jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

The largest Blast 63,000 foot report and another report 68,000 foot Blast of
Ulawun volcano

This is HUGH

I have been posting earthquake forecast over the several weeks with over 80% accuracy and this blast along with multiple DEEP Earthquakes I have been reporting IS going to send high earthquake energy around the Globe.

If you live in any state bordering the edge of the Craton then your at high risk over the during the next 5 days.

If your not following my updates and live in one of these states, then question the reality you live in.

This does not mean that you will be hit with a large magnitude earthquake but until I'm done studying and give a forecast later tonight, it's is possible your sitting on a time bomb.

There is huge Unrest in plates around the world and energy is building in the Juan D Fuca fault that then releases energy into the states.

Bigger events coming
. Stay tuned for my update which I'll also include forecast in countries around the world since many OPP forum members live outside of the United States.

This is serious

Your friend and Earthquake Forecaster

vernon

where is this volcano ?

Fit2BTied Loc: Texas

You're the expert here, and I'm trying to get educated. You're saying the Ulawun volcano eruption is a warning sign (ring of fire) and you've got data that the Juan D Fuca fault is ready to release energy, and somehow, this will domino into something around the Craton fault. I'm sure I'm not saying that intelligently, and I profess no expertise, but I'm having trouble wrapping my mind around how something happening north of Australia poses some threat of danger to the DFW metroplex. But then you may have generalized regarding the Craton (which is HUGE) when you meant more toward the western states where energy from the ROF could easily affect that part of the Craton? I'm trying to comprehend.

jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

Papa New Guinea (PNG) Indonesia

jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

I understand, it's super easy.. Once the general concepts are understood.

I explain and give links of the last few weeks of my posts. 20 or so minutes of reading and I refuse to use terminology just to make me look smart... My disdain for the USGS.

I'm understanding you looked up the "Craton" which is the term usgs uses to describe the thicker more stable portion of the plate.

Indonesia is the birth of earthquakes "Deep" Earthquakes.
There are two types of deep earthquakes. 100-175ish miles deep is an earthquake deep in the earth's crust

Then 225ish-600 miles deep is energy that hammers up underneath the earth's crust.

The energy from deep earthquake energy causes shallow earthquakes and depending on the depth will cause larger magnitude anywhere from 1-2 tenths up to 1.5-2.0 higher magnitude earthquakes.

Think of how a river flows, it takes the path of least resistance.
Earthquakes follow "consistently" specific paths /directions and like a river can split.

If you look at a globe (I'll keep this united states bound) on Google Earth you can see the plate boundaries. Energy flows around the plate boundaries up towards Alaska first the Alution Islands, then mainland Alaska dropping equally spaced earthquakes(with a few exceptions, such as when it splits). Then from Alaska like a river the energy travels down to the Juan D Fuca fault. If you look at the Juan D Fuca fault on Google Earth standing in the ocean looking towards the Oregon coast, it looks like an M shape with three distinct arrow head shapes pointing towards land.
The first arrow head is directed towards the edge of the Olympic Pennisula /Portland Oregon, The Second points towards Medford Oregon, the third towards Redding California. Energy is released toward these points. Evidence would be looking at PNG or Pacific Northwest Seismic Network "Tremor Map". You will see (some days thousands, others hundreds) small red dots, each dot represents a tremor. At the point of each arrow are the greatest amounts of dots that on the map look like clusters were hundreds of tremors are grouped in a small area. Tremors are not earthquakes but evidence of pressure moving that portion (the length of the Juan D Fuca fault) plate, causing vibrations.

Earthquakes that hit in Alaska, the energy comes down to the Juan D Fuca fault, 2 days later, 5 days, 6 days earthquakes begin striking in Washington, Montana, Idaho as the energy moves across the plate


What we do not understand is why it takes 2 days or 7 days for the energy to release from the Juan D Fuca fault or for that matter from the origins of the deep earthquake up to ten days to reach the states. If or when this is understood, forecasting earthquakes would jump from 80+% to 95 or maybe even 100 % accuracy.

Observations of this pattern happening from origin (Indonesia) around the plate boundaries in specific directions dropping earthquakes at specific areas happens the exact same way 98% of the time. The other 2% a large 7. 0 plus earthquakes energy is so powerful it can drive energy against the flow or direction for short distances. An example is the recent 8.0 earthquake in Chili. Earthquake energy flows south and or east across the plate. This 8.0 earthquake was so powerful that some of the energy went North combining energy coming down southbound through California that caused the 5.9 earthquake 50 miles off the coast of San Diego 10 days later.

So if you put an X on a world map Everytime a deep earthquake hammers up onto the earth's crust after a year you would observe 150 X's on the same 4 or 5 points.... Hmmm deep under the crust earthquakes always happen around the world at the same same 9 places.


Then if you drew arrows like the dashes of white lines on a highway every time a shallow earthquake hit after a deep earthquake, then an hour later the next one, 25 min the next 40 min ect, ect you would have a line of arrows going the same directions, every time a deep below the earth's crust earthquake struck and after a year would have arrows on top of arrows.

The same observations can be applied to earthquakes always striking at oil and gas drill locations where hundreds, thousands or hundreds of thousands of drill pads are located.

Now as for energy building on the Juan D Fuca fault.
Geysers california next to the Clear lake Volcano and where man has drilled next to the Volcano for Geo Thermo power. Earthquakes always strike of any place all around the Volcano, the exact area or side that man has drilled.
Every time there are low counts of earthquakes at Geysers, there are few or nearly no earthquakes going Southh to South down California and Everytime the Earthquake count is high, earthquakes are striking north to South into California. But we don't know why it stalls for a day or days on the Juan D Fuca fault. Observation shows a100% exact same oath/Flow and Geysers is always a barometer of what's happening on the Juan D Fuca fault.

This is in part of forecasting but does not explain forecasting. I'm wanting to help you understand that earthquakes follow patterns and are not random even when the USGS says in spite of evidence that can be reproduced with the exact same results, month after month, year after year, they insist earthquakes are random.

Questions?



http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-158442-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159082-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159306-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159702-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159966-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-160104-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-160207-1.html#2884134

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-160172-1.html

jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

I apologize, I just read my answer to you and it was written (my excuse) after driving from Northern Idaho to Seattle, appointments and return drive. My tired mind could not write what my brain wanted to say.
I'll do this again after some sleep.
Let's hope something so simple can be converted into words, lol

Jack

jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

The Ulawun volcano eruption a few days ago is putting amazing energy around the globe.
Those following my post have heard me discuss "Antipodes" which in simple terms means opposite and in the case of large earthquakes I'm forecasting a large event between Costa Rica and Panama. Energy will release by a large volcanic eruption but more likely a larger earthquake of the magnitude 7.6-8.2.
Another area I'm expecting 6.7-7.4+/- is along the western plate boundary along south America and 3 volcanic eruptions.

The states
Were going to see high 5 low 6 magnitude off the Northern California coast
Northern California will have multiple 2,3,4 and expect mid 5 within 40 miles of Clearlake Volcanoe. Expect large swarms at Geysers with upper and 5-mid 5
California /Nevada border Mammoth Mountain and coso Junction expect swarms 1,2, 3 and mid 3 magnitude with mid 4:s striking, I'm watching for possible low to mid 5

There are two distinct lines that earthquake energy follows in California, one from coast to 200 miles inland and one near Nevada border.. Both lines will drop multiple 2 and mid 2, with multiple 3 and mid 3, with a few 4.5 and expect from Bakersfield to San Diego high 4 to mid 5 earthquakes in areas on oil and gas drilling. The San Jacinto fault is where earthquake energy ends in California expect 4 and mid 5 among several 2,3's. Along the slow slip portion of the San Andreas there will be several 2 and 3's with several high 3's and expect low to mid 4.
Western Texas will have several 3s with one to 3 in the mid5-high 5 in area's of oil and gas drilling. Same for Colorado and Oklahoma with strong chance of high 5 to low 6. Southern Idaho and Western Montana several 3's, mid4 and low 5.
Expected swarms at Yellowstone with 4 and possibly mid 5 mixed in. Not meaning risk of eruption.
Washington state will have earthquakes at Mt St Helen's 2,3's with possible low to mid 4, the Olympic Pennisula will have several 3, greater Seattle area 3's and looking for 4 to mid 4

Tennessee, Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania and including Maine and New York in this forecast 3,4 and even 5's

This is the highest level of deep earthquakes hitting non stop everyday over the last week. I would estimate that 90%of the plates around the world are under stress.
Expect volcanic activity along the Alution Islands with swarms hitting Alaska and 5 mid 5, and expecting even mid 6 and low 7 magnitude.

This forecast is covering the next 8 days, but expect continued heavier than normal earthquake activity in the states over the next 10 - 14 days.

Japan will have several 6 - 7 and possibly 8 magnitude earthquakes.
Look to Venezuela and cities east side of South America to have larger 6.5-7.5 earthquakes along with the islands east of South America.

My typical forecast calls for the high of 4 0 earthquakes but with this huge push of energy 5 and 6's will hit in states along the Craton.

There will be loss of life especially in South America and Indonesia area with a 7.6-8.1. Injuries in the United States.
I'm also expecting hot spots to develop in California that will follow with fires.

Be safe, be prepared

jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

Again I apologize for poor writing sk**ls. Travel fatigue...

Below I corrected the response.

I understand, it's super easy.. Once the general concepts are understood you too can forecast earthquakes. Let's explain the elements that address your questions.

I explain and will give links of the last few weeks of my posts her on OPP. it will only take 20/30 minutes of reading through the previous post to help understand the nature of earthquakes including a few "How to Forecast earthquakes" I refuse to use terminology just to make me look smart... My disdain for the USGS which helps in understanding the basics of earthquakes.

I'm understanding you looked up the "Craton"? Craton, is the term USGS uses to describe the thicker more stable portion of the plate and the outer edge is the thinner, weaker more unstable portion of the plate.

Indonesia is the birth place of earthquakes "Deep" Earthquakes.
There are two types of deep earthquakes. 100-175ish miles deep is an earthquake deep in the earth's crust

Then 225ish-600 miles deep is energy that hammers up underneath the earth's crust. Deep earthquakes below the earth's crust.

The energy from deep earthquakes causes shallow and larger magnitude earthquakes and depending on the depth will cause larger magnitudes anywhere from 1-2 tenths and up to 1.5-2.0 higher magnitude earthquakes.

Think of how a river flows, it takes the path of least resistance. 
Earthquakes follow "consistently" specific paths /directions and like a river can split, flowing around plate boundaries. Earthquake energy also flows through plates, and where there are weak points in the plste/earth's crust... Earthquakes strike.

If you look at a globe of the earth, on Google Earth you can see the plate boundaries. Energy flows around the plate boundaries from Indonesia, up towards Alaska, first the Alution Islands, then mainland Alaska dropping equally spaced earthquakes. Then from Alaska like a river the energy travels down to the Juan D Fuca fault. If you look at the Juan D Fuca fault on Google Earth standing in the ocean looking towards the Oregon coast, it looks like an M shape with three distinct arrow head shapes pointing towards land.
The first arrow head is directed towards the edge of the Olympic Pennisula /Portland Oregon, The Second points towards Medford Oregon, the third towards Redding California. Energy is released toward these points. Evidence would be looking at PNG or Pacific Northwest Seismic Network "Tremor Map". You will see (some days thousands, others days hundreds reported by sensors ) small red dots on the map each represent a tremor . At the point of each arrow you will see the greatest amounts of dots gathered together that on the map look like clusters where hundreds of tremors are grouped in a small area. Tremors are not earthquakes but evidence of pressure moving that portion (the length of the Juan D Fuca fault)of the plate, causing vibrations.

Earthquakes that hit in Alaska, the energy then (flows) comes down to the Juan D Fuca fault, 2 days later, 5 days, 6 days earthquakes begin striking in Washington, Montana, Idaho as the energy moves across the plate.


Now here is what we do not yet understand, why it takes 2, 3, 4 days or 7 days, even 10 days for the energy to release from the Juan D Fuca fault or for that matter from the origins of the deep earthquake up to ten days to reach the states. If or when this is understood, forecasting earthquakes would jump from 80+% to 95 or maybe even 100 % accuracy.

Observations of this pattern happening from origin or what I sometimes refer to as the birth place of earthquakes (Indonesia) I observed earthquakes hitting in sequence one after another around the plate boundaries in specific directions, dropping earthquakes at specific areas happens the exact same way 98% of the time. The other 2% a large 7. 0 plus earthquakes energy is so powerful it can drive energy against the flow or direction for short distances and like a river split, having two directions the earthquake energy flows . An example is the recent 8.0 earthquake in Peru . Earthquake energy flows south and or east across the plate of South America west side, North to South . This 8.0 earthquake was so powerful that some of the energy went south to North against the normal flow combining energy coming down southbound through California that caused the 5.9 earthquake, 50 miles off the coast of San Diego 10 days later.

How I observed earthquake behaviors, here is an example. So if you put an X on a world map everytime a deep earthquake hammered up under the earth's crust (reported by the USGS or EMSC) after a year you would observe hundreds of X's at the same 4 or 5 points on the map of the world .... Hmmm deep under the crust earthquakes always happen around the world, at the same same 9 places.

Science taught at our university's conflict with common sense observations.


Then if you drew arrows like the dashes of white lines on a highway on the map every time shallow earthquakes hit, after a deep earthquake, then later the next earthquake , followed by the next earthquake ect, ect you would have a line of arrows going the same directions,plotting the direction earthquakes flow, every time after a deep below the earth's crust earthquake strikes and after a year would have arrows on top of arrows following the plate boundaries and accross the plates. In the States arrows flow around the edges of the Craton, arrows going from Montana down and around to Colorado, Oklahoma ect, exactly where you see the edge of the Craton on a map. Your arrows start on the Northwest side going south and then east to Northeast.

The same observations can be applied to earthquakes always striking at oil and gas drill locations where hundreds, thousands or hundreds of thousands of drill pads are located, earthquakes striking at these same locations.

Now as for energy building on the Juan D Fuca fault. 
Geysers california next to the Clear lake Volcano and where man has drilled next to the Volcano for Geo Thermo power. Earthquakes always strike around the Volcano, the exact same area and side of the volcano where man has drilled for Geo Thermo Energy.

Geysers is a barometer of energy storing or releasing on the Juan D Fuca fault. Every time there are low counts of earthquakes at Geysers energy is building so observations shows there are few or nearly no earthquakes going Southh to South down California and Everytime the Earthquake count is high at Geysers, earthquakes are striking north to South down California. But we don't know why it stalls for a day or days on the Juan D Fuca fault. Observation shows that 100% of the time exact same path/Flow of earthquakes. Observations prove Geysers is a barometer of what's happening on the Juan D Fuca fault.

Science taught at our University's is in direct conflict with observations made over time.

This is in part, knowing the direction and path/flow of earthquakes a tool in forecasting but does not explain forecasting earthquakes . I'm wanting to help you understand that earthquakes follow patterns and are not random even when the USGS says that they are random in spite of evidence from observations that can be reproduced with the exact same results, month after month, year after year, they insist earthquakes are random. Earthquakes are not random but strike in lines, in specific directions and in the same areas.

Now another observation.... Think of waves in the ocean. When a deep earthquake strikes, the shallow earthquakes that follow, they strike in equal spaced points and between points. The waves on the ocean are equally spaced exactly as shallow earthquakes flowing away from a deep earthquake, they to can be observed being equally spaced.

Questions?


Here are links from my previous post that help explain earthquake and forecasting.

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-158442-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159082-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159306-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159702-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-159966-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-160104-1.html

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-160207-1.html#2884134

http://www.onepoliticalplaza.com/t-160172-1.html

jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

More deep earthquakes confirms and another major volcanic eruption. Just 2 days after the large eruption of Ulawun, another large explosive eruption occurred in Papua New Guinea today, this time from Manam volcano located on a small island north of the main land. 
Earlier today, the more or less permanently active volcano had another of its not usual, short-lived, but very intense paroxysmal episode with lava fountaining occurred today, starting around 13:00 local time. An ash plume that rose to 50,000 ft (15 km) altitude.

I may be a few days early in my forecast but I'm sticking to what I said.

Light swarm of several 7 magnitude, at the very least in the Indonesia area that will move energy in two directions. North towards Alaska, around and down to the lower states via the Juan D Fuca fault. The other direction through China /Russia border, Iran, Afghanistan then into Europe

Europe is in for some higher 5's magnitude earthquakes.

jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho

Geysers /Cobb is firing up with 18 earthquakes in the last 13 hours

Mammoth mountain and Coso Junction also.

Another location South having high swarms is Glen Avon

Energy is releasing into the States