have in common? Volcano's? No, but again oil and gas drill pads. 
Looking closer at the line of earthquakes that has been striking Oklahoma and Kansas South to North. If you look at this area on Google earth, you can see the Craton or the thicker more stable portion of the plate that we don't see earthquakes strike. Except we are seeing earthquakes strike as energy flows around the edge of the Craton and in this area a straight line of earthquakes has been going from the edge of the Craton, Oklahoma continuing North Kansas with many more earthquakes than we have previous years seen in the Craton.
It's my contention that this entire area is saturated with hundreds of oil and gas drill pads and during the last 2 years under the Trump administration it has expanded with several thousand more drill pads thousands of feet deep, even miles deep that has further weaken the earth's crust or perforated the crust ans because earthquake energy seeks out the weakest points in the earth's crust to strike, this is why we are seeing more earthquakes in a line going from Oklahoma to Kansas. So lets watch for a larger magnitude than what has been striking in the 4.0 range.


When will this happen you ask? 
Will we have been seeing 5 and 5.5 magnitude earthquakes flowing around earths plate boundries from the Deep earthquake's I reported so anytime up to 3to5 days. But so you will know its it's coming in I'm forecasting a larger magnitude earthquake off the Coast near the lower portion of the Juan d Fuca fault or Southern Oregon/Northern California in the 5.4- 6.0 magnitude. 
I'm still calling for a mid 6 to 7.0 magnitudes to pop off where I reported the Deep earthquake's and then much of the Deep earthquake energy transfering accross from The Indonesian region to South America,(mid South America, Western coastal)I'm forecasting a mid 6.0 or larger but first you will see one to two strike in the mid Pacific Ocean as energy transfers accross to South America. 
Oh and Japan a 6.0 before the earthquake energy flows up to Alaska with the Aleutians seeing a 5.6-6.1 Anchorage in the 5.0-5.3 

Mark your calendars on this next forecast......Kilauea volcanoe on Hawaii, remember it's last eruption? The professionals are saying its going through its normal shudders after it's last eruption and years away from another eruption. 
My forecast is Kilauea will erupt before February 2020 . The crater has sunk more and looking at the professionals report of heat in the crater with the lake at the bottom boiling, its just a matter of time before the boiling lake if water meets magma and "BOOM" I was going to foecast it to erupt before December, but like earthquake forecast the event sometimes takes an extra day or so for the energy to travel than in my forecast but with volcanoes we're sometimes looking at a month to 3-4 months. If your a long time follower, you will remember me talking about this iver the last few months and if your newer to my forecasting earthquakes, my previous post are full of information. 


Be safe,
Be prepared, 
Jack
I decided to cut and paste this from my last Earth... (show quote)


Anything for northern China?

Reply
Sep 23, 2019 08:22:19   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
There has been 4.5 and 5.0 the last few weeks along the Russian border 150 ish miles in China that flows west to east towards Iran. I'm watching for something a magnitude larger and with the extra energy flowing in a strike inland or central if the energy is enough to push it around the opposite flow of the Craton.

Take care my friend,
Jack

Reply
 
 
Sep 23, 2019 10:28:00   #
milamber
 
Jack, Hi been reading your posts for a while now, I live in the Puget Sound just north of Seattle on Whidbey Island and I'm right on top of the Juan d Fuca fault, any info about risks and magnitude? I do know that they say Seattle is do for the big one but is the energy just passing us or could we get the big one soon? Thanks Mark.

Reply
Sep 23, 2019 15:30:39   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
milamber wrote:
Jack, Hi been reading your posts for a while now, I live in the Puget Sound just north of Seattle on Whidbey Island and I'm right on top of the Juan d Fuca fault, any info about risks and magnitude? I do know that they say Seattle is do for the big one but is the energy just passing us or could we get the big one soon? Thanks Mark.




Hi Mark,

The faults that run through the Islands, Puget Sound and Seattle are capable of 6.0-6.5 magnitude earthquakes in themselves. Over 90+ % of all earthquakes in your region are within 14 mile of Volcanoes, Volcanic fields or Volcanic deformations and not on faults. If you look back on the quakes the last two months, their location on Google earth you will see what I'm talking about.
Your highest risk is when the Cascadia Subduction zone snaps. Multiple scientists fear a larger than 9.0 magnitude earthquake from Just off coast of the Southern tip of Vancouver Island to The Northern edge of California the plate lurching exceeding 100 feet. Everything west of Interstate 5 wiped out first by 5 minutes of violent shaking followed by a historic surge and tidal wave that will devastate cities and towns, completely removing them from the map. Seattle where I was born and spent most of my life in that region will see the surge and being it sits on clay has little chance of surviving. The Islands will are in range of 8.0 extended 5 min shaking. This will likely trigger Mt Baker, Mt, St Helens , Yellowstone and every volcanoe down to Mt Shasta and the Long Valley Caldera (California Super Volcanoe).

Usually when I asked this question I have better news, Sorry to say your in a very unstable region. California because of the Super Volcanoe, Hundreds of active and Dormant volcanoes, San Andreas (Super Sonic Slip Fault ) and its hundreds of other faults has a much darker picture.

Stay tuned for my forecast and updates. You will have several days advance warning Indonesia is the Key with deep earthquake's .

Be safe,
Be prepared,
Jack

Reply
Sep 23, 2019 15:59:40   #
milamber
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
Hi Mark,

The faults that run through the Islands, Puget Sound and Seattle are capable of 6.0-6.5 magnitude earthquakes in themselves. Over 90+ % of all earthquakes in your region are within 14 mile of Volcanoes, Volcanic fields or Volcanic deformations and not on faults. If you look back on the quakes the last two months, their location on Google earth you will see what I'm talking about.
Your highest risk is when the Cascadia Subduction zone snaps. Multiple scientists fear a larger than 9.0 magnitude earthquake from Just off coast of the Southern tip of Vancouver Island to The Northern edge of California the plate lurching exceeding 100 feet. Everything west of Interstate 5 wiped out first by 5 minutes of violent shaking followed by a historic surge and tidal wave that will devastate cities and towns, completely removing them from the map. Seattle where I was born and spent most of my life in that region will see the surge and being it sits on clay has little chance of surviving. The Islands will are in range of 8.0 extended 5 min shaking. This will likely trigger Mt Baker, Mt, St Helens , Yellowstone and every volcanoe down to Mt Shasta and the Long Valley Caldera (California Super Volcanoe).

Usually when I asked this question I have better news, Sorry to say your in a very unstable region. California because of the Super Volcanoe, Hundreds of active and Dormant volcanoes, San Andreas (Super Sonic Slip Fault ) and its hundreds of other faults has a much darker picture.

Stay tuned for my forecast and updates. You will have several days advance warning Indonesia is the Key with deep earthquake's .

Be safe,
Be prepared,
Jack
Hi Mark, br br The faults that run through the I... (show quote)


Thanks Jack, was woke up by the one to the east of us a couple of months ago thought it was the dog shaking the bed.

Reply
Sep 23, 2019 16:33:50   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
milamber wrote:
Thanks Jack, was woke up by the one to the east of us a couple of months ago thought it was the dog shaking the bed.



I was tracking those earthquakes just North of Seattle. Generally most of the earthquake energy as it flows down from Alaska occasionally strikes of the coast of Vancouver Island , some energy moves into Washington with 2ish and lower magnitude earthquakes but majority of the energy transfers into the Juan d Fuca fault.

You may notice the corruption with the USGS not reporting earthquakes out of Oregon. As the energy moves into the plate it flows south but (Sarcasm) has intelligence to stop at borders (Oregon ) . When enough of us start twisting arms on twitter or other forums publicly, the USGS then will report one or two small earthquakes. But every year there are thousands of 0.0- 4 magnitude earthquakes not being reported.

Another way you can see if energy is heading your way, watch the tremor map.
You can find it here

http://pnsn.org/tremor

If you look at it today. Go back a few days and you will see near Vancouver there were hundreds of tremors and then Southern Oregon they heated up. That's the plate shifting. When you see a much higher escalating amount of tremors in 3-4 locations from Vancouver Island to Northern California that means massive energy is pushing on the plate from the Juan d Fuca fault and larger magnitude earthquakes will strike.
Tremors are not earthquakes but much smaller vibrations in the earth's crust as the plate shifts.

Take care,
Stay tuned,
My website (If i ever get it up and going) will have live forecasting and updates at your finger tips and text alerts to regions that will flag the user to get on the website for more detailed location, time, and magnitude.
For me it will consolidate my tools and improve my accuracy in forecasting. Currently I'm in the 80%+ accuracy range.

Jack

Reply
 
 
Sep 24, 2019 02:49:57   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
If you read my Forecast
Here is Alaska

M 5.3 - 127km ESE of Nikolski, Alaska

2019-09-23 17:51:10 (UTC)
Location 52.649°N 167.046°W
10.0 km depth

Larger energy flowing around the plate boundary into Alaska as we have been seeing around the globe on a mid 5 magnitude range.

Java Indonesia just had a very deep 6.0 at 380 mile depth with mid 5 circling the planet there is no way this won't produce 7.0 and larger. In the next ten days I'll be forecasting some major plate shifting.


Those following will remember me discussing "Antipodes " and look we just had a 6.0 strike Puerto Rico Region, exact same latitude (draw a line through the earth and per previous forecast and updates I said to watch the east of South America for magnitude higher.

Jack

Reply
Sep 25, 2019 19:08:16   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Lots of Global unrest. Planet wide we're seeing Antipodes striking. California is getting earthquakes in locations of forecast. Ridgecrest came in near magnitude of forecast.
Still energy entering California, so expect continuing strikes per forecast.

Japan hit 5.1 and 5.2 per forecast just a hair less but looking for half plus magnitude to still strike within the next three days.

Also we see strikes in the location of forecast for South America.

Looking at earthquake strike maps you can see the perfect path or flow of earthquakes striking around the edge of the Craton.

Be safe
Be prepared,

With fall and winter cooling be sure you emergency bag has extra clothing, sweaters, hats, gloves, socks , don't get stuck unprepared.


Jack

Reply
Sep 25, 2019 20:13:15   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Just hit per forecast


Wednesday, 25 September 2019 23:46 UTC
Magnitude: 6.6
Depth: 10.0 km
Epicenter latitude / longitude: 3.56°S / 128.45

Look for fulcrum points to fill in equally spaced earthquakes of within 1-2 Tenths of a magnitude to this.6.6 USGS 6.4 EMSC With other stations reporting 6.9 high and 6.2 low

The last 48 hours multiple deep earthquake's. Where seeing the last 7 days of many more than average Deep earthquake's.

We have been hovering with 935 average earthquakes per week, down from 1130 record, up from our high weekly of low 800.
We have entered a new higher weekly normal, new behavior to years of consistent patterns.

In the last 7 days 185 earthquakes 6.6-4.0 magnitudes. This is notable evidence of plates shifting worldwide.



Jack

Reply
Sep 26, 2019 18:21:26   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
South American west coast region I Forecast is getting strikes 5.5 -6.0 magnitudes...Chili.


Southern Idaho, Western Montana, Oklahoma, watch now for Kansas, Southern Colorado, Western Texas , then Flowing North towards New York so expect a few more strikes in the North east/South east states along the edge of the Craton.

Jack

Jack

Reply
 
 
Sep 29, 2019 20:25:26   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Per Forecasting Chili

Magnitude
6.8
RegionOFFSHORE MAULE, CHILE
Date time2019-09-29 15:57:56.0 UTC
Location35.47 S ; 72.91 W
Depth26 km


And this one Indonesia region
Mindanao, Philippines
Time:2019-09-29 02:02:50.8 UTC
Magnitude:6.2 (Mw)
Epicenter:126.54°E  5.71°N 
Depth:68 km

This energy will be heading North, expect to see 5.5-6.2 spreading out over the next few days.
Then look at the folcrum points to fill in.
Japan is under watch South to Central on the plate boundary. The inside means land, the outside of the plate boundary is off shore strike.
Where do you think looking at the 6.2 on Google earth and seeing the plate boundary? I say it strikes on the ?__?__? of the boundary. I'll give those that follow my forecasting to private message me with their answers and post mine later today or early A.M.

Note, this will being more unrest to Alaska.

Be safe,
Be prepared,
Jack

Reply
Oct 3, 2019 02:07:54   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
Per Forecasting Chili

Magnitude
6.8
RegionOFFSHORE MAULE, CHILE
Date time2019-09-29 15:57:56.0 UTC
Location35.47 S ; 72.91 W
Depth26 km


And this one Indonesia region
Mindanao, Philippines
Time:2019-09-29 02:02:50.8 UTC
Magnitude:6.2 (Mw)
Epicenter:126.54°E  5.71°N 
Depth:68 km

This energy will be heading North, expect to see 5.5-6.2 spreading out over the next few days.
Then look at the folcrum points to fill in.
Japan is under watch South to Central on the plate boundary. The inside means land, the outside of the plate boundary is off shore strike.
Where do you think looking at the 6.2 on Google earth and seeing the plate boundary? I say it strikes on the ?__?__? of the boundary. I'll give those that follow my forecasting to private message me with their answers and post mine later today or early A.M.

Note, this will being more unrest to Alaska.

Be safe,
Be prepared,
Jack
Per Forecasting Chili br br Magnitude br 6.8 br R... (show quote)




For those watching Japan is having a cluster South to Central, just off coast. Go figure, and look for a fulcrum earthquake South of Sapporo Japan.


4.0 Ridgecrest, the second notable earthquake but a full magnitude and a hair less than forecast.

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