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Earthquake Update United States
Jun 18, 2019 15:06:17   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Can Earthquakes be forecast with accuracy? The USGS and our Halls of higher learning say with a forceful, NO!

This is false and I'll prove it.

Are earthquakes random? The USGS says with an forceful, YES!

This is false and I'll prove it.

Do earthquakes follow specific paths, like a River flows? The USGS says with a forceful, NO!

This is false and I'll prove it.

Do earthquakes follow the edge of the Craton? The USGS says with a forceful, NO!

This is false and I'll prove it.

When I forecast earthquakes to strike with a magnitude and location, I put what I call "A watch". This watch runs for tens days but in many cases I will reduce it to hours or just a few days. Why a ten day watch? What those of us researching earthquakes are trying to understand and have yet to crack, what causes energy to stall or slow down. We observe that the energy maintains its strength over long distances but have yet to understand why it takes more time to travel. The recent 8.0 earthquake in Chili caused other multiple earthquakes and with an accuracy of over 90% made forecast of where and how big earthquakes would be coming from the original energy of the 8.0 and in the case of forecasting Texas and Venezuela, Texas was on the tenth day while Venezuela the third day. If the "Why energy keeps its strength but stalls gets answered I would be able to forecast earthquakes with +/- a 95% accuracy.

This now brings me to current events.

There have been multiple Deep earthquakes in Indonesia, Russia, Fiji and South America. These deep earthquakes are where forecasting begins.. Over the next 24-48 hours I will be watching how the combined energy along with volcanic eruptions will be sending energy to the States.

Specific areas I will forecast is Washington, Oregon, California, Montana, Southern Idaho , Nevada, Utah, Texas, Colorado, Oklahoma, Ohio, Iowa, Tennessee and may add 1-2 more states.

I'm anticipating higher than normal emery from these events after the energy goes to Alaska and down the Juan D Fuca fault zone into the States.

I will repost as a "Forecast"
Until then if anyone has any questions?

Reply
Jun 18, 2019 16:04:06   #
BigMike Loc: yerington nv
 
The Real Big One is on the way. It would be nice to understand all we can about world seismic behavior.

Reply
Jun 18, 2019 16:05:29   #
BigMike Loc: yerington nv
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
Can Earthquakes be forecast with accuracy? The USGS and our Halls of higher learning say with a forceful, NO!

This is false and I'll prove it.

Are earthquakes random? The USGS says with an forceful, YES!

This is false and I'll prove it.

Do earthquakes follow specific paths, like a River flows? The USGS says with a forceful, NO!

This is false and I'll prove it.

Do earthquakes follow the edge of the Craton? The USGS says with a forceful, NO!

This is false and I'll prove it.

When I forecast earthquakes to strike with a magnitude and location, I put what I call "A watch". This watch runs for tens days but in many cases I will reduce it to hours or just a few days. Why a ten day watch? What those of us researching earthquakes are trying to understand and have yet to crack, what causes energy to stall or slow down. We observe that the energy maintains its strength over long distances but have yet to understand why it takes more time to travel. The recent 8.0 earthquake in Chili caused other multiple earthquakes and with an accuracy of over 90% made forecast of where and how big earthquakes would be coming from the original energy of the 8.0 and in the case of forecasting Texas and Venezuela, Texas was on the tenth day while Venezuela the third day. If the "Why energy keeps its strength but stalls gets answered I would be able to forecast earthquakes with +/- a 95% accuracy.

This now brings me to current events.

There have been multiple Deep earthquakes in Indonesia, Russia, Fiji and South America. These deep earthquakes are where forecasting begins.. Over the next 24-48 hours I will be watching how the combined energy along with volcanic eruptions will be sending energy to the States.

Specific areas I will forecast is Washington, Oregon, California, Montana, Southern Idaho , Nevada, Utah, Texas, Colorado, Oklahoma, Ohio, Iowa, Tennessee and may add 1-2 more states.

I'm anticipating higher than normal emery from these events after the energy goes to Alaska and down the Juan D Fuca fault zone into the States.

I will repost as a "Forecast"
Until then if anyone has any questions?
Can Earthquakes be forecast with accuracy? The USG... (show quote)


New Madrid?

Reply
 
 
Jun 18, 2019 19:11:07   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
BigMike wrote:
New Madrid?



There is no pressure building on the Madrid fault zone. As long pressure is released through the states that the fault line runs through Alabama, Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana,Kentucky, Mississippi, Missouri and Tennessee.
Faults that run through the middle of continents sometimes fade out or only have earthquakes every 10,000 years, with the last being in the early 1800's.
There are multiple fear mongers with PHD initials attached to their names that are i***ts to how earthquakes actually occur. They are stuck in false teachings our universities are still vomiting out and spout out false information as if they are experts in hopes of getting a name for themselves.
YouTube is full of OMG"The united states is going to split in half".
There is only one possible event that can rock the New Madrid fault and it is found in Scripture.

With that said, my concern is the Cascadia subduction with a high probability of erasing (scrubbing) everything west of Interstate I-5 (puget sound from the straights of Juan DE Fuca to Seattle /Tacoma /Hoods canal) Oregon to Northern California.
Also of concern is the over 2000 % increase in volcanic activities /explosions in just the last two and a half decades. Explosions that reach 40,000 and 50,000 feet are now common and an active ingredient in earthquakes. There are hot spots that show up on satellites in just the last two years "The Paradise fires", methane releases off the Oregon coast, the clear lake volcano and near the border of California and Mexico. Dormant volcanoes in America are being reclassified as active. There is nothing currently to suggest a major explosion. The swarms that we hear about at Yellowstone are a result of uplift in the magma chamber but absolutely nothing to suggest an explosion. If we begin to see larger swarms at double and triple the magnitude then I would begin to be concerned such as we having been seeing in Hawaii as magma is refilling the last year's collapsed chamber from last year's lava flows emptying the chamber, lowering or collapsing the dome and chamber 3000 feet that can be seen on Google Earth.
There is a direct connection in earthquakes and Volcanoes.
I only report volcanoes that effect the states and mostly its antipode effect that can drive a larger earthquake watch.
There will be volcanic activities in the states in areas other than the larger better know volcanoes.

Being able to forecast earthquakes is actually very simple once the basics are understood, it's a quick learn. I will not use technical terms because they complicate what is a very simple process to learn.
Ask questions and after a dozen or so post of forecast /updates one will understand a majority of how earthquakes work and can begin to do forecast, another dozen post should have an accuracy of 70+% asking different questions.

Anyone reading these updates /forecast ask questions if your interested in knowing where, when and how large an earthquake Wil hit, how a volcano on the opposite side of the world could result in a large earthquake in the states.

Helping to prepare for the inevitable,

Jack

Reply
Jun 19, 2019 10:28:25   #
EN Submarine Qualified Loc: Wisconsin East coast
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
There is no pressure building on the Madrid fault zone. As long pressure is released through the states that the fault line runs through Alabama, Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana,Kentucky, Mississippi, Missouri and Tennessee.
Faults that run through the middle of continents sometimes fade out or only have earthquakes every 10,000 years, with the last being in the early 1800's.
There are multiple fear mongers with PHD initials attached to their names that are i***ts to how earthquakes actually occur. They are stuck in false teachings our universities are still vomiting out and spout out false information as if they are experts in hopes of getting a name for themselves.
YouTube is full of OMG"The united states is going to split in half".
There is only one possible event that can rock the New Madrid fault and it is found in Scripture.

With that said, my concern is the Cascadia subduction with a high probability of erasing (scrubbing) everything west of Interstate I-5 (puget sound from the straights of Juan DE Fuca to Seattle /Tacoma /Hoods canal) Oregon to Northern California.
Also of concern is the over 2000 % increase in volcanic activities /explosions in just the last two and a half decades. Explosions that reach 40,000 and 50,000 feet are now common and an active ingredient in earthquakes. There are hot spots that show up on satellites in just the last two years "The Paradise fires", methane releases off the Oregon coast, the clear lake volcano and near the border of California and Mexico. Dormant volcanoes in America are being reclassified as active. There is nothing currently to suggest a major explosion. The swarms that we hear about at Yellowstone are a result of uplift in the magma chamber but absolutely nothing to suggest an explosion. If we begin to see larger swarms at double and triple the magnitude then I would begin to be concerned such as we having been seeing in Hawaii as magma is refilling the last year's collapsed chamber from last year's lava flows emptying the chamber, lowering or collapsing the dome and chamber 3000 feet that can be seen on Google Earth.
There is a direct connection in earthquakes and Volcanoes.
I only report volcanoes that effect the states and mostly its antipode effect that can drive a larger earthquake watch.
There will be volcanic activities in the states in areas other than the larger better know volcanoes.

Being able to forecast earthquakes is actually very simple once the basics are understood, it's a quick learn. I will not use technical terms because they complicate what is a very simple process to learn.
Ask questions and after a dozen or so post of forecast /updates one will understand a majority of how earthquakes work and can begin to do forecast, another dozen post should have an accuracy of 70+% asking different questions.

Anyone reading these updates /forecast ask questions if your interested in knowing where, when and how large an earthquake Wil hit, how a volcano on the opposite side of the world could result in a large earthquake in the states.

Helping to prepare for the inevitable,

Interesting read as always.


Jack
There is no pressure building on the Madrid fault ... (show quote)

Reply
Jun 19, 2019 16:21:01   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
BigMike wrote:
The Real Big One is on the way. It would be nice to understand all we can about world seismic behavior.



I had a previous watch on Texas and just as it was expiring a 4.0 came in.

It was farther east along the edge of the Craton and normally I see earthquakes in Western Texas, always where there are thousands of drill points /pads.
Looking on Google Earth wondering why an earthquake hit so far east in an area unfamiliar, it became obvious.

There is a volcanic field, dormant super volcano and next to a laccolith.

I attribute it being farther east with the extra push of energy from the 8.0 in chili.

Keeping in mind that 90% of earthquakes in the states are at volcanic areas, places man has drilled and on the edge of the Craton.

Still watching the activity from the deep earthquakes that originated in the greater Indonesia area and on a separate forecast are producing earthquakes at equally distance spacing. Japan isn't done yet, png, and keeping an eye how the combined energy will enter Alaska to be able to have an accurate forecast for the states.

I'll get into how to forecast other places around the globe in the weeks to come for now use this forum to focus on the states.

Reply
Jun 19, 2019 17:49:46   #
Fit2BTied Loc: Texas
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
There is no pressure building on the Madrid fault zone. As long pressure is released through the states that the fault line runs through Alabama, Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana,Kentucky, Mississippi, Missouri and Tennessee.
Faults that run through the middle of continents sometimes fade out or only have earthquakes every 10,000 years, with the last being in the early 1800's.
There are multiple fear mongers with PHD initials attached to their names that are i***ts to how earthquakes actually occur. They are stuck in false teachings our universities are still vomiting out and spout out false information as if they are experts in hopes of getting a name for themselves.
YouTube is full of OMG"The united states is going to split in half".
There is only one possible event that can rock the New Madrid fault and it is found in Scripture.

With that said, my concern is the Cascadia subduction with a high probability of erasing (scrubbing) everything west of Interstate I-5 (puget sound from the straights of Juan DE Fuca to Seattle /Tacoma /Hoods canal) Oregon to Northern California.
Also of concern is the over 2000 % increase in volcanic activities /explosions in just the last two and a half decades. Explosions that reach 40,000 and 50,000 feet are now common and an active ingredient in earthquakes. There are hot spots that show up on satellites in just the last two years "The Paradise fires", methane releases off the Oregon coast, the clear lake volcano and near the border of California and Mexico. Dormant volcanoes in America are being reclassified as active. There is nothing currently to suggest a major explosion. The swarms that we hear about at Yellowstone are a result of uplift in the magma chamber but absolutely nothing to suggest an explosion. If we begin to see larger swarms at double and triple the magnitude then I would begin to be concerned such as we having been seeing in Hawaii as magma is refilling the last year's collapsed chamber from last year's lava flows emptying the chamber, lowering or collapsing the dome and chamber 3000 feet that can be seen on Google Earth.
There is a direct connection in earthquakes and Volcanoes.
I only report volcanoes that effect the states and mostly its antipode effect that can drive a larger earthquake watch.
There will be volcanic activities in the states in areas other than the larger better know volcanoes.

Being able to forecast earthquakes is actually very simple once the basics are understood, it's a quick learn. I will not use technical terms because they complicate what is a very simple process to learn.
Ask questions and after a dozen or so post of forecast /updates one will understand a majority of how earthquakes work and can begin to do forecast, another dozen post should have an accuracy of 70+% asking different questions.

Anyone reading these updates /forecast ask questions if your interested in knowing where, when and how large an earthquake Wil hit, how a volcano on the opposite side of the world could result in a large earthquake in the states.

Helping to prepare for the inevitable,

Jack
There is no pressure building on the Madrid fault ... (show quote)
Interesting. I agree with your assessment of the Cascadia situation. Just a question of when. I told my son to sell his home in Lacey, WA...but he thinks I'm nuts.

Reply
 
 
Jun 19, 2019 18:18:49   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Fit2BTied wrote:
Interesting. I agree with your assessment of the Cascadia situation. Just a question of when. I told my son to sell his home in Lacey, WA...but he thinks I'm nuts.




http://youtu.be/Ibxaw4FimBI

Several in my influence group believe a 9.2 to 9.4 will happen. This would trigger multiple volcanoes, the San Andreas and many other faults.

Reply
Jun 19, 2019 18:26:49   #
Fit2BTied Loc: Texas
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
http://youtu.be/Ibxaw4FimBI

Several in my influence group believe a 9.2 to 9.4 will happen. This would trigger multiple volcanoes, the San Andreas and many other faults.
Yeah, that could definitely put a damper on resale value. I looked at topographical maps of the area and he does seem to be shielded a bit on the West side (tsunami), but if the size is as you predict, I think that'd be the least of their problems up there.

Reply
Jun 20, 2019 03:06:45   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Fit2BTied wrote:
Yeah, that could definitely put a damper on resale value. I looked at topographical maps of the area and he does seem to be shielded a bit on the West side (tsunami), but if the size is as you predict, I think that'd be the least of their problems up there.





It is difficult to imagine how powerful a 9.0 earthquake would be. It's about 1000 times more powerful than a 7.0 and would have violent shaking for five to seven minutes. A 9.4 would be 4 times more powerful than a 9.0

How can we compare modern day 9.0 earthquakes to the Cascadia? We really don't have relative comparisons. We all have seen videos of the following tsunami carrying ships and houses accross the land like toys. The sea floor has an uplift of (vertical) over 30 feet and side (horizontal) over 150 feet. The Cascadia has a very different make up that is expected to have a potential of over 200 feet of uplift and side movement over 500 feet.
What is making this huge uplift possible is no smaller releases of energy that we see in other like subduction zones. Smaller quakes accross subduction zones generally release energy and are referred to as slow slip. While still building more than is being released in slow slip, slow slip reduce the total potential of massive uplifts. The San Andreas has its northern portion having slow slip quakes however the southern is more locked. With that said only about 35%of the total length of the fault will create majority of released energy when it does release, unlike the Cascadia that it's full 600+miles will suddenly release.
What that means, everything within 59-100 miles of the coastline will violently shake (depends of soil makeup) , proceeded by a tsunami of debatable height I'm hearing arguments for 200 feet, while others say as high as 500. Most of the coastline soil and 50 miles inland will liquify.
The question that remains unanswered... At what level will the Cascadia "mega quake" be? What lends me leaning towards the worse case scenario is that the USGS has not reported earthquakes in Oregon for several years. Since we know Oregon has earthquakes every day of the year, earthquakes haven't stopped, just the reporting of earthquakes has stopped. Earthquakes like a river flow from North (Alaska) to South (California) but in the case of earthquakes the USGS is claiming the river that runs from Washington dries up in Oregon but miraculously begins running full again at the California border. The next question that enters my mind. What is the motivation of the USGS to be silent about earthquakes in Oregon? While the question remains unanswered, Cascadia comes front and center to my mind.

Reply
Jun 20, 2019 08:33:45   #
Fit2BTied Loc: Texas
 
jack sequim wa wrote:
It is difficult to imagine how powerful a 9.0 earthquake would be. It's about 1000 times more powerful than a 7.0 and would have violent shaking for five to seven minutes. A 9.4 would be 4 times more powerful than a 9.0

How can we compare modern day 9.0 earthquakes to the Cascadia? We really don't have relative comparisons. We all have seen videos of the following tsunami carrying ships and houses accross the land like toys. The sea floor has an uplift of (vertical) over 30 feet and side (horizontal) over 150 feet. The Cascadia has a very different make up that is expected to have a potential of over 200 feet of uplift and side movement over 500 feet.
What is making this huge uplift possible is no smaller releases of energy that we see in other like subduction zones. Smaller quakes accross subduction zones generally release energy and are referred to as slow slip. While still building more than is being released in slow slip, slow slip reduce the total potential of massive uplifts. The San Andreas has its northern portion having slow slip quakes however the southern is more locked. With that said only about 35%of the total length of the fault will create majority of released energy when it does release, unlike the Cascadia that it's full 600+miles will suddenly release.
What that means, everything within 59-100 miles of the coastline will violently shake (depends of soil makeup) , proceeded by a tsunami of debatable height I'm hearing arguments for 200 feet, while others say as high as 500. Most of the coastline soil and 50 miles inland will liquify.
The question that remains unanswered... At what level will the Cascadia "mega quake" be? What lends me leaning towards the worse case scenario is that the USGS has not reported earthquakes in Oregon for several years. Since we know Oregon has earthquakes every day of the year, earthquakes haven't stopped, just the reporting of earthquakes has stopped. Earthquakes like a river flow from North (Alaska) to South (California) but in the case of earthquakes the USGS is claiming the river that runs from Washington dries up in Oregon but miraculously begins running full again at the California border. The next question that enters my mind. What is the motivation of the USGS to be silent about earthquakes in Oregon? While the question remains unanswered, Cascadia comes front and center to my mind.
It is difficult to imagine how powerful a 9.0 eart... (show quote)
Appreciate your take on this subject.

Reply
 
 
Jun 20, 2019 12:10:56   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
BigMike wrote:
The Real Big One is on the way. It would be nice to understand all we can about world seismic behavior.



More deep earthquakes following deep earthquakes, lots of deep earthquake activities. Png had nearly a 700 Km deep earthquake.

I just looked up a 4.3 earthquake in Australia in a place I haven't seen an earthquake in many years.
Doing my usual "Why did it hit there" and went to Google Earth for answers.

33.224°S 119.437°E

Here are the coordinates


You will notice hundreds and hundreds of drill pads at the event and scrolling left see hundreds mixed right into thousands of acres of farm land
Also I can see ancient deformations on the crust surface with evidence of small lava flows. To the right I scrolled to find silica sand deposits that is evidence of plates grinding and pushing up the lighter material... Silica sand.

Most every earthquake in Australia happens within 40 miles of Ayers Rock
The world famous that Americans learned from the movie "Crocodile Dundee".
This was formed by plates pushing together "thin places in the earth's crust", pushing sediment into rock. A scan on Google Earth shows that Ayers Rock is not a lonely formation but there are dozens of these formations. Somehow Ayers Rock gets all the attention and may be due from the early inhabitants, Aborigines making it sacred.

The higher learning fools that teach false teaching "how the planet formed", they teach "Pangea" and how the continents broke apart. The same geniuses that teach evolution.
Understanding how the continental interaction is with plate boundaries is a major ingredient in understanding earthquakes. Without fully opening another can of worms, another false teaching is that the earth's core is solid and these schools of higher learning are doubling down releasing recent findings and studies to further push this false narrative. The core is Plasma which is another main ingredient in understanding earthquakes and why CME's from our Sun increase earthquakes and increase frequency and intensity. When we see large earthquakes in the mid 7 to 8 range, we can go backwards several weeks and examine the electrical / magnetic fields pushing out tens of thousands of miles further out from the earth than normal 100% of the time but for now I'll close the lid on this can of worms. I wanted to throw out Pangea and plate boundaries along with plasma because knowing these gives understanding of earthquakes and for me put together the puzzle of earthquakes, patterns and how to forecast earthquakes.

Reply
Jun 20, 2019 14:44:57   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Another Deep Earthquake Indonesia.

The first stop to forecasting earthquakes.

By putting in the coordinates in Google Earth, then you will see step one.
There will be an earthquake on either side, equally spaced with a magnitude larger from 7 tenths or..... . 7- 1.0 larger. Step two... Watch for another equal or half less magnitude.

Then we look for the center or fulcrum point on the plate boundaries between earthquakes for either a volcano to erupt or another earthquake.

Next step is forecasting the energy to follow the plate boundaries dropping equally spaced earthquakes up to Alaska.

I'll add in future post how to include energy from deep earthquakes coming from other regions.


Here is the information and coordinates.

Magnitude5.1Date-Time20 Jun 2019 16:30:01 UTC21 Jun 2019 01:30:01 near epicenter20 Jun 2019 08:30:01 standard time in your timezoneLocation

7.402S 125.473E

Depth430 kmDistances128.2 km (79.5 mi) NNW of Metinaro, Timor Leste128.4 km (79.6 mi) N of Dili, Timor Leste131.9 km (81.8 mi) N of Likis�, Timor Leste137.0 km (84.9 mi) NNE of Maubara, Timor Leste147.0 km (91.1 mi) N of Aileu, Timor LesteLocation UncertaintyHorizontal: 10.2 km; Vertical 7.0 kmParametersNph = 77; Dmin = 291.8 km; Rmss = 0.55 seconds; Gp = 35°
M-type = mww; Version =Event IDus 600043sa

Reply
Jun 20, 2019 16:26:51   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Just found a Hot spot on the Long Valley Caldera just south of Mammoth mountain.
A hot spot is where hot air from Magma rising at a crack in the earth's crust. Extremely high probability we will not see magma at the surface nor will we see an eruption. There likely could be a fire of tree's and brush breakout and should see an earthquake in a day or two.

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