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Jun 30, 2019 21:16:51   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
bahmer wrote:
I live in Illinois about 100 miles from Chicago thank God. I sure wouldn't want to live in Chicago. Pritzker is taxing Illinois to death so if we don't get killed by an earthquake we starve to death under the new taxes.




Spent about a year and a half in California. California taxes the tax and must sit around think tanking ways or things to tax, when their not passing sexual identity bathroom bills or how or what to tax all social economic classes to pay the &$700.00 checks they issued to homeless people each month to keep their drug supplies up or passed the bill that any property crimes or theft $2,500 or less won't even be arrested or taxing for the free needle injection sites. Get your free needle and shoot up guaranteed you will be protected 100 % for any illegal possession of Heroine, Oxycodone, cocain, meth, any drug or amount or having small packaged amounts and large amounts of cash. Oh, and they are staffed with EMT's staffed to assist or bring them back to life if they overdose.

I never looked back in my rear view mirror driving out of the land of fruits and nuts.

Reply
Jun 30, 2019 22:41:39   #
debeda
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
Spent about a year and a half in California. California taxes the tax and must sit around think tanking ways or things to tax, when their not passing sexual identity bathroom bills or how or what to tax all social economic classes to pay the &$700.00 checks they issued to homeless people each month to keep their drug supplies up or passed the bill that any property crimes or theft $2,500 or less won't even be arrested or taxing for the free needle injection sites. Get your free needle and shoot up guaranteed you will be protected 100 % for any illegal possession of Heroine, Oxycodone, cocain, meth, any drug or amount or having small packaged amounts and large amounts of cash. Oh, and they are staffed with EMT's staffed to assist or bring them back to life if they overdose.

I never looked back in my rear view mirror driving out of the land of fruits and nuts.
Spent about a year and a half in California. Calif... (show quote)


Best summation of California I've heard

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Jul 1, 2019 08:43:39   #
bahmer
 
debeda wrote:
Best summation of California I've heard


With Pritzker and the democrats in the drivers seat we will be fast approaching that same degree of stupidity here as well and it won't take them very long either.

Reply
 
 
Jul 1, 2019 09:15:34   #
debeda
 
bahmer wrote:
With Pritzker and the democrats in the drivers seat we will be fast approaching that same degree of stupidity here as well and it won't take them very long either.


Yeah. Look at what they've done in their first 5 months

Reply
Jul 1, 2019 11:18:43   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
bahmer wrote:
What does it look like for northern Illinois Jack?



Illinois sits within the Craton, the more stable portion of the Craton. There are faults, the type of faults that do not produce larger earthquakes. Also the Northern portion is the most stable area of the state. Majority of the faults run through the southern portion.

Reply
Jul 1, 2019 11:24:46   #
bahmer
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
Illinois sits within the Craton, the more stable portion of the Craton. There are faults, the type of faults that do not produce larger earthquakes. Also the Northern portion is the most stable area of the state. Majority of the faults run through the southern portion.


Thank you now if we could only remove Pritzker we would be home free.

Reply
Jul 1, 2019 16:26:03   #
Fit2BTied Loc: Texas
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
Hello to my fellow OPP liberal and conservative.
Earthquakes are not political when you are in one, unfortunately the USGS does play games that could cause injuries or death.
I'm surprised having been giving warnings and forecast, there hasn't been more interest or questions. Only three have asked the risk in the area they or someone they know lives in or near.

Warning : I'm forecasting a 7.7 very near Fukushima nuke area within the next 10 days.

Warning : there have been more deep earthquakes over the last week and a half than any time since recording began. Indonesia has historically the highest number of "Deep" Earthquakes responsible for generating shallow earthquakes around the world.
But now Russia, Argentina, Japan, Fiji, Tonga, Indonesia all have been having multiple deep earthquakes and unusual Iran and Afghanistan have joined the deep earthquake status.

Warning : on higher level deep earthquakes we see the energy moving the plates in the west (Indonesia area) and then compensating North and South American continents with the lesser energy reaching and pushing on the North and greater energy South America.
TODAY EVERY PLATE IS UNDER PRESSURE AND MOVING!!!!!!!!!!!!

Argentina is another area I'm forecasting a larger 6.9-7.1

Northeast States 5.5-6.0
I'm watching the extreme energy in South America and forecasting it to go against its normal path as a result of the high energy and push what normally would be 2.0 magnitude energy, but I see it merging with the energy coming down from western states Washington, Montana and as it flows down to New Mexico around Colorado, Oklahoma, the energy from the South with join with the energy from the north causing Northeast strong earthquakes.

WARNING : what's different now than historical.
We had a major Volcanic eruption to 63,000 feet and right after and same area another volcano erupted to 48,000 feet.

The 8.0 earthquake about two months ago was compensation from a hugh Volcanic eruption to 40,000 feet in Indonesia. You may remember the 8.0 that hit Chili

Here in the states we have shallow earthquakes which is energy traveling either along the plate boundary or through the plate releasing at weak or thin points in the earth's crust.

Two types of deep earthquakes. One that is deep in the earth's crust, and the other from energy hammering from deep inside the earth up on the underside of the earth's crust.

We have had dozens of from under the earth's crust and now combined with not one but two massive volcanoes, one a record breaker.

WARNING!!!!!! Two unprecedented simultaneously massive Volcanic eruptions plus dozens of Deep Earthquakes over a very short period of just days (June 24th).


WARNING : There are only a few of us that forecast earthquakes with over an 80% accuracy.
Forecast includes location, within 10 days (often within 1-5days), magnitude. Generally errors are never location, days. What does occur is a forecast of a 5.0 earthquake actually strike as a 4.0 or 6.0 which I would still consider a hit. The magnitude warning that majority of news agencies have set as an alert is 5.0 magnitude and the USGS is proven to reclassify or originally report it as a 4.9, they even consistently will reduce a 5.5 to a 4.9 and a 5.8 they reduce to a 5.1. The USGS has not reported earthquakes anywhere on Oregon state onshore and only reports earthquakes off shore and near the border of Northern California. I have proven this and can prove it. The recent deep earthquakes around the world the USGS has only reported about half of them. Anyone wanting a phone app that notifies them of earthquakes it must include EMSC (European earthquake reporting agency), CSME, NEIC, IRIS. there are sites that will show reporting from over 50 agencies. Then equipped with multiple reporting agencies you can know the actual magnitude and real number of earthquakes.

In collaboration with other earthquake forecasters we share a common word in our exchange.... Concern, concern, concerns for what this massive energy that is able to move all the plates around the globe will translate into earthquake magnitude depending on how the energy could merge /combine as it moves around the plate boundaries and accross /Through the plates. Could this set off multiple 7.5 or 8.0 even 8.5's. We all agree there is a strong possibility and the other common words we each repeated several times "I hope I'm wrong"

Watch areas Indonesia, Japan, South America for the highest magnitude.

Did you know???? What is the difference between a 5.0 earthquake and a 5.1?

Answer... 10 times more powerful
And a 5.2 is ten times more powerful than a 5.1
Concern is in the event a 6.0, 6.1, 6.2 hits an American city. Depending on soil makeup, materials buildings are made of, depth of earthquake, bridges, overpasses, population density, time of day. The perfect combination could be disastrous causing massive injuries, deaths, property damage.

I'll be back and post more updates. After being up studying these events over the last two days, time for a few hours of sleep.

PLEASE, be prepared
Be safe, have a go bag with flashlight, snack bars, medicine, cash, extra set of car keys, basic first aid, water, cloths, shoes.
Imagine a disastrous event at night, the electricity goes out and debris all over trying to find a flashlight, keys, wallet..... And there's damage to the property with threat of aftershocks.

Best to be prepared


Be safe, there is accuracy in earthquake forecasting but with the current state of events there are unknowns but also the possibility of those unknowns to be a worse case scenario. I'll be staying on top of this and turn the unknowns into updates and watches.

Jack
Hello to my fellow OPP liberal and conservative. ... (show quote)
Jack, there are people here who will call you an alarmist when you say have a "go" bag ready.
https://www.ready.gov/evacuating-yourself-and-your-family
Note the 4th bullet point on the page...
This is not a conspiracy theory - this is real. The fact is that an "event" will occur. The questions are "what", "where", and "when". And if the "what" happens "where" you are, it'll be too late to worry about putting a plan together to protect your family.

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Jul 1, 2019 16:36:56   #
debeda
 
bahmer wrote:
Thank you now if we could only remove Pritzker we would be home free.



Reply
Jul 1, 2019 22:13:57   #
bggamers Loc: georgia
 
Fit2BTied wrote:
Jack, there are people here who will call you an alarmist when you say have a "go" bag ready.
https://www.ready.gov/evacuating-yourself-and-your-family
Note the 4th bullet point on the page...
This is not a conspiracy theory - this is real. The fact is that an "event" will occur. The questions are "what", "where", and "when". And if the "what" happens "where" you are, it'll be too late to worry about putting a plan together to protect your family.
Jack, there are people here who will call you an a... (show quote)


Having a go bag is just common sense not just for earthquakes but for many things in my area we get tornadoes midwest flooding or in Alabama, Georgia in an emergency just severe weather downed trees you dont have time to go looking for all the thing you need or things you need have become inaccessible

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Jul 1, 2019 22:34:31   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Fit2BTied wrote:
Jack, there are people here who will call you an alarmist when you say have a "go" bag ready.
https://www.ready.gov/evacuating-yourself-and-your-family
Note the 4th bullet point on the page...
This is not a conspiracy theory - this is real. The fact is that an "event" will occur. The questions are "what", "where", and "when". And if the "what" happens "where" you are, it'll be too late to worry about putting a plan together to protect your family.
Jack, there are people here who will call you an a... (show quote)




Generally the lower thinking will think I'm an alarmist.
Look back on my forecast and it's the darndest thing. Earthquake hitting where I said they would.

The real alarmist are the ones that try and freak everyone out every time a few small quakes hit Yellowstone.
Lots of cons that have no idea how to forecast earthquakes. Something any one can learn.
I hide no secrets to methodology.
The ones unprepared will be stuck in a government camp. If only they had prepared.

There are still several days on a watch from my most recent forecast.

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Jul 1, 2019 22:35:44   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
debeda wrote:
Best summation of California I've heard




👍

Reply
 
 
Jul 1, 2019 22:37:54   #
grace scott
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
My pleasure.

After a few years on this OPP forum I have grown fond of so many and even liberals that have opposite views and opinions. There have been many of these liberals who over the past years have shared life's experiences, tragedies, death of a family member, illness or how they have their favorite fishing hole, filling the stringer with trout. They have humanized themselves instead of a political rival, I see them as a individual who frustrates me, as they type out their opposing views.

So after years on OPP if I can help prepare everyone, even my liberal friends, then we both win.

What state do you live in or city if you don't mind sharing it on this forum?


Jack
My pleasure. br br After a few years on this OP... (show quote)



I live in Hampton, VA. Three years ago I left Louisvile, KY. Had earthquake insurance there. Hope my friends there are safe.

Reply
Jul 2, 2019 02:45:55   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
More Deep earthquakes, Japan, Fiji, Philippines, Argentina and another Volcano Blast to 26,000 feet. 7 Volcanoes extremely active, to active.


Japan
Preliminary ReportMagnitude4.3Date-Time2 Jul 2019 00:06:36 UTC2 Jul 2019 09:06:36 near epicenter1 Jul 2019 16:06:36 standard time in your timezoneLocation33.702N 137.222EDepth354 kmDistances93.5 km (58.0 mi) SSE of Toba, Japan99.1 km (61.5 mi) SSE of Ise, Japan102.9 km (63.8 mi) ESE of Owase, Japan107.1 km (66.4 mi) S of Tahara, Japan131.6 km (81.6 mi) SSE of Tsu, JapanLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 8.4 km; Vertical 6.4 kmParametersNph = 358; Dmin = 139.8 km; Rmss = 0.56 seconds; Gp = 30°
M-type = mb; Version =Event IDus 700048gr

Fiji

Preliminary ReportMagnitude4.3Date-Time2 Jul 2019 00:47:37 UTC2 Jul 2019 12:47:37 near epicenter1 Jul 2019 16:47:37 standard time in your timezoneLocation17.967S 178.344WDepth623 kmDistances247.9 km (153.7 mi) E of Levuka, Fiji297.0 km (184.1 mi) SE of Labasa, Fiji340.8 km (211.3 mi) E of Suva, Fiji425.0 km (263.5 mi) E of Ba, Fiji447.5 km (277.5 mi) E of Lautoka, FijiLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 15.8 km; Vertical 10.3 kmParametersNph = 32; Dmin = 382.3 km; Rmss = 0.67 seconds; Gp = 122°
M-type = mb; Version =Event IDus 700048h3

Another Fiji
Preliminary ReportMagnitude4.3Date-Time1 Jul 2019 14:47:52 UTC2 Jul 2019 02:47:52 near epicenter1 Jul 2019 06:47:52 standard time in your timezoneLocation20.723S 178.574WDepth572 kmDistances352.8 km (218.7 mi) W of Haveluloto, Tonga353.8 km (219.4 mi) W of Nuku�alofa, Tonga368.1 km (228.2 mi) SE of Levuka, Fiji424.0 km (262.9 mi) SE of Suva, Fiji522.2 km (323.8 mi) SSE of Labasa, FijiLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 13.9 km; Vertical 9.5 kmParametersNph = 49; Dmin = 483.7 km; Rmss = 0.57 seconds; Gp = 134°
M-type = mb; Version =Event IDus 7000481f

Phillipines
Preliminary ReportMagnitude5.9Date-Time1 Jul 2019 16:59:26 UTC2 Jul 2019 00:59:26 near epicenter1 Jul 2019 08:59:26 standard time in your timezoneLocation9.142N 124.207EDepth538 kmDistances50.7 km (31.4 mi) WSW of Yumbing, Philippines57.1 km (35.4 mi) WSW of Mambajao, Philippines58.1 km (36.0 mi) SSE of Loboc, Philippines59.3 km (36.7 mi) SSW of Jagna, Philippines134.5 km (83.4 mi) SSE of Cebu City, PhilippinesLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 9.0 km; Vertical 5.2 kmParametersNph = 119; Dmin = 274.2 km; Rmss = 1.11 seconds; Gp = 24°
M-type = mww; Version =Event IDus 7000483i


Preliminary ReportMagnitude4.5Date-Time1 Jul 2019 00:48:44 UTC30 Jun 2019 21:48:44 near epicenter30 Jun 2019 16:48:44 standard time in your timezoneLocation31.559S 68.125WDepth100 kmDistances18.1 km (11.2 mi) NE of Caucete, Argentina35.2 km (21.8 mi) E of Santa Luc�a, Argentina38.5 km (23.9 mi) ESE of San Mart�n, Argentina39.2 km (24.3 mi) E of San Juan, Argentina39.7 km (24.6 mi) ESE of Chimbas, ArgentinaLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 8.1 km; Vertical 3.0 kmParametersNph = 55; Dmin = 53.0 km; Rmss = 0.76 seconds; Gp = 49°
M-type = mb; Version =Event IDus 700047u7

Fiji

Preliminary ReportMagnitude4.2Date-Time30 Jun 2019 07:14:10 UTC30 Jun 2019 19:14:10 near epicenter29 Jun 2019 23:14:10 standard time in your timezoneLocation18.008S 178.592WDepth641 kmDistances221.5 km (137.4 mi) E of Levuka, Fiji278.6 km (172.7 mi) SE of Labasa, Fiji314.4 km (194.9 mi) E of Suva, Fiji399.4 km (247.6 mi) E of Ba, Fiji421.8 km (261.5 mi) E of Lautoka, FijiLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 15.7 km; Vertical 9.9 kmParametersNph = 41; Dmin = 356.5 km; Rmss = 0.81 seconds; Gp = 74°
M-type = mb; Version =Event IDus 700047lv

Alaska getting swarms of larger 3.9-4.1 as forecasted

Large swarms at Geysers /Cobb, Mammoth Mountain /Coso Junction as forecast.

Western Texas hit with several high threes and 4.1, 4.4 as Forecast

Western Montana and Southern Idaho as forecast.


Nevada getting hit as forecast

Washington, as forecast

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Jul 2, 2019 05:45:40   #
Fit2BTied Loc: Texas
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
More Deep earthquakes, Japan, Fiji, Philippines, Argentina and another Volcano Blast to 26,000 feet. 7 Volcanoes extremely active, to active.


Japan
Preliminary ReportMagnitude4.3Date-Time2 Jul 2019 00:06:36 UTC2 Jul 2019 09:06:36 near epicenter1 Jul 2019 16:06:36 standard time in your timezoneLocation33.702N 137.222EDepth354 kmDistances93.5 km (58.0 mi) SSE of Toba, Japan99.1 km (61.5 mi) SSE of Ise, Japan102.9 km (63.8 mi) ESE of Owase, Japan107.1 km (66.4 mi) S of Tahara, Japan131.6 km (81.6 mi) SSE of Tsu, JapanLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 8.4 km; Vertical 6.4 kmParametersNph = 358; Dmin = 139.8 km; Rmss = 0.56 seconds; Gp = 30°
M-type = mb; Version =Event IDus 700048gr

Fiji

Preliminary ReportMagnitude4.3Date-Time2 Jul 2019 00:47:37 UTC2 Jul 2019 12:47:37 near epicenter1 Jul 2019 16:47:37 standard time in your timezoneLocation17.967S 178.344WDepth623 kmDistances247.9 km (153.7 mi) E of Levuka, Fiji297.0 km (184.1 mi) SE of Labasa, Fiji340.8 km (211.3 mi) E of Suva, Fiji425.0 km (263.5 mi) E of Ba, Fiji447.5 km (277.5 mi) E of Lautoka, FijiLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 15.8 km; Vertical 10.3 kmParametersNph = 32; Dmin = 382.3 km; Rmss = 0.67 seconds; Gp = 122°
M-type = mb; Version =Event IDus 700048h3

Another Fiji
Preliminary ReportMagnitude4.3Date-Time1 Jul 2019 14:47:52 UTC2 Jul 2019 02:47:52 near epicenter1 Jul 2019 06:47:52 standard time in your timezoneLocation20.723S 178.574WDepth572 kmDistances352.8 km (218.7 mi) W of Haveluloto, Tonga353.8 km (219.4 mi) W of Nuku�alofa, Tonga368.1 km (228.2 mi) SE of Levuka, Fiji424.0 km (262.9 mi) SE of Suva, Fiji522.2 km (323.8 mi) SSE of Labasa, FijiLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 13.9 km; Vertical 9.5 kmParametersNph = 49; Dmin = 483.7 km; Rmss = 0.57 seconds; Gp = 134°
M-type = mb; Version =Event IDus 7000481f

Phillipines
Preliminary ReportMagnitude5.9Date-Time1 Jul 2019 16:59:26 UTC2 Jul 2019 00:59:26 near epicenter1 Jul 2019 08:59:26 standard time in your timezoneLocation9.142N 124.207EDepth538 kmDistances50.7 km (31.4 mi) WSW of Yumbing, Philippines57.1 km (35.4 mi) WSW of Mambajao, Philippines58.1 km (36.0 mi) SSE of Loboc, Philippines59.3 km (36.7 mi) SSW of Jagna, Philippines134.5 km (83.4 mi) SSE of Cebu City, PhilippinesLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 9.0 km; Vertical 5.2 kmParametersNph = 119; Dmin = 274.2 km; Rmss = 1.11 seconds; Gp = 24°
M-type = mww; Version =Event IDus 7000483i


Preliminary ReportMagnitude4.5Date-Time1 Jul 2019 00:48:44 UTC30 Jun 2019 21:48:44 near epicenter30 Jun 2019 16:48:44 standard time in your timezoneLocation31.559S 68.125WDepth100 kmDistances18.1 km (11.2 mi) NE of Caucete, Argentina35.2 km (21.8 mi) E of Santa Luc�a, Argentina38.5 km (23.9 mi) ESE of San Mart�n, Argentina39.2 km (24.3 mi) E of San Juan, Argentina39.7 km (24.6 mi) ESE of Chimbas, ArgentinaLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 8.1 km; Vertical 3.0 kmParametersNph = 55; Dmin = 53.0 km; Rmss = 0.76 seconds; Gp = 49°
M-type = mb; Version =Event IDus 700047u7

Fiji

Preliminary ReportMagnitude4.2Date-Time30 Jun 2019 07:14:10 UTC30 Jun 2019 19:14:10 near epicenter29 Jun 2019 23:14:10 standard time in your timezoneLocation18.008S 178.592WDepth641 kmDistances221.5 km (137.4 mi) E of Levuka, Fiji278.6 km (172.7 mi) SE of Labasa, Fiji314.4 km (194.9 mi) E of Suva, Fiji399.4 km (247.6 mi) E of Ba, Fiji421.8 km (261.5 mi) E of Lautoka, FijiLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 15.7 km; Vertical 9.9 kmParametersNph = 41; Dmin = 356.5 km; Rmss = 0.81 seconds; Gp = 74°
M-type = mb; Version =Event IDus 700047lv

Alaska getting swarms of larger 3.9-4.1 as forecasted

Large swarms at Geysers /Cobb, Mammoth Mountain /Coso Junction as forecast.

Western Texas hit with several high threes and 4.1, 4.4 as Forecast

Western Montana and Southern Idaho as forecast.


Nevada getting hit as forecast

Washington, as forecast
More Deep earthquakes, Japan, Fiji, Philippines, A... (show quote)
Thank you. It certainly looks like your observations are accurate.

Reply
Jul 2, 2019 08:28:05   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
grace scott wrote:
I live in Hampton, VA. Three years ago I left Louisvile, KY. Had earthquake insurance there. Hope my friends there are safe.


Kentucky like many of the states at the edge of the Craton shouldn't get overly concerned. The largest expected are in the 4.0-5.5.
It's possible for a point higher magnitude. By the time the earthquake energy travels through the plate it weakens down in energy.
A deep earthquake strong enough to push out 7 .0 on the plate boundary generally loses a magnitude by the time it reaches Alaska and another magnitude by the time it reaches the Juan D Fuca fault and into America.

Then we get hammered with multiple DEEP earthquakes over a two week time period and Volcanoes, record breaking volcanoes. These are the types of events when combined energy (Depending on many factors) larger 6.0 magnitude quakes.

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