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7.5-7.6 Magnitude California watch
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Jul 13, 2019 13:00:53   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
After seeing swarms of 4.'s magnitude strike Alaska and Seattle region hit with swarms of 2's and a 4.6.
Then still the swarms 0f 400ish daily earthquakes still log jammed in the Ridgecrest region I'm convinced something larger will strike and push all this energy that is building in the Ridgecrest region east, then 4's and 5's will strike accross states at the edge of the Craton. Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Southern Colorado, Iowa, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Tennessee all will have 2,3's,4's and most will see 5's.
So my Watch is back on for a 7.5-7,6 to strike California and the highest likelihood it will strike in the Ridgecrest region where the swarm is currently log jammed. The last two days have seen increased magnitudes 200 times more powerful than the previous 3 days. South America has fallen within my previous forecast with 5 volcanoes erupting and swarms of high 4 and mid to high 5 magnitude earthquakes.

Also on Watch is Japan for a 7.0-7,2 magnitude earthquake and thinking we will see two mid and upper 6 magnitude quakes also in the Japan region.
As of midnight 6 locations have had deep earthquakes after nearly a week of what looked like a calming of a few of the planets plates but again 3/4 of the earth's plates are at Unrest and shifting.

Seattle can relax once California has its larger quake releasing energy to the east, but not so good news for states at the edge of the Craton.
I'm slightly less concerned about the San Andreas fault since we are seeing only a trickle of energy releasing towards it from Ridgecrest. This being an unprecedented event initially looked as it the energy trapped in Ridgecrest might release in San Andreas going west against the flow or path that earthquake energy normally flows down through California then east but I'm more relaxed that we won't see the worse case scenario unfold.

Look for my updates and a new forecast in a few days.

Be safe everyone,
Be prepared
Jack

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Jul 13, 2019 19:15:47   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Japan, Afghanistan, Fiji, Tonga, Argentina, East Indonesia Deep earthquakes with 6.1 Japan that will produce 6.9-7,1

These points are pushing on 3/4 of the earth's plates and I'm putting a watch over 10 days or less of a 7.5+ with possible 8.0. Updates will narrow in on more specific locations for larger earthquakes but for now look at California and Japan for larger earthquakes.
Again energy will travel accross cracks in the earth's crust from west Indonesia to South America with large 5, 6 and putting a watch for 7.0++ as this energy slams into the South America plate. Look for continued volcanoes erupting on the edge of the inland plate of South America with earthquakes striking between the volcanoes. Also on this watch 5 and mid 5's North and South Atlantic ridges that are end points, Antipodes where the energy enters the earth and recycles energy back to the deep earthquake points I mentioned above.

Be safe,
Be prepared
Jack

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Jul 13, 2019 19:18:26   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
I'm seeing earthquake magnitudes step up another full magnitude in the Ridgecrest region as of 4:15 pacific time.

Keep watch people,

Jack

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Jul 14, 2019 02:32:18   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
New 4.0 Montana at the edge of the Craton just one day after my last forecast expired, I'm pretty happy with that. Oklahoma is having swarms in the 3's with an upper 3.9.
Let's hope this is a sign that the plate has absorbed the energy coming off the west and will now begin transferring to states along the edge of the Craton and just maybe not have an upper 7 in California.
OH and a 6.6 just off the coast of Australia, energy from the deep earthquakes two days ago.

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Jul 14, 2019 07:09:42   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Per my forecast here is a cut and paste

M 7.3
- 102km NNE
of Laiwui, Indonesia


2019-07-14
09:10:50 (UTC)
0.529°S 128.093°E
10.0 km depth

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Jul 14, 2019 09:44:43   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Another State on the edge of the Craton just got hit.

M2.5 20km N of Wynne, Arkansas, Epicenter at 35.40°N 90.82°W and depth of 0mi, https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/nm60281361

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Jul 14, 2019 16:57:41   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Another Deep Earthquake

M 4.2 - 30km W of Ashkasham, Afghanistan

2019-07-14
18:34:45 (UTC)
36.694°N 71.193°E
235.4 km depth

At this depth we add. 8 to the 4.5 giving us shallow earthquakes at 5.3 magnitude.

We hit another record. Normally there are 10-12 6.0+ earthquakes per month and now we have 27 month to date and early in the month.

Be safe,
Be prepared,
Jack

Reply
 
 
Jul 14, 2019 21:43:00   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Israel hasn't had a larger magnitude earthquake in years. What do you think the odds would be of forecasting a 4.8-5.1 earthquake? OK, so now if I put an extremely narrow time frame such as in the next 7 days or less, now what would be the odds? Can you think of a way to make the odds even higher? How about I narrow it down down to location to say from the Sea of Galilee , the Red Sea, possibly near the border of Jordan. How's that for earthquake Forecasting odds.
I'm looking at earthquake energy passing through Iran splitting with a path or flow of energy into Israel.

Folks we are witnessing some of the largest earthquakes to strike The Seattle region, Australia, Montana, California with record frequency week over week and month over month. Record high number of magnitude earthquakes and unprecedented earthquake behavior.

I'm not ruling out and actually expecting to have record number of 7.8-8.1 magnitude earthquakes in the next 10 days or less.

Be watchful,
Be safe,
Be prepared,
Jack

Reply
Jul 14, 2019 21:43:01   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Israel hasn't had a larger magnitude earthquake in years. What do you think the odds would be of forecasting a 4.8-5.1 earthquake? OK, so now if I put an extremely narrow time frame such as in the next 7 days or less, now what would be the odds? Can you think of a way to make the odds even higher? How about I narrow it down down to location to say from the Sea of Galilee , the Red Sea, possibly near the border of Jordan. How's that for earthquake Forecasting odds.
I'm looking at earthquake energy passing through Iran splitting with a path or flow of energy into Israel.

Folks we are witnessing some of the largest earthquakes to strike The Seattle region, Australia, Montana, California with record frequency week over week and month over month. Record high number of magnitude earthquakes and unprecedented earthquake behavior.

I'm not ruling out and actually expecting to have record number of 7.8-8.1 magnitude earthquakes in the next 10 days or less.

Be watchful,
Be safe,
Be prepared,
Jack

Reply
Jul 15, 2019 02:18:11   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
M 4.5 -
153km SE of Sigave, Wallis and Futuna

2019-07-15
03:17:03 (UTC)
15.412°S 177.319°W
394.2 km depth


Another Deep Earthquake that will produce 5.5-5.6 shallow earthquakes

Those that follow my forecast know that Deep earthquakes are where all earthquakes begin. There are only 9 points on earth that deep earthquakes begin. This is where energy under the earth's crust hammers up underneath the crust causing the deep earthquakes. Then larger shallow earthquakes spawn off following a path or flow like a river dropping equally spaced earthquakes. Energy /earthquakes that we have in the United States first begin as a deep earthquake in the Indonesia region then following the plate boundaries north to Alaska and then down to the Juan D Fuca fault then into the States.

This is another Deep Earthquake to add into the record amount of deep earthquakes this July and we are now going to begin to see energy enter the states from deep earthquakes from 7-10 days ago adding to the existing build up of pressure in the Ridgecrest region of California.

Be safe,
Be prepared,
Jack

Reply
Jul 15, 2019 13:58:22   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Another Deep Earthquake at 5.1 with agencies reporting it as high as 7.0 the USGS changed it down to a 5.1 but with over a dozen other international and local agencies reporting in the mid and high 6 magnitude, I'm thinking at this depth it will produce mid 7 magnitude earthquake.

Here is a cut and paste
Magnitude: 5.1
Depth: 750.0 km
Epicenter latitude / longitude: 26.8641°S / 56.59001°W  (Paraguay)
Nearest volcano: Tuzgle (1041 km)
Primary data source: USP 
Estimated released energy: 2.8*10^12 J (783 MWh / 674 tons of TNT)

Keeping at a 5.1 and calculation of depth it would produce 6.5-6.7 magnitude earthquakes.

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Jul 15, 2019 15:49:38   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
M4.3 278km S of Amahusu, Indonesia, Epicenter at 6.24°S 128.02°E and depth of 242mi, https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us70004kts


Another Deep Earthquake

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Jul 16, 2019 03:21:05   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Date & time: Tuesday, 16 July 2019 00:36 UTC
Magnitude: 4.5
Depth: 750.0 km
Epicenter latitude / longitude: 19.21456°S / 41.40985°W  (Brazil)
Nearest volcano: Trindade (1271 km)
Primary data source: USP 
Estimated released energy: 3.5*10^11 J (98.6 MWh / 84.8 tons of TNT)

And yet another Deep Earthquake

Folks, this is anything but normal.
With the busy stuff of relocating I'm struggling to keep up with the earthquakes. We are nearly 300 earthquakes per week over what has become the normal of 600 ish earthquakes per week.

I'm still expecting some international news reporting 7.8-8.2 earthquakes in the west (Indonesia region).

Still 4 and 5 madnitude will strike the United States along the edge of the Craton with upper 5's and still putting together data, we may see a few 6+ magnitude Texas and Oklahoma.

Be safe,
Be prepared,
Jack

Reply
Jul 16, 2019 03:29:58   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Still another Deep Earthquake. In a very rare location for Deep Earthquakes.

15 July 2019 22:05 UTC
Magnitude: 4.2
Depth: 560.0 km
Epicenter latitude / longitude: 42.08°N / 130.96°E  (North Korea)
Nearest volcano: Changbaishan (238 km)
Primary data source: EMSC 
Estimated released energy: 1.3*10^11 J (35 MWh / 30.1 tons of TNT)

This will send higher magnitude 5+ into Europe, Italy, dead ending in Switzerland.
Large enough that older stone and motar buildings will suffer.

Be safe,
Be prepared,
Jack

Reply
Jul 16, 2019 08:49:03   #
jack sequim wa Loc: Blanchard, Idaho
 
Here's another Deep Earthquake

Date & time: Tuesday, 16 July 2019 12:38 UTC
Magnitude: 3.6
Depth: 289.0 km
Epicenter latitude / longitude: 36.40112°S / 178.0515°E  (New Zealand)
Nearest volcano: White Island (30 km)
Primary data source: GEONET (NZ)
Estimated released energy: 1.6*10^10 J (4.4 MWh / 3.79 tons of TNT

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