ldsuttonjr Loc: ShangriLa

This is the first I have read from Tom Zawistowski and I like his numbers and his logic. We shall soon see!
WHY MAIL-IN V****G WILL NOT DECIDE OR DELAY THIS E******N
Published October 21, 2020 | By Tom Zawistowski
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Most of the people supporting Trump in this e******n are confident that he will get more v**es than he got in 2016 but are afraid that fraudulent mail-in v**es will illegally steal the e******n — or that we will have to wait weeks before we know the results because “so many states” are allowing b****ts to arrive long after the November 3, 2020 e******n day.
Based on a study of the v****g rules in each state, and the 2016 e*******l map, it appears that neither of those things are likely to happen.
First, as the map above shows, only 10 states mail b****ts to every v**er on their registration rolls. (Indicated by the word MAIL in Yellow) Now that is a horrible and stupid thing to do because the v**er rolls are totally outdated and those states will have no idea how many more b****ts “could come in” after e******n day or who sent those b****ts back. C***ting will be exponentially easier in those states because of those laws.
But does it matter?
Why not? Because of those 10 states, 8 of them are Blue States that Trump lost in 2016 and so it doesn’t matter if they c***t because he doesn’t need them to win the e*******l v**e. Of the two states T***p w*n in 2016 that mail b****ts to everyone, Utah and Arizona, he isn’t going to lose Utah and he is very likely to win Arizona again.
This map quartet below shows 14 more states, including Ohio, mail absentee b****t request forms, not b****ts, to every “registered v**er” in their state:
mail-in-b****t-count-per-state1
That is not the same as mailing b****ts to everyone. The reason is that the v**er then has to send in a request for an absentee b****t to be sent to them and their v***r r**********n is checked before doing so. Plus, and this is important, the Board of E******n then knows how many b****ts are still out there and have not been v**ed the day after the e******n.
So you can’t just easily manufacture b****ts after the e******n, like the states that mail out actual b****ts to everyone, because they had to be requested and had to be postmarked by e******n day.
Now, as the map above indicates, because of C***d, 45 of the states are allowing people to v**e absentee, but 35 of them require the v**er to request a b****t. Again, the BOE will know who has b****ts, which ones were received before the e******n, and how many are outstanding. So, unless the number of outstanding absentee b****ts is greater than the margin of victory for Trump, they will not matter.
As this map shows, the margin of victory for Trump was very small in six states – Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida and New Mexico. However, the margin of loss for Trump was also narrow in four states – Minnesota, New Hampshire, Maine, and Colorado.
2016bystate_600
Trump is leading in Minnesota and New Hampshire and is expect to win those 14 E*******l v**es. Giving him 320 if he were to hold on to all the other states he won close in 2016.
He could lose both Pennsylvania and Michigan and still win the e*******l college handily with 284 e*******l v**es. Then he could lose Wisconsin’s 10 v**es and still have 274. He could lose Florida, which he will not because of the Hispanic v**e, but if he did lose Florida’s 29 v**es, and won Michigan but lost Pennsylvania, he would still have 271 E*******l V**es and would win.
This is why I believe Trump losing is highly unlikely, that is much more that Trump will win big. For it is likely that he will keep all of his 2016 states and win Minnesota and New Hampshire — and has a good chance to pick up Nevada, Colorado and Virginia. That would give him 348 e*******l v**es and wins in 35 of the 50 states and win the popular v**e.
Why could that happen, why is that more likely, when the “polls” are saying the Biden is winning by 15%? Here is why:

In 2016 only 77% of Republicans backed Trump – this year it is 96%. That’s 10,000,000 v**es.
In 2016 only 81% of Evangelical Christians v**ed for Trump this year it is projected to be 90%.
In 2016 Trump got just 28% of the Hispanic v**e, this year the “polls” are predicting he will get a record 36.5%. That’s 4.4 Million more Trump V**es and a swing of 8.8 Million v**es if those v**ers v**ed for Clinton in 2016.
In 2016 Trump got just 45% of the Catholic v**e, but this year he is projected to win 53%, in part because of support by Hispanic Catholics. That’s 6.2 Million v**es and a swing of 12.4 Million v**es if those v**ers v**ed for Clinton in 2016.
In 2016 Trump got just 24% of the Jewish v**e but this year they are predicting he will get 28% or more.
Finally, and very importantly, In 2016 Trump go just 8% of the B***k A******n v**e but this year “polls” are predicting at least 15% and perhaps as much as 20% of the black v**e. That’s 3.4 Million more v**es for Trump and is really a 6.8 million v**e swing if those black v**ers v**ed for Clinton in 2016.

Any one of those things keeps the Democrats from winning. All of those things make this e******n a Trump landslide.
The Democrats lost in 2016, so which demographic are they projected to gain v**es in? Union workers – no chance. Gays – insignificant as a v****g block. People under 25 – polling already shows they are not even going to turn out, and if they do many will v**e Libertarian or Green Party, not Dem. Suburban women — not when A****a wants to burn down their suburb and defund the police.
So what is Joe Biden’s base? Nothing. He has no base. That is why nobody shows up when he appears in public. The lie that Joe Biden is winning by 15% is nothing but propaganda intended to suppress the Trump v**e.
I’ll tell you what is going to suppress Biden’s base even more, appointing Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court a week before the e******n and securing a 6-3 (okay, 5-4) conservative majority for the next 20 years.
That is going to suppress all the a******n femin**is who will finally understand that they have lost the fight for Roe v Wade and that the loser Democrat/Socialists – particularly Obama and Biden – let them down. No need to v**e this e******n for that block because they will have lost before the e******n!
Finally, there’s concern about what an extended delay of the e******n results could mean for Trump.
First, there are dynamics at work that are really making it unlikely that tons of b****ts are going to arrive after e******n day. Due to all the news stories about postal workers destroying b****ts, mail-in b****ts being rejected for various technical reasons, and other stories about e******n c***ting with mail-in b****ts v**ers are worried that their absentee b****t will not be counted.
So most everyone v****g absentee is mailing back their b****t immediately after getting them. This is combined with another phenomena — huge numbers of v**ers are v****g in-person before e******n day. That combined with what is happening with early absentee v****g is making it likely that 70% – 80% of v**es will have been cast before e******n day. All of those v**es will be counted and announced right after polls close on e******n day in most every state.
In Ohio, for example, one top e******n official told me that we will know who has won the state early after polls close because 98% of the b****ts will have been cast.
Then, take another look at this map:
mail-in-b****t-map1
I have indicated in yellow the states that are going to allow v**es to be counted after November 3rd and by how many days. Only 15 states are counting b****ts after e******n day (Michigan’s court just struck down their rule). Nine are red states that T***p w*n, and only one — Pennsylvania — is close enough for v**es counted after the e******n to make a difference.
So, Pennsylvania is the likely troublemaker in delaying an outcome (thanks to John Roberts) — but only for three days, not weeks. Except that we saw earlier that Trump may not need Pennsylvania because he is well-positioned to win Minnesota and New Hampshire.
Despite what the media will tell you, this e******n is straightforward. If Trump v**ers turn out in the numbers they’re projected to, no amount of l*****t shenanigans can undo the people’s will.
They know it, too. Watch any left-leaning morning show and look how angry everyone is at NBC, CBS, and CNN, to name a few. If Biden were actually winning by 15%, they would be cheerful – but they’re not.
They know he’s done for. We just need to do our job, turn out, and v**e Republican down-b****t because we know that any Republican is better than a c*******t Democrat-Socialist.
Tom Zawistowski is the president of the We the People Convention.

Weasel Loc: In the Great State Of Indiana!!

Excellent Read
Hallelujah Trump in 10 days and beyond

Auntie Dee

SOUNDS GOOD TO ME...well thought out presentation!!

bggamers Loc: georgia

I think at this point Biden is hiding in his basement from Home land security and the FBI. He will serve but not as president he and his son will be in the deep of prision life.

Strycker Loc: The middle of somewhere else.

Two concerns.

1st. People that, because the ease of registration and mail in v****g, will v**e for the first time in their lives. Two in my immediate family. One a 69 year old women and the other a 30 old that were always too uninvolved or lacked motivation to get out to v**e, but, will this year due to the ease of doing so. Both v****g Democrat. What percentage of the new previously lazy uninvolved v**er demographic is now v****g democrat?

2nd. A friend went to v**e and discovered that her v**e had already been cast by mail in. She had the mail in v**e cancelled and v**ed in person. Some people whose b****ts were stolen and cast will never be discovered because they won't to go v**e. How many stolen b****ts will be cast and never discovered? I'm in a toss-up state where requests for a b****t was universal in order to get an actual b****t.

Actually a third concern comes to mind. People who sell, give away or are coerced out of their v**e.

Kickaha Loc: Nebraska

It's beginning to look like Biden will be living in government housing, the Big House not the White House.

bggamers Loc: georgia

Scary if he is elected and then put in prision Harris will become president

Kickaha Loc: Nebraska

Then we fight the next battle, as Kamala Harris may not be eligible to serve as President or Vice-president. All we can do is fight the battles as we come to them and pray that right will prevail.

bggamers Loc: georgia

YEA before they can do much damage and if they kick her out Pelosi steps in

Kickaha Loc: Nebraska

Not if she is either defeated in the e******n, the Republicans take the House, or she is not reelected Speaker. She is not guaranteed to be Speaker in the next Congress. She had opposition in the last session of Congress and the way she has handled things the last two years, she may have even more serious competition for the Speakership even if the Democrats hold the House.